Swansea vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Swansea
01/09/2026 14:45
Watford

Prediction :

 

Swansea wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions

In-form Swansea will host Watford next in their Championship encounter, both teams holding on unbeaten starts in the league. The hosts are third going into this game, six places ahead of Watford. With a good home run in this fixture, our prediction backs Swansea to win.

Swansea are aiming for a return to the topflight and their start to the season has reflected as much. A first-round elimination from the League Cup wasn’t their ideal start to the season, but that has since been addressed.

The Swans have recollected themselves and posted two wins and a draw in their first three league games. Two straight clean sheets ahead of this game enhance their rating as the strongest defence so far.

Watford are also unbeaten, but they have only managed one win and two draws in their opening three league outings. Unlike Swansea, Watford kicked off their season strongly, winning the first two games.

It all started with a 1-0 win at Crawley in the League Cup before they beat Southampton 2-1 in the Championship. Since then, however, in the three matches that have followed, they failed to replicate that, drawing twice.

In their only defeat, sandwiched between league games, was a 5-1 thrashing by Peterborough. That was their last showing in the cup competition.

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Swansea v Watford Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.87 3.55 4.10
1xbet
1.88 3.73 4.36
Melbet
1.85 3.58 4.03
Betwinner
1.83 3.60 4.13
22bet
1.84 3.64 4.26

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What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Watford?

Our prediction for the Swansea vs Watford match is: Swansea wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/09/2026 between Swansea and Watford in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.09% for a win of Swansea against Watford with odds of 1.88 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Watford is 30.94% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Swansea with odds of 4.36 at 1xbet.

Swansea - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:

Swansea Watford Prediction Probability Odds
Swansea wins 54.09% 1.88 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 53.44% 1.92 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 50.83%
Half-time / Full-time : Swansea/Swansea 27.02% 3.00 at Bet365

Swansea vs Watford Form

Swansea and Watford's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Swansea
23 12 7 2 3 +3
21 Watford
11 12 3 2 7 -10

Swansea and Watford Last Matches

Swansea
Swansea Last matches
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Sheffield United

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Swansea

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
0 :  1
Birmingham

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
1 :  0
Leganés

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
2 :  0
Udinese
W D W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Sheffield United

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
0 :  1
Birmingham

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
1 :  0
Leganés

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
2 :  0
Udinese

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
2 :  2
Holstein Kiel

2 May 2026 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  1
Charlton Athletic
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Swansea

21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bochum
2 :  0
Swansea

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Swansea

21 Apr 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Swansea

11 Apr 2026 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  1
Swansea
Watford
Watford Last matches
L W W D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
West Ham

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  5
Peterborough

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Watford

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Southampton

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  0
Crawley Town

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
0 :  1
Fiorentina
W L W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
West Ham

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  5
Peterborough

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Southampton

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  0
Crawley Town

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
0 :  1
Fiorentina

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
3 :  0
Hansa Rostock
L L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Watford

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Barnet
2 :  2
Watford

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Boreham Wood FC
2 :  1
Watford

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
5 :  1
Watford

21 Apr 2026 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  0
Watford

11 Apr 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  0
Watford

Swansea vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Swansea

50 %

Draw

33 %

Watford

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Swansea

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Watford

12 Mar 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Swansea

5 Nov 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Watford

6 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Swansea

30 Dec 2022 - Championship

Swansea
4 :  0
Watford
Swansea vs Watford Prediction

Swansea against Watford Lineups: Starting 11

Swansea

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

22
L. Vigouroux
2
J. Key
26
F. Lissah
23
S. Welsh
14
J. Tymon
46
S. Eustaquio
30
J. Opoku
8
E. Just
6
M. Stamenic
10
E. Ji-sung
33
A. Idah
20
M. Doumbia
21
A. Nabizada
17
I. Bravo
7
O. Maamma
5
H. Kyprianou
39
E. Kayembe
33
J. Zemura
4
K. Keben
6
M. Pollock
23
O. Traore
1
F. Ravaglia

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Watford

Substitutes

Swansea
Swansea
Goalkeeper

A. Fisher

Defender

J. Seelt

S. Welsh 86'

C. Heywood

Midfielder

M. Yeo

J. Opoku 57'

T. Iorpenda

T. Woodward

J. Fulton

M. Stamenic 68'

Forward

M. Widell

E. Just 57'

Z. Vipotnik

A. Idah 67'

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

S. Walker

D. Bachmann

Defender

B. Mlacic

O. Traore 31'

A. Eames

Midfielder

E. Bove

A. Nabizada 46'

R. Vata

O. Maamma 65'

M. Payero

Forward

L. Kjerrumgaard

I. Bravo 83'

M. Adu Poku

Missing players

Swansea
Swansea
Defender

C. Burgess

Watford
Watford
Defender

J. Ngakia

Forward

K. Baah

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Swansea
CD Huachipato Watford
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland A. Idah (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Afghanistan A. Nabizada (3 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Tymon (2 Assists) , 
South Korea E. Ji-sung (2 Assists) , 
Sweden M. Widell (2 Assists)
Best assists
Spain I. Bravo (2 Assists)

Swansea - Watford Key Points

  1. Watford are winless in their last three matches, losing once.
  2. Swansea have won twice in their three league matches.
  3. Watford are winless in seven away matches, and they lost five.
  4. Swansea have beaten Watford three times in the last five home meetings.
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Our Swansea vs Watford Prediction

Swansea are favorites to extend their good run in the Championship so far. After their season-opening defeat in the League Cup, the Swans have repurposed, and their focus in the league is paying off. A win here could see them go top, and the Welsh side needs no more motivation.

A Watford side looking to address their own shortcomings in the season and in this fixture will not make it easy for Swansea. However, with a poor away record, we still back Swansea to progress. Our prediction for Swansea v Watford is that Swansea wins.

Prediction :

 

Swansea wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Watford

Swansea vs Watford Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Swansea wins 2.15 1.88 -12.6%
Draw 3.45 3.75 +8.7%
Watford wins 3.20 4.36 +36.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Swansea is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 53.2% (6.7%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.