Spain vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Spain's preparations for the 2026 FIFA World Cup will begin with a home friendly against Serbia, who are still coming to grips with their inability to qualify for the global tournament. This match between the world #1-ranked 'La Roja' and the 39th-ranked 'Eagles' comes with our prediction of a Spain win to nil.
The Spaniards qualified for the global tournament by topping Group E of the UEFA qualifiers with an unbeaten run (W5, D1). They were supposed to play Argentina, but with that match canceled, the UN is on using the friends against Serbia and Egypt for finetuning their preparations.
Serbia failed to qualify for the World Cup, ending their two-tournament presence on the global stage. The Serbians narrowly missed out on the playoffs spot after they finished third in Group K of the qualifiers with 13 points (W4, D1, L3). A surprise win here – or even a point for that matter – will be huge in Serbia's attempt to drown the sorrow of missing out on the World Cup. Will Spain assert their strength and brush aside Serbia? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Spain v Serbia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 12.25 | 64 |
|
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1.16 | 8.16 | 15.2 |
|
|
1.13 | 8.8 | 17 |
|
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1.14 | 7 | 13 |
|
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1.17 | 7.2 | 15 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Spain and Serbia?
Our prediction for the Spain vs Serbia match is: Spain win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/03/2026 between Spain and Serbia in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.59% for a win of Spain against Serbia with odds of 1.18 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Spain vs Serbia is 32.52% with odds of 12.25 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Serbia vs Spain with odds of 64 at Stake.
Spain - Serbia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Spain Serbia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 54.59% | 1.18 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.36% | 1.28 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Spain/Spain | 34.07% | 1.55 at LSbet |
Spain vs Serbia Form
Spain and Serbia Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Spain vs Serbia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Spain - Serbia: Form Analysis
Spain drew 2-2 at home against Turkey in their last match, in November, in the World Cup qualifiers. That was preceded by five consecutive wins for 'La Roja', and each of those victories came with a clean sheet. Continuing that momentum could be crucial in their preparations for the World Cup.
With an attacking unit that scored 18 goals across their last five matches, Spain will bank on their forwards to land another comprehensive win.
Spain have scored 16 goals in their last six matches played on home soil.
Serbia ended their World Cup qualification campaign with two wins out of their last three games (L1), but that wasn't enough to earn them a place in the World Cup. Even a play-off place was out of their reach after three defeats in the five recent games, each coming with a scoring blank.
The Eagles have been stubborn on the road lately, losing just one of their last six matches (W2, D3) away from home. They also won their last away friendly match, albeit against Sweden back in June 2024.
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Players list
U. Simon
DefenderP. Cubarsi
M. Llorente
A. Laporte
M. Cucurella
MidfielderPedri
A. Baena
F. Lopez
Rodri
ForwardL. Yamal
M. Oyarzabal
V. Milinkovic-Savic
DefenderS. Pavlovic
N. Milenkovic
O. Mimovic
A. Stankovic
A. Terzic
MidfielderV. Birmancevic
S. Milinkovic-Savic
N. Gudelj
ForwardA. Mitrovic
F. Kostic
Substitutes
D. Raya
A. Remiro
DefenderP. Porro
D. Huijsen
C. Mosquera
A. Grimaldo
MidfielderM. Zubimendi
C. Soler
P. Fornals
D. Olmo
ForwardV. Munoz
A. Barrenetxea
Y. Pino
F. Torres
B. Iglesias
D. Petrovic
P. Rajkovic
DefenderS. Erakovic
K. Nedeljkovic
S. Bukinac
MidfielderL. Samardzic
P. Stanic
V. Kostov
V. Dragojevic
S. Lukic
M. Gacinovic
N. Petrovic
ForwardP. Ratkov
L. Jovic
D. Joveljic
Spain & Serbia Squad Analysis
Spain have a number of notable absentees from their squad, with the likes of Fabian Ruiz, Mikel Merino, Gavi, Alvaro Morata and Nico Williams out of this fixture due to injuries. Head coach De la Fuente is still blessed with a number of impressive attacking options, including Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal.
Oyarzabal could start at the center of their attack, as Spain are likely to use their 4-3-3 formation. Merino's six goals in the qualifiers will be missed, but La Roja will hope Oyarzabal (six goals, four assists) continues to lead their attack.
Oyarzabal has five goals in his last four home matches.
Serbia have a strong unit too, with the 31-year-old veteran Aleksandar Mitrovic looking to increase his tally of 63 goals for the country. The Eagles will miss Dusan Vlahovic, who's out with an injury.
The Serbs have been flexible with their formations, usually lining up in 4-2-3-1 or 4-5-1 or even 3-4-1-2 depending on the need to stifle their opponents in the middle of the park.
Spain - Serbia Key Points
- Spain have won five of their last six matches, each time without conceding a goal.
- Serbia lost three of their last five matches, each without scoring a goal.
- Spain have three wins from their last four matches played at home.
- Spain haven’t conceded a goal in their last three matches against Serbia.
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Our Spain vs Serbia Prediction
Spain would have ideally wanted their showdown against Argentina to have gone ahead, but with the Finalissima canceled, friends against Serbia and Egypt make up their preparation for the global stage. They drew 2-2 against Turkey when they last played, but that was a minor aberration in their entire World Cup qualification campaign. The Spaniards have fine wins out of their last six, each as comprehensive as the other.
Serbia could struggle to compete against the offensive strengths of Spain, which is why our Spain vs Serbia prediction is Spain win to nil.
Spain vs Serbia Alternative Predictions
Spain wins
It's hard to see Spain tripping here, especially with the amount of talent that's in their squad. Serbia may try to limit the damage and the losing margin, but backing the Spaniards to win looks a logical choice.
Mikel Oyarzabal to score anytime
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Spain Serbia
| Spain vs Serbia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 1.3 | 1.18 | -9.2% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 12.25 | +133.3% |
| Serbia wins | 9.5 | 64 | +573.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Spain is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 84.7% (7.8%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Spain vs. Serbia game
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Spain vs Serbia - FAQs
The Spain vs Serbia International friendly match will be played at Estadio de la Ceramica. Formally called 'El Madrigal', this is a famous football stadium in Villarreal and is currently the home venue of La Liga team Villarreal. The venue has 23,008 seats making it the 26th-largest venue in Spain and the 5th-largest in the Valencian Community.
Fun fact: the venue's strength is half the population of the town of Vila-real.
The Spain vs Serbia International friendly match will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video in Spain. In Serbia too, the game will be live on Prime Video.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our International friends Livescore page!
Spain haven't conceded a goal in their last three matches against Serbia, winning two of those without conceding, while drawing the other goalless.
The Spaniards will complete their preparation with another friendly against Egypt. Looking forward, 'La Roja' are placed in Group H of the 2026 World Cup where they will face Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay. Provided they finish in the first two positions, they will advance to the knockout stage and face the top two teams qualifying from Group J which include Argentina, Algeria, Austria, and Jordan.
Serbia failed to qualify for the World Cup after finishing third in Group K of the UEFA World Cup qualification, just one point behind Albania, who advanced to the play-offs.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
