Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
11/10/2026 15:05
Aviron Bayonne

Prediction :

 

Bayonne +33.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Stade Toulousain host Bayonne in this Top 14 Round 6 clash on Sunday. Bayonne are priced as underdogs here but their strong competitive performances suggest they can keep the scoreline respectable. This is why we support the away team to at least cover the handicap in our prediction.

Stade Toulousain continued their fine start to the league season by defeating Castres Olympique on the road last week. They edged the hosts 8–7 in a scrappy affair, securing their fourth consecutive win in the French top flight. 

The defending champions' strong start to the campaign and formidable home record have seen them installed as favorites here. However, they have not covered the handicap in three of their four Top 14 wins this season and in 11 of their last 12 meetings with Bayonne. 

Bayonne have also made a flying start to the campaign, picking up four wins in five Top 14 matches. They rallied from nine points down at the interval to edge Stade Francais Paris 35–33 in Round 4, securing their third consecutive victory in the league. 

L'Aviron have covered the handicap in five of their last six away losses and have been competitive in recent encounters with Stade Toulousain.

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Stade Toulousain v Aviron Bayonne Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.02 31 15.3
Melbet
1.02 31 15.3
Betwinner
1.02 31 15.3
22bet
1.02 50 18
Bet365
1.01 51 17
Check all Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne odds

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Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Form

Stade Toulousain and Aviron Bayonne's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Stade Toulousain
19 5 4 0 1 +62
5 Aviron Bayonne
17 5 4 0 1 -13

Stade Toulousain and Aviron Bayonne Last Matches

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

3 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
7 :  8
Stade Toulousain

27 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
40 :  18
Montpellier Herault Rugby

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
23 :  29
Stade Toulousain

13 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
48 :  12
Union Bordeaux Begles

6 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
30 :  27
Stade Toulousain

27 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
28 :  20
Montpellier Herault Rugby
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

27 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
40 :  18
Montpellier Herault Rugby

13 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
48 :  12
Union Bordeaux Begles

27 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
28 :  20
Montpellier Herault Rugby

19 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
71 :  17
Racing 92

30 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  31
Lyon Ou

26 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
24 :  27
Clermont
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

3 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
7 :  8
Stade Toulousain

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
23 :  29
Stade Toulousain

6 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
30 :  27
Stade Toulousain

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
31 :  20
Stade Toulousain

17 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
38 :  10
Stade Toulousain

9 May 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  51
Stade Toulousain
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

3 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  32
Stade Francais Paris

26 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
17 :  20
Aviron Bayonne

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
46 :  24
Clermont

12 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
70 :  28
Aviron Bayonne

5 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
27 :  26
RC Toulonnais

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
52 :  7
USA Perpignan
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

3 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  32
Stade Francais Paris

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
46 :  24
Clermont

5 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
27 :  26
RC Toulonnais

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
52 :  7
USA Perpignan

9 May 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
38 :  40
Union Bordeaux Begles

18 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
22 :  54
Section Paloise
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

26 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
17 :  20
Aviron Bayonne

12 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
70 :  28
Aviron Bayonne

30 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
38 :  21
Aviron Bayonne

16 May 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
42 :  35
Aviron Bayonne

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
52 :  26
Aviron Bayonne

21 Mar 2026 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
26 :  60
Aviron Bayonne

Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Toulousain

67 %

Draw

0 %

Aviron Bayonne

33 %

31 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  10
Aviron Bayonne

5 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
40 :  26
Stade Toulousain

20 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
32 :  25
Aviron Bayonne

22 Feb 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
41 :  6
Aviron Bayonne

3 Nov 2024 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
12 :  8
Stade Toulousain

3 Feb 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
46 :  26
Aviron Bayonne
Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction

Players list

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
T. N'tamack J. Brennan A. Capuozzo E. Elías T. Menoncello S. Chocobares J. Marchand F. Cros C. Baille A. Dupont D. Aldegheri J. Cruz Mallia T. Flament M. Lebel R. N'tamack
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne
T. Tatafu L. Coly S. Maqala J. Segonds T. Spring Y. Orabe E. Capilla L. Martin A. Bordelai E. Johnston R. du Preez M. Carreras B. Heguy A. Fischer L. Paulos Adler

Substitutes

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
P. Graou K. Gourgues J. Merkler Perez R. Neti T. Thomas A. Roumat R. Martin Bonnard T. lacombre
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne
G. Cramont M. Uhila B. Tilloles G. Habel Kuefner I. David Calles E. Setiano A. Iturria G. Martocq

Stade Toulousain - Aviron Bayonne Key Points

  1. Stade Toulousain have not covered the handicap in three of their four Top 14 wins this season.
  2. Stade Toulousain have failed to cover the handicap in 11 of their last 12 meetings with Bayonne.
  3. Bayonne have won four of their five Top 14 matches this season.
  4. Bayonne have covered the handicap in five of their last six away defeats.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction

While Stade Toulousain are favorites on paper, Bayonne are no pushovers and are likely to pose a significant challenge to the hosts. The visitors took their record to four wins in five matches with last week's victory and have remained competitive even in recent away defeats. 

Meanwhile, three of Stade Toulousain's four wins this season have not exceeded the handicap, including 11 of their 12 previous meetings with Bayonne. Sunday's clash is unlikely to be any different. Our Stade Toulousain vs Bayonne prediction : Bayonne +33.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Bayonne +33.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.