Europe - Champions League
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by Daniel Ngulu in Champions League Predictions
Swedish champions Malmo have a tough outing coming up in the return leg of the Champions League playoff round. They will be traveling to the Czech Republic to take on Sparta Prague this Tuesday the 27th August. Read on for our preview and prediction of the match.
Heading into this game, the hosts have a comfortable 2-0 lead, established in the first leg in Sweden. While the Swedes must win by a margin of three goals, the Czech champions only need to hold out for a draw at the minimum.
A place in the 36-team league phase of the competition is the prize here, with the loser on aggregate dropping to the Europa League. Malmo are seeking a place in the proper Champions League competition for only the fourth time in their history. If they achieve that, it will also be their first time since reaching the 2021/22 group stage.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sparta Prague v Malmo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 51 | 401 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.1 | 6.5 | 34 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.62 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.12 | 6.4 | 36 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sparta Prague and Malmo?
Our prediction for the Sparta Prague vs Malmo match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2024 between Sparta Prague and Malmo in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.55% for a win of Sparta Prague against Malmo with odds of 2.35 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sparta Prague vs Malmo is 26.73% with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Malmo vs Sparta Prague with odds of 451 at Betfair.
Sparta Prague - Malmo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sparta Prague Malmo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague wins | 51.55% | 2.35 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.05% | 4.8 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 77.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sparta Prague/Sparta Prague | 22.84% | 23 at Unibet |
Sparta Prague vs Malmo Form
Sparta Prague and Malmo Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Chance Liga
21 Aug 2024 - Champions League
17 Aug 2024 - Chance Liga
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Chance Liga
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Chance Liga
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
2 Aug 2024 - Chance Liga
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
19 Jul 2024 - Chance Liga
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2024 - Champions League
17 Aug 2024 - Chance Liga
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Chance Liga
27 Jul 2024 - Chance Liga
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
21 Aug 2024 - Champions League
17 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2024 - Champions League
17 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
27 Jul 2024 - Allsvenskan
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
7 Jul 2024 - Allsvenskan
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
19 Jul 2024 - Allsvenskan
13 Jul 2024 - Allsvenskan
Sparta Prague vs Malmo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Aug 2024 - Champions League
1 Feb 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Sparta Prague - Malmo: Form Analysis
Sparta Prague have had a strong start to the season and this is a game they are backed to handle with ease. They uncharacteristically struggled against Slovacko this weekend in the Czech topflight. Železná Sparta had to come from behind twice to claim a point in the 2-2 draw.
It took Veljko Birmančević’s 79th minute penalty to earn them a share of the spoils. This result marked the first time in their domestic league that they dropped points. The hosts, however, remain unbeaten so far this season, with nine wins in the 11 matches played.
In 10 of those 11 matches, Sparta Prague scored two or more goals, and most have been high-scoring. Going into their sixth Champions League game this season, Sparta Prague have won four times already. They eliminated Shamrock Rovers before seeing off Steaua Bucharest in previous rounds.
Having won away from home in the first leg, Sparta Prague are the favorites to sail through.
Malmo are also coming from a 2-2 draw in the Swedish league, having rallied from behind to hold Kalmar. While they are still comfortably on top of the Allsvenskan, two matches without a win should concern them.
The visitors are going into a must-win game, needing a massive victory at a very unfriendly venue. It will be concerning for the away fans that the team has conceded at least twice in three of their last four matches.
Meanwhile, Malmo haven't won by more than a one-goal margin in the last eight matches. They’ve, however, scored four goals in two of their five Champions League matches this season.
At home to Klaksvik in the 2nd qualifying round, they won 4-1 and will be looking to replicate that against a much stronger opponent. Henrik Rydström’s side hasn’t managed a Champions League clean sheet so far.
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Sparta Prague against Malmo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Sparta Prague & Malmo Squad Analysis
Sparta Prague will once again miss the services of Spaniard Imanol Garcia de Albeniz. The new signing is struggling with fitness issues and even missed the weekend game. On the other hand, Veljko Birmančević scored this weekend to continue with his strong start to the season.
In recognition of his importance for the coming game, he started from the bench in the draw with Slovacko. He should return to the starting team on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Matej Rynes, scorer in the first leg, played the opening 72 minutes on Saturday and will definitely start in midweek.
Both teams will be lining out their best in this game expected to produce a high score.
Malmo’s plans for this game will be hampered by injury concerns reported by a number of key players. Niklas Moisander is still nursing a knee injury, thus remains ruled out here.
Anton Tinnerholm and Stefano Vecchia both missed the weekend game against Kalmar with groin and back problems respectively. They are still expected to sit this one out.
Among the changes in their weekend match saw Isaac Thelin only introduced in the latter stages of the game. Thelin and Erik Botheim should be starters in this game as Malmo hunt for goals.
Most goals and assists
Sparta Prague
Malmo
L. Haraslin
(11 Goals)
E. Botheim
(4 Goals)
L. Haraslin
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Panak
(1 Assists)
, 
V. Olatunji
(1 Assists)
,
L. Sadilek
(1 Assists)
Busanello
(2 Assists)
Sparta Prague - Malmo Key Points
- Two of Sparta Prague’s last four Champions League matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 17 goals were scored in Sparta Prague’s last five Champions League matches.
- In Sparta Prague’s five home matches this season, only two had under 2.5 goals.
- Malmo’s last five Champions League matches saw 23 goals scored.
- Seven of Malmo’s last 10 matches produced at least three goals.
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Our Sparta Prague vs Malmo Prediction
Malmo have an uphill task, needing to overturn a 2-0 home loss. While they have shown they have the firepower to do the job, defensively they haven't impressed. Most of Malmo’s recent matches have been high-scoring but they rarely win by more than a goal.
The Swedish giants conceded two or more goals in each of their last four Champions League matches. They face a Sparta Prague side that scored two or more in four of the last five home matches.
The hosts also scored in each of their five Champions League games, netting at least twice in four of them. Our prediction for Sparta Prague v Malmo is for the game to have over 2.5 goals.
Sparta Prague vs Malmo - Other Interesting Predictions
Sparta Prague to win
Sparta Prague haven't tasted defeat this season. They will be playing at home, thus have lesser pressure after winning the first leg comfortably. Meanwhile Malmo have struggled a bit in the Champions League this season, losing twice and conceding in all five. Our second prediction for this game would be for Sparta Prague to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sparta Prague Malmo
| Sparta Prague vs Malmo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague wins | 1.87 | 1 | -46.5% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 51 | +1,316.7% |
| Malmo wins | 3.8 | 401 | +10,452.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sparta Prague is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 46.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 53.5% and is now 100.0% (46.5%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Sparta Prague vs Malmo match : Frequently asked questions
The Sparta Prague v Malmo match will be played on Tuesday 27th August starting 7pm GMT.
The Sparta Prague v Malmo match will be played at the Epet Arena in Prague.
The Sparta Prague v Malmo match will be aired on Viaplay and V Sport Premium in Sweden and in the Czech Republic it will be on Nova Sport 3. You can also follow the Live Champions League page for live scores.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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