Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting have won their last three league games and climbed to second, scoring 12 goals in four along the way. Nacional Madeira are heading the other way, beaten in back-to-back games. That gap in form is why our match prediction backs a comfortable home win when they meet at the Estádio José Alvalade in Liga Portugal.
Os Leões have been in ruthless form, sealing a third straight win with a 4-0 rout of Rio Ave. They have scored 12 goals in four games, a rate of three a game. At home, that attack should overwhelm a struggling Nacional, just as they’ve repeatedly done in this stadium. Notably, Sporting has won its last five home games against Nacional, winning four by 2+ goals.
On the other hand, Os Alvinegros have gone the other way, slipping to back-to-back defeats, with the latest a 3-2 loss at Estrela Amadora. Their defence has shipped six goals in four games, at 1.5 a game. Against a Sporting side scoring at will, that leaves them badly exposed.
The visitors away form only makes matters worse, with one draw and a loss in their two road games for the season. And after their first 2-2 draw with Santa Clara, Os Alvinegros failed to score on their last trip to Vitória (1-0).
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Sporting Lisbon v Nacional Madeira Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 6.6 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.61 | 12.2 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.45 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.45 | 11.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Nacional Madeira?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira match is: Sporting wins with -1 handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Nacional Madeira in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 81.11% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Nacional Madeira with odds of 1.25 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira is 10.89% with odds of 6.61 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 8% chance ⭐ for a win of Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 14.5 at Betsson.
Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira Form
Sporting Lisbon and Nacional Madeira's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 |
|
10
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Sporting Lisbon and Nacional Madeira Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2024 - Portugal League Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 May 2021 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
D. Callai
DefenderR. Dias
Quaresma
G. Vagiannidis
I. Ba
MidfielderP. Barros
S. Andersen
L. Guilherme
J. Derry
ForwardF. Ioannidis
N. Irankunda
R. Nel
K. Medeiros de Freitas
J. Goncalves
DefenderD. De la Cruz
S. Gavriel
F. Goncalves
MidfielderM. Iseppe
Deivison
M. Jensen
D. Dongmo
ForwardF. Nava
M. Djalo
A. Obando
Missing players
J. Simoes
ForwardN. Santos
R. Marin
DefenderJ. Gomes
Ulisses
MidfielderC. Labidi
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Nacional Madeira
L. Suarez
(3 Goals)
Liziero
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Baeza
(1 Goals)
,
L. Santos
(1 Goals)
,
Ze Vitor
(1 Goals)
,
Wesley
(1 Goals)
,
P. Messias Cardozo
(1 Goals)
G. Catamo
(3 Assists)
D. de Melo Araujo Junior
(1 Assists)
,
L. Santos
(1 Assists)
,
Liziero
(1 Assists)
, 
W. Kokolo
(1 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon and Nacional Madeira Stats in Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon - Nacional Madeira Key Points
- Sporting have won their last three league games, scoring 12 goals.
- Sporting hammered Rio Ave 4-0 in their latest game.
- Nacional have lost their last two games, the latest 3-2 at Estrela Amadora.
- Nacional have conceded six goals in four games, and sit tenth.
- Sporting have by 2+ goals in four of their last five home meetings with Nacional.
- Nacional were goalless in their last away game.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira Prediction
Sporting are flying at exactly the right time. They have won their last three, scored 12 goals in four games, and just put four past Rio Ave without reply. Os Leões host a Nacional side going the other way, beaten in back-to-back games and shipping six goals in four.
Os Leões have also won the last two meetings between the sides, and won five straight home games against Nacional. Hence, our Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira match prediction is that Sporting wins with -1 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
