Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - DFB Pokal
Germany - DFB Pokal
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in DFB Pokal Predictions
Defending DFB Pokal champions Stuttgart will have to get past the red-hot Freiburg for a second consecutive final as the teams meet in the semi-final of the 2025-26 edition. This match on Thursday in Stuttgart between the Swabians and the ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ comes with our prediction of a draw or away win.
Stuttgart are the four-time winners of this competition. Freiburg’s best result has been reaching the final in the 2021-22 DFB Pokal edition.
A 4-2 away defeat at Bayern Munich last weekend continued Stuttgart’s indifferent recent form. They have alternated wins and losses in their last seven competitive games (W3, L4). The Swabians are still well-placed to finish in the top four in the Bundesliga.
Positively for the hosts, they have won their last three matches in this competition without conceding a goal. Even at home, they have six wins from their last nine home competitive games (L3).
Freiburg won 2-1 at home against Heidenheim last weekend to maintain their top-seven push in the Bundesliga. That was their sixth win in the last seven competitive games (L1), including four in a row.
The ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ are still in line to win even the Europa League, so progressing in this tournament is also a possibility, although they have defeated only lower division sides so far in this year’s competition.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Stuttgart v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 4.4 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.3 | 4.68 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stuttgart and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Stuttgart vs Freiburg match is: draw or Freiburg.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/04/2026 between Stuttgart and Freiburg in DFB Pokal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.11% for a win of Stuttgart against Freiburg with odds of 1.7 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stuttgart vs Freiburg is 4.53% with odds of 4.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Stuttgart with odds of 5.25 at LSbet.
Stuttgart - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stuttgart Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 51.11% | 1.7 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.88% | 1.58 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 65.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stuttgart | 19.54% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Stuttgart vs Freiburg Form
Stuttgart and Freiburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
Stuttgart vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
Stuttgart against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Bredlow
DefenderJ. Vagnoman
L. Assignon
L. Jaquez
D. Zagadou
MidfielderB. Bouanani
B. El Khannouss
Chema Andres
ForwardT. Tomas
N. Atubolu
DefenderB. Ogbus
L. Kubler
C. Gunter
N. Hofler
ForwardD. Scherhant
C. Irie
M. Philipp
L. Holer
Missing players
F. Jeltsch
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderD. Kyereh
P. Osterhage
Most goals and assists
Stuttgart
Freiburg
D. Undav
(3 Goals)
L. Holer
(2 Goals)
, 
V. Grifo
(2 Goals)
J. Leweling
(2 Assists)
Y. Suzuki
(1 Assists)
, 
I. Matanovic
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(1 Assists)
,
V. Grifo
(1 Assists)
,
M. Ginter
(1 Assists)
Stuttgart - Freiburg Key Points
- Stuttgart failed to win seven of their last 11 matches in all competitions.
- Freiburg won six of their last seven competitive matches.
- Freiburg have won their last three away matches in all competitions.
- Freiburg have won two of their last four matches against Stuttgart.
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Our Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction
Stuttgart are in great position to qualify for the Champions League next season through the Bundesliga, but this is a title they would like to defend. Having won this last season, the Swabians are two games away from defending that. Freiburg are in great form lately, pushing for a top-seven finish in the Bundesliga as well as reaching the Europa League semi-finals.
At the price being offered, backing the visitors to force at least a draw in regular time looks very enticing. Our Stuttgart vs Freiburg prediction is draw or Freiburg.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stuttgart Freiburg
| Stuttgart vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 1.62 | 1.7 | +4.9% |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.4 | +6.0% |
| Freiburg wins | 5.1 | 5.25 | +2.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stuttgart is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 58.8% (-2.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
