St. Pauli vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Predictions Odds Live

Germany - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
27/01/2026 14:30
Leipzig

Prediction :

 

Leipzig wins

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Leipzig will look to get into Bundesliga’s top three with a win over the struggling St Pauli in this rescheduled matchday 16 fixture in Hamburg on Tuesday. This match between the 17th-placed ‘Neighbourhood Kickers’ and the fifth-placed ‘Red Bulls’ comes with our prediction of an away win.

With 13 points from 18 matches (W3, D4, L11), St. Pauli are five points behind the safety zone. Leipzig’s 35 points from 18 games (W11, D2, L5) saw them end last weekend one point behind third and three points above sixth.

St. Pauli drew 0-0 at home against Hamburg last Friday to bounce back from a couple of defeats. Despite those two losses remaining their only reverses across the last six league games (W1, D3), St. Pauli are still in the danger zone.

The host have won four points from their last two league matches here (W1, D1), but four consecutive defeats before suggest they are not maximizing their home advantage.

Leipzig won 3-0 away at Heidenheim last weekend for a second win in the last three league games (L1). Having lost two league matches in a row before this sequence, the Red Bulls need to pick up momentum.

The visitors have struggled on the road lately, with just one win from their last four league trips (D1, L2), although that came in their last away game.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

St. Pauli v Leipzig Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.9 3.75 1.79
Melbet
5.25 3.5 1.73
Betwinner
4.84 3.6 1.76
Bet365
5 3.5 1.75
Roobet
4.7 3.55 1.75
Check all St. Pauli vs Leipzig odds

What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Leipzig?

Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Leipzig match is: Leipzig wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/01/2026 between St. Pauli and Leipzig in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.31% for a win of St. Pauli against Leipzig with odds of 5.25 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Leipzig is 30.1% with odds of 3.75 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 47.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs St. Pauli with odds of 1.8 at 888Starz.

St. Pauli - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:

St. Pauli Leipzig Prediction Probability Odds
Leipzig wins 47.58% 1.8 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 60.7% 2.17 at 888Starz
Both Team To Score: No 56.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leipzig 19.8% 4.6 at LSbet

St. Pauli vs Leipzig Form

St. Pauli and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Leipzig
65 34 20 5 9 +19
18 St. Pauli
26 34 6 8 20 -31

St. Pauli and Leipzig Last Matches

St. Pauli
St. Pauli Last matches
W D D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Hamburg

17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
St. Pauli

14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  1
St. Pauli

4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Werder Bremen

21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
St. Pauli

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Heidenheim
D L L W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Hamburg

4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Werder Bremen

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Heidenheim

23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Union Berlin

1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  4
Mönchengladbach

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

St. Pauli
2 :  2
Hoffenheim
L W D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
St. Pauli

14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  1
St. Pauli

21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
St. Pauli

6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  1
St. Pauli

2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal

Mönchengladbach
1 :  2
St. Pauli

29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
St. Pauli
Leipzig
Leipzig Last matches
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  3
Leipzig

17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Freiburg

20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  1
Leipzig

6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
6 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Freiburg

20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
6 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal

Leipzig
3 :  1
Magdeburg

23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Werder Bremen
W W L D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  3
Leipzig

12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  1
Leipzig

28 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  0
Leipzig

8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
3 :  1
Leipzig

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Energie Cottbus
1 :  4
Leipzig

25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  6
Leipzig

St. Pauli vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

St. Pauli

0 %

Draw

33 %

Leipzig

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
St. Pauli

29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal

Leipzig
4 :  2
St. Pauli

22 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Leipzig

St. Pauli against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11

St. Pauli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

22
N. Vasilj
15
T. Ando
5
H. Wahl
3
K. Mets
11
A. Pyrka
6
J. Sands
8
E. Smith
2
M. Saliakas
16
J. Fujita
10
D. Sinani
26
R. Jones
7
A. Nusa
40
Romulo
49
Y. Diomande
14
C. Baumgartner
13
N. Seiwald
24
X. Schlager
22
D. Raum
5
E. Bitshiabu
4
W. Orban
17
R. Baku
1
P. Gulacsi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3

Leipzig

Substitutes

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Goalkeeper

B. Voll

Defender

J. Robatsch

L. Ritzka

Midfielder

M. Pereira Lage

D. Sinani 76'

L. Oppie

J. Irvine

J. Sands 76'

Forward

M. Rasmussen

J. Fujita 77'

M. Kaars

R. Jones 68'

A. Ceesay

M. Saliakas 88'

Leipzig
Leipzig
Goalkeeper

M. Vandevoordt

Defender

K. Nedeljkovic

M. Finkgrafe

L. Klostermann

B. Henrichs

Y. Diomande 90'

Midfielder

E. Banzuzi

C. Baumgartner 85'

A. Maksimovic

Forward

C. Harder

Romulo 64'

T. Gomis

A. Nusa 85'

Missing players

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Goalkeeper

S. Spari

Defender

D. Nemeth

Midfielder

C. Metcalfe

Forward

A. Hountondji

Leipzig
Leipzig
Defender

C. Lukeba

Midfielder

A. Ouedraogo

V. Gebel

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato St. Pauli
CD Huachipato Leipzig
Top Goalscorer
Luxembourg D. Sinani (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Austria C. Baumgartner (13 Goals)
Best assists
Japan J. Fujita (3 Assists)
Best assists
Germany D. Raum (7 Assists) , 
Ivory Coast Y. Diomande (7 Assists)

St. Pauli - Leipzig Key Points

  1. St. Pauli lost two of their last three league games.
  2. In the Bundesliga, St. Pauli were beaten in 11 of their last 15 matches.
  3. At home, St. Pauli lost four of their last six league games.
  4. Leipzig won nine of their last 14 competitive matches.
  5. In the Bundesliga, Leipzig won two of their last three matches.
  6. Leipzig won their last two competitive matches against St. Pauli.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our St. Pauli vs Leipzig Prediction

This rescheduled match gives a chance for both teams to move up. Leipzig can go as high as third with a win, while St. Pauli can move closer to the safety zone with a victory. The hosts have avoided defeat in four of their last six league games and won four points in their last two league games played here. That may prove to be tricky for Leipzig, who have won only one of their last four league trips.

Leipzig are still favourites, and our St. Pauli vs Leipzig prediction is Leipzig wins.

Prediction :

 

Leipzig wins

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St. Pauli Leipzig

St. Pauli vs Leipzig Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
St. Pauli wins 4.06 5.25 +29.3%
Draw 3.74 3.75 +0.3%
Leipzig wins 1.85 1.8 -2.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Leipzig is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 55.6% (1.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

St. Pauli vs Leipzig Prediction