Standard Liege vs Charleroi Prediction & Betting Tips - Jupiler Pro League
Belgium - Jupiler Pro League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Jupiler Pro League Predictions
Standard Liege will target a win on the final matchday against Charleroi on Saturday in the 2025-26 European playoffs of the Belgian Pro League to qualify for the European competition playoff. This match between the first-placed Reds and the fourth-placed Zebras will be played in Liege with the result still likely to define the final standings. With two of the best defensive sides on view, our prediction is for less than 2.5 goals to be scored.
With 37 points in the playoff stage (W5, D2, L2), Standard have a two-point lead over Genk. Charleroi have 31 points (W4, D2, L3) and are already ruled out of the race to finish first.
Standard won 2-1 away at Westerlo on Tuesday to continue their impressive form. The Reds have now won three of their last four league games (D1), giving them control of the top spot race. Their home record is a concern, though, with Standard losing two of their last four league games here (W1, D1).
Charleroi drew 1-1 at home against Leuven on Tuesday to bounce back from a 1-0 defeat at home against Westerlo one matchday before. These results have ruled them out of the race to finish first, erasing the positives of three consecutive wins. Their away record has been consistent though, with two away wins in a row.
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Standard Liege v Charleroi Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.35 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.48 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.42 | 3.54 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.35 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Standard Liege and Charleroi?
Our prediction for the Standard Liege vs Charleroi match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/05/2026 between Standard Liege and Charleroi in Jupiler Pro League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.07% for a win of Standard Liege against Charleroi with odds of 2.2 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Standard Liege vs Charleroi is 33.87% with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Charleroi vs Standard Liege with odds of 3.7 at Shangrila.
Standard Liege - Charleroi Prediction and Best Odds:
| Standard Liege Charleroi Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 33.87% | 3.6 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 62.77% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 15.06% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Standard Liege vs Charleroi Form
Standard Liege and Charleroi's standings in the Jupiler Pro League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
37 | 40 | 16 | 9 | 15 | -2 |
|
3
|
34 | 40 | 14 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
Standard Liege and Charleroi Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
16 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
8 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
3 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
25 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
21 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
8 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
21 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
11 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
22 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
27 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
3 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
25 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
18 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
4 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
15 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
16 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
10 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
2 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
25 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
21 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
16 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
2 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
18 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
10 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
14 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
25 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
21 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
5 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
22 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
7 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
Standard Liege vs Charleroi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
18 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
31 Oct 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
4 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
6 Apr 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
30 Nov 2024 - Jupiler Pro League
Standard Liege against Charleroi Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Pirard
DefenderN. Mehssatou
D. Dierckx
MidfielderT. Mohr
C. Nielsen
T. Teuma
B. Nguene
R. Mitongo
D. Dargahi
M. Delavalee
DefenderM. Boukamir
MidfielderP. Guiagon
J. Gaudin
J. Romsaas
A. Boukamir
Y. Cisse
Y. Khalifi
A. Colassin
Most goals and assists
Standard Liege
Charleroi
R. Said
(8 Goals)
P. Guiagon
(9 Goals)
, 
A. Scheidler
(9 Goals)
R. Said
(6 Assists)
P. Pflucke
(7 Assists)
Standard Liege - Charleroi Key Points
- Charleroi’s last six league games produced under 2.5 goals.
- Charleroi have kept a clean sheet in three of their last five league matches.
- Charleroi’s last five away league matches have all produced fewer than three goals.
- Four of Standard’s last six matches against Charleroi saw two or fewer goals scored.
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Our Standard Liege vs Charleroi Prediction
Standard have a chance to top the play-offs group and qualify for the only spot available for the European competition play-off. They need to win here to make sure of that spot; else, the hosts will have to depend on Genk’s result on their final matchday. Standard will bank on their impressive defensive record, while Charleroi have done better in the playoff stage.
This is a match between two sides that have defensively excelled this season, so our Standard Liege vs Charleroi prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Standard Liege Charleroi
| Standard Liege vs Charleroi | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege wins | 2.1 | 2.2 | +4.8% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.6 | +2.9% |
| Charleroi wins | 3.5 | 3.7 | +5.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 27.8% (-0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Standard Liege vs. Charleroi game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
