Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Premier League Predictions
Sunderland and Crystal Palace will look for a crucial win when they meet on Saturday in an English Premier League matchday 22 fixture. This match at the Stadium of Light between the tenth-placed Black Cats and the 13th-placed Eagles promises to be tight, with only two points separating the teams, and our prediction is for less than 2.5 goals to be scored.
After starting the season with a bang, Sunderland have lost a bit of steam in the recent weeks and are looking for their first win since mid-December (D4, L1). Things aren't yet saying, though, as they are still within reach of top-five spots. The same goes for Palace, although the Eagles are in a bit of a slightly worrisome situation with four losses in their last six Premier League matches (D2).
Sunderland's 30 points (W7, D9, L5) see them start the round just three points off the top five. Palace are two points further behind (W7, D7, L7), but are only two points above 15th. With such tight margins, will this match live up to expectations? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sunderland v Crystal Palace Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.15 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.1 | 2.76 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.1 | 2.74 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.2 | 2.85 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Crystal Palace?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Crystal Palace match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Sunderland and Crystal Palace in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.99% for a win of Sunderland against Crystal Palace with odds of 2.82 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Crystal Palace is 41.14% with odds of 3.21 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Crystal Palace vs Sunderland with odds of 2.9 at Bet365.
Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Form
Sunderland and Crystal Palace's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
30 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
|
13
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
Sunderland and Crystal Palace Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
4 Feb 2017 - Premier League
24 Sept 2016 - Premier League
Sunderland - Crystal Palace: Form Analysis
Sunderland edged Everton via penalties last weekend to progress in the FA Cup. It was their first win after a run of five winless games in the league (D4, L1) culminating in a 3-0 loss at Brentford.
The Black Cats will be hopeful of turning things around at home, where they have been impressive all season. Sunderland are yet to lose at this venue in the Premier League this campaign (W5, D5), although drawing the latest two games.
Only Wolves have scored fewer goals than Sunderland (21) this season.
Palace had the ignominy of getting dumped out of the FA Cup, losing 2-1 at Macclesfield last weekend. It continued their recent downtrend, extending the Eagles' winless run to nine games (D3, L6) in all competitions.
In the league too, Palace lost four and drew two of their last six matches, losing sight of the European spots and falling down the order. Things need to improve on the road for them to move up the table, as they look to halt a two-game losing trend in away league matches.
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Players list
R. Roefs
DefenderD. Cirkin
N. Mukiele
T. Hume
MidfielderG. Xhaka
L. O'Nien
N. Sadiki
R. Mundle
E. Le Fee
ForwardE. Mayenda
S. Adingra
W. Benitez
DefenderC. Richards
M. Guehi
B. Sosa
J. Canvot
MidfielderA. Wharton
J. Drakes-Thomas
C. Uche
K. Rodney
J. Devenny
ForwardY. Pino
Substitutes
A. Patterson
DefenderL. Geertruida
D. Ballard
O. Alderete
L. Hjelde
MidfielderC. Rigg
D. Neil
ForwardB. Brobbey
W. Isidor
D. Henderson
DefenderM. Lacroix
T. Mitchell
D. Benamar
MidfielderW. Hughes
G. King
ForwardB. Johnson
B. Casey
Z. Marsh
Missing players
R. Mandava
A. Alese
MidfielderH. Diarra
ForwardC. Talbi
N. Clyne
D. Munoz
C. Riad
C. Kporha
MidfielderJ. Lerma
D. Kamada
C. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
I. Sarr
R. Cardines
Sunderland & Crystal Palace Squad Analysis
Aji Alese misses out for Sunderland through injury, while Habib Diarra and Chemsdine Talbi are away on international duty. The hosts are otherwise at full strength, and coach Le Bris is likely to stick to the 4-2-3-1 formation.
That would leave Brian Brobbey to lead the line with Simon Adingra and Romaine Mundle leading the flanks. The ever-reliable Granit Xhaka has been their defensive rock in the midfield, while goalkeeper Robin Roefs has made at least three saves each in his last five league games.
Brobbey has three goals and one assist this season.
That pales in comparison with Jean-Philippe Mateta's contributions, with the Frenchman scoring eight Premier League goals this season. However, with only one goal in his last ten competitive club games, the forward's struggles are mirroring Palace's troubles.
The visitors are going to go by the 3-4-3 formation, which puts focus on Yeremy Pino and new signing Brennan Johnson behind the striker. Their absence list is a bit longer with Jefferson Lerma and Daniel Munoz racing against time to be fit.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
W. Isidor
(4 Goals)
J. Mateta
(8 Goals)
G. Xhaka
(5 Assists)
D. Munoz
(3 Assists)
Sunderland and Crystal Palace Stats in Premier League
Sunderland - Crystal Palace Key Points
- Sunderland’s matches average a league-low 2.05 goals per game this season.
- Over the last eight Premier League matches, Sunderland averaged 1.63 goals per game.
- Palace average 2.14 goals per match this league season and only Sunderland have a fewer goals per match average.
- Five of Sunderland’s last six league matches saw fewer than 2.5 goals scored.
- Nine of Palace’s last 13 Premier League games featured under 2.5 goals.
- The reverse fixture in September ended in a 0-0 draw.
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Our Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Prediction
This is a match between two faltering sides that are struggling to hold on to the early-season momentum. Sunderland were once leading the European contenders and although they are still only three points away from fifth, they lost momentum in recent weeks. It's the same with Palace, who are two points behind Sunderland ahead of this matchday. Regardless, these two are the sides who boast the two lowest goals per game average.
Even the return fixture ended in a goalless draw, so our Sunderland vs Crystal Palace prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Sunderland vs Crystal Palace - Other Interesting Predictions
Sunderland wins
Sunderland may have lost a bit of spunk in the recent weeks, but they are still a strong force at home. They are as yet unbeaten at home this league season and wins over Newcastle, Bournemouth, and Brentford suggest they can be a dangerous side on their day. Back the hosts to win.
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Sunderland vs Crystal Palace - FAQs
The Sunderland vs Crystal Palace English Premier League match will not be telecast live on television in the UK as it is in the 3pm Saturday blackout.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
Sunderland enjoyed hosting Crystal Palace in league competitions, losing only one of their first 15 home league matches to the Eagles (W7, D7, L1). However, since then, the Black Cats are winless in their last five home league matches against Palace (D3, L2).
Indeed, playing host in this fixture hasn't been fruitful. The away side of the day in this fixture hasn't lost any of the last eight Premier League matches, winning five and drawing three. The last home team to win this particular fixture was Palace in August 2013.
That could change here, as Sunderland are unbeaten in their ten Premier League home matches this season (W5, D5). That's a surprise start because in the English top-flight history, only seven newly promoted sides have had a longer unbeaten home start to a season. The last of such instances was back in the 1992-93 campaign.
Palace haven't scored in their last two league games and one has to go back to February / March 2023 to find the last instance of the Eagles going on a longer run without scoring in this competition.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
