England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
The Tyne-Wear derby is finally back in the English Premier League. The first installment this season will take place on Sunday when Sunderland welcomes Newcastle United. This is the first meeting in the English top flight between these two sides since 2016. There’s so little to separate the two teams in the standings after 15 rounds of play, so read on to find our preview and match prediction.
Sunderland have the slight advantage over their Northeast rivals, as they currently occupy ninth place with 23 points. Newcastle, who are just a point off their hosts, sit further down in 12th.
Bookies have the Magpies as the big favorites to come out on top and also fancy a draw more than they do a home victory. Sunderland have, however, shown they can stand up to the league’s big boys. The Black Cats did some good business in the summer transfers and have so far been a quality addition to the top flight.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sunderland v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 3.3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.45 | 2.23 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Newcastle match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/12/2025 between Sunderland and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.62% for a win of Sunderland against Newcastle with odds of 3.49 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Newcastle is 29.04% with odds of 3.45 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Sunderland with odds of 2.3 at Shangrila.
Sunderland vs Newcastle Form
Sunderland and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
|
12
|
22 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Sunderland and Newcastle Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
Sunderland vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
Sunderland - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Sunderland are riding high on their return to the Premier League after almost a decade away. Many had expected the Black Cats to struggle, as has been the case with newly promoted teams in recent seasons.
Regis Le Bris’ team has been the complete opposite and, at some point, sat in the Champions League places. Sunderland have won six games and drawn a further five.
Key to their success has been their superb form at the Stadium of Light, where they haven’t lost in the league. The Makem have stuttered in recent outings, though, managing just one win in six.
They were defeated 3-0 away to Manchester City last time out. Sunderland avoided defeat in the league against Newcastle in their last nine meetings.
Sunderland and Newcastle face off in the league for the first time in almost a decade.
Newcastle United won the most recent Wear-Tyne derby. This was in the FA Cup last season. Eddie Howe’s men won convincingly by three goals without reply on the road.
They will look for another strong statement and hope it sparks a rather inconsistent campaign in the right direction. Newcastle have racked up 22 points, thanks to six wins and four draws.
They have lost five games, though they have settled the nerves a bit recently. The Geordies, who are also competing in the Champions League for a second successive season, haven’t lost in four outings.
Newcastle drew 2-2 away to Bayer Leverkusen in midweek European action.
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Sunderland vs Newcastle last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
A. Alese
L. Hjelde
MidfielderH. Diarra
N. Pope
DefenderK. Trippier
E. Krafth
S. Botman
ForwardW. Osula
Sunderland & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Sunderland are dealing with a couple of injuries and could miss key players in the derby. Left-back Reinildo Mandava missed the game against City with a groin problem and is doubtful for Newcastle’s visit.
Long-term absentee Habib Diarra is slowly getting back to full fitness but seems not yet ready to return from a groin issue. Wilson Isidor is the Black Cats’ leading scorer, and with four PL strikes, he should lead the quest for goals here.
Compatriot Enzo Le Fee has been a worthy partner in crime and is another to look out for here. Granit Xhaka, Brian Brobbey, and Chemsdine Talbi add to Sunderland’s attacking options.
Anthony Gordon has three goals and an assist in Newcastle’s last three matches.
Newcastle are also sweating over the availability of some of the team’s stars. Joelinton could miss this match due to a groin injury suffered in the Champions League against Bayer Leverkusen.
Though he hasn’t played much this season, Yoane Wissa is also another player who could miss the derby due to illness. It is not all bad news for the Magpies in terms of personnel, as Nick Pope is expected to be fully fit for Sunday.
The goalkeeper has missed the last four games with a groin problem. Nick Woltemade, Harvey Barnes, and Anthony Gordon have each scored seven goals for Newcastle. If the visitors are to protect their favorites tag, it will most probably be because of the three.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Newcastle
W. Isidor
(4 Goals)
H. Barnes
(7 Goals)
,
A. Gordon
(7 Goals)
, 
N. Woltemade
(7 Goals)
G. Xhaka
(4 Assists)
B. Guimaraes
(4 Assists)
Sunderland and Newcastle Stats in Premier League
Sunderland - Newcastle Key Points
- Both teams have scored in each of Newcastle’s last seven games.
- Sunderland haven’t kept a clean sheet in seven consecutive outings.
- Newcastle and Sunderland have scored a combined 39 league goals.
- Both teams scored in six of Sunderland’s eight matches at home this season.
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Our Sunderland vs Newcastle Prediction
Our prediction for Sunderland v Newcastle United is BTTS. This is the first Tyne-Wear derby in the Premier League in almost a decade. As one of the most awaited fixtures in the English game, we expect a high-octane match with plenty of goals being scored.
Both teams have strong attacks and do not rely on any one player for goals. Defensively, though, is where each team has struggled, especially in recent weeks, with clean sheets proving hard to keep.
Sunderland vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Sunderland to win
For our second prediction, we have Sunderland winning. Though they have struggled recently, Sunderland have been tough to beat at home in the Premier League, whereas Newcastle have struggled the most on the road.
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Sunderland vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Sunday, 14 December.
This match will be played at Sunderland’s Stadium of Light in the Northeast of England.
Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Ultra will have this match live for audiences in the UK. Sportytrader will have the minute-by-minute updates on the same and other Premier League matches this weekend.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
