Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

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Portugal - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
27/02/2026 15:45
Estoril

Prediction :

 

BTTS - Yes

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions

With only four points separating Sporting CP from the top, Os Leões will accept nothing short of three points when they host Estoril in Matchday 24 of the Liga Portugal. But with Canarinhos only tasting defeat once in its last six games, can Lisbon comfortably do the double here? Find out in our Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril match prediction.

With the kind of form Sporting Lisbon is in, it won't be surprising if they usurp Porto to defend their title. Os Leões have now gone 19 games in the league without defeat. In their last nine games, Lisbon has won eight and drawn one game against title challengers Porto.

And in that span, Lisbon beat Athletic Club and reigning UCL champions PSG to secure a top-8 finish. On paper, this just has to be a win for Sporting. However, that’s if Estoril has nothing to say about that. Yes, Estoril has lost nine of its last ten meetings against Sporting.

However, Canarinhos has been silently surging since December. In its last nine games, Estoril has won six with only two losses. And that is thanks to Estoril’s free-firing frontline, which has scored the fourth-most goals this season.

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Sporting Lisbon v Estoril Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.19 7.6 12
Melbet
1.15 8.8 14.5
Betwinner
1.15 8.8 14.5
Bet365
1.15 7.5 11
Roobet
1.17 7.6 12
Check all Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Estoril?

Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril match is: BTTS - Yes.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/02/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Estoril in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 74.84% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Estoril with odds of 1.2 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril is 5.51% with odds of 8.8 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 15 at LSbet.

Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Prediction and Best Odds:

Sporting Lisbon Estoril Prediction Probability Odds
Sporting Lisbon wins 74.84% 1.2 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 78.71%
Both Team To Score 52.92%
Half-time / Full-time : Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon 39.05% 1.57 at Bet365

Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril Form

Sporting Lisbon and Estoril's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Sporting Lisbon
82 34 25 7 2 +65
10 Estoril
39 34 10 9 15 -3

Sporting Lisbon and Estoril Last Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Famalicao

9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

5 Feb 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
AVS Futebol SAD

1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Nacional Madeira

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Famalicao

5 Feb 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
AVS Futebol SAD

1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Nacional Madeira

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
PSG

16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

6 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
W D W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon
Estoril
Estoril Last matches
W W W D L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
3 :  1
Gil Vicente

15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
3 :  0
Estoril

7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
2 :  2
Tondela

31 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  4
Estoril

24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
4 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

19 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  5
Estoril
D W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
3 :  1
Gil Vicente

7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
2 :  2
Tondela

24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
4 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

27 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
4 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

19 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  0
SC Braga

7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
3 :  3
Moreirense
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
3 :  0
Estoril

31 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  4
Estoril

19 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  5
Estoril

3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  1
Estoril

14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
4 :  0
Estoril

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Estoril

Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Lisbon

100 %

Draw

0 %

Estoril

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Estoril

27 Sept 2024 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

5 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
Estoril

27 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Estoril

Sporting Lisbon against Estoril Lineups: Starting 11

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Silva
22
I. Fresneda
26
O. Diomande
25
Goncalo Inacio
20
M. Araujo
42
M. Hjulmand
5
H. Morita
10
G. Catamo
17
F. Trincao
31
L. Guilherme
97
L. Suarez
9
A. Marques
99
R. Guitane
14
Y. Begraoui
12
J. Carvalho
10
J. Holsgrove
6
J. Orellana
20
G. Costa
25
F. Bacher
4
Ferro
2
R. Sanchez
1
J. Robles

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Estoril

Substitutes

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

J. Virginia

Defender

Quaresma

G. Vagiannidis

I. Fresneda 83'

Midfielder

J. Simoes

H. Morita 72'

P. Goncalves

D. Braganca

G. Catamo 83'

Forward

S. Faye

L. Guilherme 72'

R. Nel

N. Santos

F. Trincao 83'

Estoril
Estoril
Goalkeeper

M. Turk

Defender

J. Montes

A. Tsoungui

A. Marques 46'

L. Bimai

Midfielder

Pizzi

J. Orellana 80'

N. Lominadze

P. Carvalho

G. Costa 46'

Forward

K. Edwards

R. Guitane 80'

Peixinho

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
CD Huachipato Estoril
Top Goalscorer
Colombia L. Suarez (28 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Morocco Y. Begraoui (20 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Trincao (11 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal J. Carvalho (9 Assists)

Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in five of their last seven meetings at Sporting’s home.
  2. Sporting has scored the most goals this season (59), netting 2.5 per game.
  3. Both teams have scored in four of Estoril’s last five games, and six of its last eight.
  4. Estoril has scored the fourth-most goals this season (46), netting 2.0 goals per game.
  5. Estoril has conceded the sixth-most goals this season (39).
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril Prediction

Sporting CP might have conceded the second-fewest goals and kept the third-most clean sheets so far. But this Estoril isn't taking any prisoners. Canarinhos has now scored in eight of their last nine games and in 15 of their last 18, showing remarkable consistency.

For context, Estoril has also scored more goals than league leaders Porto. Os Leões are definitely capable of a clean sheet, but with a loss almost certain at Sporting’s home, Estoril tends to go all out on this ground. Hence, our Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril prediction is BTTS - Yes.

Prediction :

 

BTTS - Yes

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Estoril

Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sporting Lisbon wins 1.2 1.2 0%
Draw 6.6 8.8 +33.3%
Estoril wins 11 15 +36.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 83.3% (0.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril Prediction