Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions
Matchday ten in the EFL Championship sees Stoke City take on Middlesbrough at Bet365 Stadium. The hosts are unbeaten in their last six league games and have seen their last three produce over 2.5 goals. This backs our prediction for a high-scoring affair.
Stoke City are in fourth place in the table with 16 points accumulated in nine games. They are not far behind the top spot, with their progress hindered by a four-point deficit.
The Potters enter this clash unbeaten in their last six Championship games. Interestingly, their last three outings have followed an identical pattern, with each ending in a 2-1 triumph.
Their most recent success came against Bolton Wanderers as goals from Lamine Cisse and Ben Wilmot saw them snatch three points on the road. It was an impressive display from a side that was down to ten men after 20 minutes.
Middlesbrough are second with 18 points in the league standings and are two points adrift of the top spot.
Kim Hellberg's side have also typified consistency in their recent matches. They are unbeaten in their last seven matches. Four wins and three draws have been recorded during this stretch.
The Boro's recent match ended in a 1-0 home win over Wolverhampton Wanderers. Will Lankshear scored the only goal in that match, marking his ninth goal of the season.
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Stoke v Middlesbrough Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.5 | 3.7 | 1.92 |
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3.5 | 3.68 | 1.95 |
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3.5 | 3.68 | 1.95 |
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3.5 | 3.68 | 1.95 |
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3.5 | 3.68 | 1.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Middlesbrough match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/10/2026 between Stoke and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.59% for a win of Stoke against Middlesbrough with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Middlesbrough is 25.32% with odds of 3.8 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Stoke with odds of 1.98 at Shangrila.
Stoke vs Middlesbrough Form
Stoke and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
18 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 |
|
4
|
16 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 |
Stoke and Middlesbrough Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
15 Sept 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
15 Sept 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
7 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
2 Sept 2026 - Championship
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
Stoke vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
28 Sept 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
Stoke vs Middlesbrough last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Griffiths
DefenderL. Bombino
J. Tchamadeu
MidfielderB. Pearson
B. Jun-ho
B. Lawal
ForwardR. Bozenik
G. Hirst
M. Manhoef
S. Brynn
DefenderL. Ayling
S. Byram
M. Arfsten
MidfielderC. Barron
M. Peart-Harris
L. Castledine
ForwardK. Joseph
J. Sarmiento
Missing players
A. Cresswell
MidfielderS. Ingelsson
B. Lawal
A. Ampah
A. Jones
Most goals and assists
Stoke
Middlesbrough
E. Galbraith
(3 Goals)
W. Lankshear
(7 Goals)
E. Bocat
(3 Assists)
T. Conway
(3 Assists)
Stoke and Middlesbrough Stats in Championship
Stoke - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Stoke City's last three Championship games have all ended 2-1.
- Three of Middlesbrough's last four league games have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Stoke City have seen their last two home league games end with over 2.5 goals.
- Middlesbrough have seen three of their last four away league games against Stoke City end with more than two goals being scored.
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Our Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Stoke City's confidence entering this clash is sky-high. The home side has won their last three league games and are seeking a fourth consecutive win for the first time since August 2024. However, having conceded in four consecutive games, they'll need to tighten up defensively to maintain their winning run.
Middlesbrough are the joint third-best offensive side in the Championship this season (GF 17). They have scored in each of their nine matches and also come into this clash in fine form. That said, expect an entertaining affair with goals at both ends. Our Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction: over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
