England - Carabao Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath in Carabao Cup Predictions
Manchester City will travel across the border to the South of Wales to face Swansea City in the fourth round of the Carabao Cup on Wednesday night. This is the first time that the Swans and Citizens will meet since their round of 16 clash in the FA Cup back in February 2021, which City won 3-1. Check out our match prediction below!
Swansea are set to feature in a fourth-round curtain in the EFL Cup for the first time since the 2017-18 season, and have only won this competition once, beating Bradford in 2012-13. The hosts are massive underdogs in this clash, as they are winless in their last 15 matches against the Sky Blues in all competitions, and have lost the last seven in a row ahead of this one.
Man City, on the other hand, have won this competition in five of the last 10 editions and only failed to get to this stage once. However, their last League Cup title was back in 2020-21 and they need a good performance here after a poor outing in the Prem over the weekend. Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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12 | 6.5 | 1.19 |
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13 | 6.5 | 1.22 |
|
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13 | 6 | 1.2 |
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12 | 6 | 1.22 |
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|
14 | 6.75 | 1.19 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Manchester City match is: Manchester City wins & over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/10/2025 between Swansea and Manchester City in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.02% for a win of Swansea against Manchester City with odds of 14 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Manchester City is 24.37% with odds of 7.25 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Swansea with odds of 1.22 at Betfred.
Swansea vs Manchester City Form
Swansea and Manchester City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
17 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
30 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
Swansea vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Feb 2021 - FA Cup
16 Mar 2019 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2018 - Premier League
13 Dec 2017 - Premier League
5 Feb 2017 - Premier League
24 Sept 2016 - Premier League
Swansea - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Swansea City pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the third round of the Carabao Cup, scoring twice in stoppage time to overcome Nottingham Forest 3-2 at this venue. They beat Crawley Town and Plymouth Argyle in the first two rounds.
The Swans moved to 16 points and 13th place in the Championship with a 2-1 victory over Norwich City at the weekend. That result saw them avoid a fourth straight league match without victory.
The hosts went unbeaten in their first seven home games across all competitions this season, but have only won one of their last three at Swansea.com Stadium. They have not kept a clean sheet at this venue since August 16.
Man City have scored three or more goals in each of their last four matches against Swansea!
Meanwhile, Manchester City kicked off their Carabao Cup campaign with a fairly routine 2-0 victory over League One outfit Huddersfield Town on the road back in September.
That victory came in the midst of a nine-match unbeaten run for the Citizens (W7 D2) across all competitions, but that streak was brought to an end over the weekend when they lost to Aston Villa 1-0.
In eight away games this season, the visitors have a record of W4 D2 L2, but they have won each of their last five at this venue dating back to 2016, while scoring two or more goals in each of those victories.
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Swansea vs Manchester City last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
M. Yalcouye
A. Khusanov
MidfielderRodri
Swansea & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Zan Vipotnik has been excellent for Swansea this term - he scored the leveller in the comeback against Forest and netted against Norwich at the weekend, taking his tally to six goals in 11 league games this season.
One notable absentee for Alan Sheehan in midweek will be Brighton loanee Malick Yalcouye, who is still suspended after receiving a straight red for a headbutt in the defeat to QPR last week.
The hosts have a fairly clean bill of health at present, with Ricardo Santos being the only confirmed injury absentee for this match.
Wholesale changes are expected for Man City in this clash!
Pep Guardiola gave Erling Haaland the afternoon off against Huddersfield in the last round of the competition and may do likewise here after the Norwegian collided with the post late in the match against Villa.
This could be the ideal opportunity for Guardiola to bring Omar Marmoush and Rayan Cherki back into the starting lineups following their recoveries from injuries. Nico Gonzalez, Nathan Ake and James Trafford are also expected to get the nod from the off.
Rodri, Abdukodir Khusanov and Rayan Ait-Nouri are reportedly closing in on returns to the squad but are listed as major doubts for this match.
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Manchester City
Z. Vipotnik
(8 Goals)
E. Haaland
(15 Goals)
Z. Inoussa
(2 Assists)
T. Reijnders
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Doku
(3 Assists)
Swansea - Manchester City Key Points
- Four of Swansea’s last six home games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Man City have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven games.
- Man City are unbeaten in their last 15 matches against this opponent.
- Man City have scored three or more goals in each of their last four matches against this opponent.
- Nine of the last 10 matches between these sides ended with 3+ goals scored.
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Our Swansea vs Manchester City Prediction
Swansea City pulled off a thrilling comeback to beat Nottingham Forest in the last round of this competition, and they will be hoping to send another Premier League side packing this weekend.
However, Man City have dominated this fixture for well over a decade and have scored a whopping 15 goals in their last four matches against the Swans. We fancy the visitors to secure a fairly comfortable victory in this one as well. Our Swansea vs Manchester City prediction is Manchester City wins & over 2.5.
Swansea vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Eight of Swansea’s last 10 home games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring. Additionally, both teams scored in the last two matches between these sides.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Swansea vs. Manchester City game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Swansea and Manchester City when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Carabao Cup!
Swansea vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
The Carabao Cup match between Swansea and Manchester City will take place on October 29 at 19:45 BST.
The Carabao Cup match between Swansea and Manchester City will be played at the Swansea.com Stadium in Wales.
The Carabao Cup match between Swansea and Manchester City will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Carabao Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
