Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting Lisbon will be up against Vitoria Guimaraes to wrap up the Primeira Liga. Hosting this game, Sporting will be seeking a win, while Guimaraes wants the same to fuel their European ambitions. We have a prediction for the match.
Sporting need to match Benfica’s result against Braga to be declared champions. The setting for their final match of the season couldn’t have been better.
Rui Borges' men are unbeaten in their last 10 home league matches, and all season, they’ve only lost one there. In 40 league games at home, they lost just once. Sporting needed a stoppage-time goal in the reverse match to secure a 4-4 draw.
In the last 12 meetings between these two sides, Vitoria Guimaraes won just once. To be sure of being in Europe next season, they have to repeat the same at a very tough venue.
They can still advance either way, but only a win gives them the guarantee to finish above Santa Clara. At this point in time, Vitoria Guimaraes will be ruing their 2-1 loss to Farense last time out.
It was particularly disappointing for Guimaraes that they conceded the second goal in that game in stoppage time. Meanwhile, in their last 13 away league matches, Guimaraes won just three.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Vitoria SC Guimaraes Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.25 | 9 |
|
|
1.29 | 5 | 9 |
|
|
1.29 | 5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.25 | 7.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes match is: Sporting to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.18% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 1.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes is 27.26% with odds of 6.1 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 11 at Unibet.
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 52.18% | 1.5 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.8% | 1.58 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 73.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 26.21% | 1.87 at Betsson |
Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Form
Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
82 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 61 |
|
6
|
54 | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 10 |
Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
24 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
24 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
5 Nov 2022 - Liga Portugal
19 Mar 2022 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon against Vitoria SC Guimaraes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
V. Gyokeres
(47 Goals)
G. Silva
(10 Goals)
F. Trincao
(15 Assists)
N. Santos
(9 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Key Points
- Sporting have won eight times in their last 10 league games.
- Both teams scored in four of Guimaraes’ last five away fixtures.
- Sporting Lisbon are unbeaten in their last 10 home league matches.
- In their last 13 away league outings, Guimaraes managed just three wins.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction
Sporting Lisbon will go into this game as firm favorites even though lately Vitoria Guimaraes have given them difficult times. With their home form and the stakes ahead of this match, we do not expect Sporting to stumble in this crucial game.
Vitoria Guimaraes also need a win to be guaranteed a Conference League spot. They will definitely put in an effort and could score here. In the last three matches against Sporting, Vitoria Guimaraes scored seven goals. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Vitoria Guimaraes is for Sporting to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Vitoria SC Guimaraes
| Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.29 | 1.3 | +0.8% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 5.25 | 0% |
| Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 11 | 9 | -18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 76.9% (-0.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sporting Lisbon vs. Vitoria SC Guimaraes game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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