England - Carabao Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath in Carabao Cup Predictions
The first round of the 2025-26 Carabao Cup kicks off with Swansea City and Crawley Town locking horns in Wales on Tuesday night. The Swans and the Red Devils last met in a competitive fixture in 2012, which the Welsh team won 3-2. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Swansea is the only team from outside England to win the EFL Cup (2012-13) and have got to the second round in each of the last two editions of the competition.
However, the Swans are entering this match off the back of a 1-0 defeat in their season opener to Middlesbrough over the weekend and a winless three-match pre-season.
At home, though, the hosts ended last season with five wins in their final seven games across all competitions (W5 D1 L1) and kept clean sheets in each of those victories.
Meanwhile, Crawley Town have never won the EFL Cup - their best-ever run in the competition came in 2019-20 when they reached the fourth round before bowing out to Colchester.
Following relegation, the Red Devils have made a disappointing start to life in League Two, losing both games so far, 3-0 away to Grimsby and 2-1 at home against Newport, respectively.
The visitors have a record of three wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 10 away competitive matches. They also conceded two or more goals in each of those losses.
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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Crawley Town Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.2 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 5 | 6.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Crawley Town?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Crawley Town match is: Swansea wins & over 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2025 between Swansea and Crawley Town in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.9% for a win of Swansea against Crawley Town with odds of 1.5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Crawley Town is 21.07% with odds of 5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Crawley Town vs Swansea with odds of 6.4 at Stake.
Swansea - Crawley Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Crawley Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 47.9% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.75% | 1.71 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 47.62% | 1.74 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Swansea/Swansea | 20.18% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
Swansea vs Crawley Town Form
Swansea and Crawley Town Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
9 Apr 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - League One
21 Apr 2025 - League One
12 Apr 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - League One
18 Apr 2025 - League One
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Crawley Town
M. Anderson
(1 Goals)
Swansea - Crawley Town Key Points
- Swansea are unbeaten in their last four competitive home games.
- Swansea have kept five clean sheets in their last seven competitive home matches.
- Crawley Town have been eliminated from the EFL Cup in the first round in seven of the last 10 editions.
- Crawley Town conceded two or more goals in six of their last nine competitive away games.
- Crawley Town have never beaten this opponent in any competition.
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Our Swansea vs Crawley Town Prediction
Swansea were unable to get an opening-day victory in the Championship this past weekend, but they will be relatively pleased with the draw they’ve been handed in this competition and are clear favourites to progress to the second round.
Crawley Town are back in League Two this season, and this could turn into a long campaign for the Red Devils unless they make major improvements from their first two showings. Our Swansea vs Crawley Town prediction is Swansea wins & over 1.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Crawley Town
| Swansea vs Crawley Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 1.53 | 1.5 | -2.0% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.5 | +12.5% |
| Crawley Town wins | 6 | 5.5 | -8.3% |
At 1 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Swansea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 66.7% (1.3%)
Use the Swansea vs. Crawley Town game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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