Stoke vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions
It’s anybody’s game on Saturday as Stoke take on the Birmingham challenge in a match that would be fun for everyone but the 22 men. Both teams have started sharply and have mostly mirrored each other’s form in the Championship so far. So, what’s the value bet here? Let’s find out in this Stoke vs Birmingham match prediction.
Going against the books in terms of what the odds indicate, we’re taking the Both Teams To Score bet. After all, both of their games last season saw both teams netting, and this is true in four of their last five games (all of which have ended with over 2.5 goals). So why are betting sites leaning towards fewer goals?
It’s because both teams have failed to score in four of Stoke’s last five, and the same goes for Birmingham’s last three games. But that might be good for us, as these odds may have been reasonably underpriced, especially when you consider that both teams have scored in their last four meetings at Stoke’s home.
What’s more, both The Potters and The Blues are eager to bounce back after losing their last league games before the international break. Stoke took a 1-0 defeat in their backyard to West Brom, while Birmingham travelled back from Leicester with 2 goals to none.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Stoke v Birmingham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.42 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.28 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.94 | 3.24 | 2.47 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.26 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Birmingham match is: Both Teams To Score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between Stoke and Birmingham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.01% for a win of Stoke against Birmingham with odds of 3 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Birmingham is 15.95% with odds of 3.28 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Stoke with odds of 2.55 at LSbet.
Stoke - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Birmingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 48.01% | 3 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.88% | 2.26 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 62.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Stoke/Stoke | 21.63% | 4.8 at LSbet |
Stoke vs Birmingham Form
Stoke and Birmingham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Stoke and Birmingham Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
13 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
8 Aug 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
13 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
8 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Stoke vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2023 - Championship
Stoke against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Bonham
DefenderE. Bocat
M. Talovierov
A. Phillips
MidfielderT. Seko
B. Joon-ho
R. Bozenik
M. Cisse
J. Donley
J. Beadle
DefenderE. Cashin
J. Robinson
MidfielderM. Leonard
B. Osayi-Samuel
L. Koumas
L. Dykes
K. Furuhashi
M. Ducksch
Missing players
L. Buchanan
Most goals and assists
Stoke
Birmingham
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
Stoke - Birmingham Key Points
- Both teams scored in their two meetings last season.
- In their last four H2Hs, both teams have scored in four.
- At Stoke’s home in this H2H, both teams have scored in the last four.
- Out of each of their four championship games this season, both teams have scored in two of their four games.
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Our Stoke vs Birmingham Prediction
It’s a classic case of mispriced odds, and we think taking the BTTS bet offers good value. The bookmakers have underestimated the number of goals that could be scored in this game despite their recent H2H history of both teams netting and Stoke’s streak of games that finished with over 2.5 goals.
With The Potters and The Blues eager to bounce back after their recent league setbacks, we expect to see the kind of open attacking play that’ll see the ball rolling out the back of both nets. Hence, our Stoke vs Birmingham prediction is Both Teams To Score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Birmingham
| Stoke vs Birmingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 2.75 | 3 | +9.1% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.28 | -2.1% |
| Birmingham wins | 2.5 | 2.55 | +2.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 33.3% (-3.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
