Stoke vs Bristol City Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions
Bristol City and Stoke are stacked close together after 12 games ahead of their matchday 13 fixture in the 2025-26 Championship campaign. This match on Saturday between fifth-placed Potters and the fourth-placed Robins comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
With 21 points (W6, D3, L3), the hosts start this round in the play-off spots and four points outside automatic promotion places. Bristol have 22 points (W6, D4, L2) and are closer to the top two than their hosts.
A narrow 1-0 away win against Portsmouth last matchday was a relief, as Stoke have struggled for positive results. They had only three wins to their name over the last ten competitive matches (W3, D3, L4).
The Potters have managed three wins from their five home league games this season (W3, D1, L1), although this could be a tough fixture with the visitors also in good form.
Bristol also had a 1-0 win over Birmingham last matchday. That made it three wins in a row for the Robins, who are slowly edging their way towards the playoff spots.
There is still a long way to go, but Bristol will feel confident of their chances. They are yet to lose on the road this season (W3, D2) and have kept three clean sheets in a row away from home.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Stoke v Bristol City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.41 | 3.3 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.22 | 2.97 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.24 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.36 | 2.96 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.3 | 2.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Bristol City?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Bristol City match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Stoke and Bristol City in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.63% for a win of Stoke against Bristol City with odds of 2.46 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Bristol City is 30.7% with odds of 3.36 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Bristol City vs Stoke with odds of 3.15 at Shangrila.
Stoke - Bristol City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Bristol City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City wins | 39.68% | 3.15 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 65.96% | 1.94 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bristol City/Bristol City | 17.26% | 5 at LSbet |
Stoke vs Bristol City Form
Stoke and Bristol City's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
62 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Stoke and Bristol City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
21 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
Stoke vs Bristol City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
4 May 2024 - Championship
Stoke against Bristol City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Bonham
DefenderM. Talovierov
E. Bocat
B. Gibson
MidfielderT. Rigo
T. Seko
S. Nzonzi
ForwardR. Bozenik
M. Cisse
M. O'Leary
DefenderH. Roberts
R. McCrorie
L. Pecover
E. Morrison
Y. Hirakawa
F. Mayulu
O. Thomas
E. Riis
Missing players
L. McNally
Most goals and assists
Stoke
Bristol City
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
S. Twine
(11 Goals)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
R. McCrorie
(6 Assists)
Stoke - Bristol City Key Points
- Bristol and Stoke have five clean sheets this season and only Coventry (six) kept more in the first 12 games.
- Stoke City’s matches average a league-low 1.75 goals per match this season.
- Over the last eight league games, Stoke’s matches average 1.25 goals per match.
- Stoke’s last nine league games have all seen less than 2.5 goals scored.
- In four of their last six league matches, Bristol saw less than 2.5 goals scored.
- Four of Bristol’s last five away matches in all competitions saw less than three goals scored.
- Bristol won 2-0 when these sides last met in February.
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Our Stoke vs Bristol City Prediction
With only a point and a place separating these sides, this fixture promises to be a tight affair. Stoke have the best defensive record of the division, with no team having conceded fewer than their eight goals. In fact, over their last nine league fixtures, six matches have seen one or fewer goals. Bristol City could play their part in a dull affair, as their recent away games have been low on goals.
This match looks unlikely to provide a lot of goals, and our Stoke vs Bristol City prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Bristol City
| Stoke vs Bristol City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 2.33 | 2.46 | +5.6% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.36 | -1.2% |
| Bristol City wins | 2.9 | 3.15 | +8.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bristol City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 31.7% (-2.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
