Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Freiburg
08/11/2026 11:30
Union Berlin

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Freiburg’s renewed momentum could push their chances against a Union Berlin side that has been struggling on the road in this matchday nine clash of the Bundesliga on Sunday. This match at Europa-Park Stadion between the 3rd-placed ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ and the 16th-placed ‘Iron Ones’ could be a tighter one than what the positions indicate, and our match prediction backs under 3.5 goals here.

Freiburg’s 16 points (W5, D1, L2) see them start this round just two points behind leaders Bayern Munich and one point above Leipzig. The union's seven points (W1, D4, L3) put them in the relegation play-off spot ahead of this round, two points adrift of safety.

A 1-0 away win at Trabzonspor on Thursday in the UEFA Conference League made it three competitive wins on the bounce for Freiburg. That included a 2-1 away win at Augsburg last weekend in the league, which halted a two-game losing sequence. Home form is still impressive for Freiburg, who have three wins from their four league games here.

The Union drew 1-1 at home against Koln last weekend to extend their unbeaten league run (W1, D3), including three consecutive draws. With only five goals conceded in that sequence, Union’s matches have slowly become tight games, and they have scored just one goal in their three away league games this term.

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Freiburg v Union Berlin Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.43 4.60 6.00
1xbet
1.56 4.73 6.11
Melbet
1.50 4.54 5.85
Betwinner
1.50 4.54 5.85
22bet
1.50 4.64 5.85
Check all Freiburg vs Union Berlin odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Union Berlin?

Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Union Berlin match is: under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2026 between Freiburg and Union Berlin in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.92% for a win of Freiburg against Union Berlin with odds of 1.56 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Union Berlin is 18.56% with odds of 4.73 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 10.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Berlin vs Freiburg with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.

Freiburg vs Union Berlin Form

Freiburg and Union Berlin's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Freiburg
16 8 5 1 2 +8
16 Union Berlin
7 8 1 4 3 -12

Freiburg and Union Berlin Last Matches

Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Nov 2026 - Conference League

Trabzonspor
0 :  1
Freiburg

31 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  2
Freiburg

28 Oct 2026 - DFB Pokal

Freiburg
3 :  2
Wolfsburg

25 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

22 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Monaco
3 :  0
Freiburg

18 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Freiburg
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2026 - DFB Pokal

Freiburg
3 :  2
Wolfsburg

25 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Freiburg
3 :  2
FK Jablonec

11 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Schalke 04

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Mönchengladbach

30 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
4 :  1
Werder Bremen
W D L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Nov 2026 - Conference League

Trabzonspor
0 :  1
Freiburg

31 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  2
Freiburg

22 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Monaco
3 :  0
Freiburg

18 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Freiburg

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  2
Freiburg

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  1
Freiburg
Union Berlin
Union Berlin Last matches
W W D D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  1
Köln

27 Oct 2026 - DFB Pokal

Köln
5 :  0
Union Berlin

24 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  1
Union Berlin

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  0
Spvgg Elversberg

26 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
0 :  1
Union Berlin
L D L W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  1
Köln

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  0
Spvgg Elversberg

11 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  3
Schalke 04

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  3
Eintracht Frankfurt

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Berlin
2 :  4
Ipswich Town
W L L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
3.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Oct 2026 - DFB Pokal

Köln
5 :  0
Union Berlin

24 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  1
Union Berlin

26 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
0 :  1
Union Berlin

18 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
7 :  0
Union Berlin

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
Union Berlin

23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Braunschweig
2 :  4
Union Berlin

Freiburg vs Union Berlin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Freiburg

0 %

Draw

50 %

Union Berlin

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.17
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  1
Union Berlin

1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Freiburg

30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Union Berlin

8 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Freiburg

18 May 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
2 :  1
Freiburg

13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Union Berlin
Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction

Freiburg vs Union Berlin last Lineups

Freiburg

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Backhaus
17
L. Kubler
28
M. Ginter
3
P. Lienhart
33
J. Makengo
8
M. Eggestein
16
Y. Engelhardt
22
C. Irie
42
K. Goto
32
V. Grifo
31
I. Matanovic
21
T. Skarke
30
K. Imeri
20
M. Aebischer
9
L. Burcu
8
R. Khedira
13
A. Schafer
17
D. Kohn
5
M. Friedrich
4
Z. Van Den Bosch
19
J. Haberer
1
F. Ronnow

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Union Berlin

Substitutes

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

J. Huth

Defender

A. Jung

C. Gunter

P. Treu

M. Rosenfelder

B. Yilmaz

Midfielder

R. Tarnutzer

J. Beste

R. Yamamoto

Y. Suzuki

Forward

L. Holer

D. Scherhant

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Goalkeeper

M. Raab

Defender

T. Rothe

C. Trimmel

L. Querfeld

Midfielder

A. Kemlein

J. Woo-yeong

Forward

M. Gray

O. Burke

E. Latte Lath

Missing players

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

P. Treu

B. Yilmaz

B. Ogbus

Midfielder

F. Muslija

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Defender

F. Uduokhai

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Freiburg
CD Huachipato Union Berlin
Top Goalscorer
Japan Y. Suzuki (4 Goals) , 
Croatia I. Matanovic (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany T. Skarke (2 Goals) ,  Germany J. Haberer (2 Goals)
Best assists
Germany M. Ginter (3 Assists) , 
Germany D. Scherhant (3 Assists)
Best assists
Croatia J. Juranovic (2 Assists)

Freiburg and Union Berlin Stats in Bundesliga

Freiburg
Freiburg
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
63%
Wins
13%
25%
Losses
38%
13%
Draws
50%
3.5
Average goals per match
3.25
2.25
Goals scored per match
0.88
1.25
Goals conceded per match
2.38
13%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
88%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
25%
No goals conceded
25%
75%
BTTS
50%

Freiburg - Union Berlin Key Points

  1. Freiburg’s league games averaged 3.50, while Union’s matches averaged 3.25 goals per game this season.
  2. Four of Freiburg’s last six competitive games have produced under 3.5 goals.
  3. Three of Freiburg’s last four Bundesliga matches have seen exactly three goals scored.
  4. Union’s last four league games have produced two or fewer goals.
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Our Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction

After a three-game losing streak threatened to derail their season, Freiburg are back in reckoning with a three-match winning run in all competitions. Their matches remain goal magnets in the division, which could concern Union Berlin, who are yet to win on the road this league campaign.

This fixture has been low-scoring in recent times, with only one goal scored across the last two fixtures, and the last six seeing at most three goals each time. That could continue here, so our Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction is under 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.