Spain vs Croatia Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Ian John in Euro Predictions
The Euro 2024 action continues on Saturday with Group B getting underway with the first really huge game of the finals, Spain vs Croatia. The Spanish side are three-time winners of this tournament and reached the semi-finals in 2020, losing narrowly to Italy. Luis de la Fuente's team comfortably qualified as winners of Group A, winning seven of their eight games. They will face a Croatia side that has failed to shine at the Euros, despite a runner-up and third-place finish at the last two World Cup Final tournaments. Zlatko Dalic's team finished second in Group D behind Turkey to qualify for the finals this summer.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Spain v Croatia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 34 | 81 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
2.2 | 2.37 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1 | 51 | 201 |
|
|
1 | 51 | 201 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.38 | 4.54 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.7 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.34 | 4.24 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 4.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Spain and Croatia?
Our prediction for the Spain vs Croatia match is: Our prediction for Spain vs Croatia is for Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored and Both Teams to Score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/06/2024 between Spain and Croatia in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.54% for a win of Spain against Croatia with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Spain vs Croatia is 18.35% with odds of 51 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Croatia vs Spain with odds of 201 at 1xbet.
Spain - Croatia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Spain Croatia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 46.54% | 2.2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.16% | 2.12 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Spain | 22.57% | 5 at Bet365 |
Spain vs Croatia Form
Spain and Croatia's standings in the Euro
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
3
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 |
Spain and Croatia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
Spain against Croatia : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League
28 Jun 2021 - Euro
15 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
11 Sep 2018 - UEFA Nations League
Spain - Croatia: Form Analysis
Spain have reached the semi-final or better in three of the last four European Championship tournaments, winning those held in 2008 and 2012. Their one blip was a Round of 16 exit in 2016. This young group of Spanish stars came through qualifying comfortably, winning seven of their eight qualifiers to top Group A ahead of Scotland. They did lose for the first time in 12 months when going down 1-0 to Colombia in London back in March, but they followed that with a 3-3 draw with Brazil in Madrid and then two five-goal victories, 5-0 against Andorra followed by a 5-1 win over Northern Ireland in their most recent Euro 2024 warm-up fixture. With Italy and Albania making up the other two teams in Group B, both teams will view this fixture as one they must not lose ahead of their second game.
Croatia qualified second in Group D, ahead of Wales. They have not lost in six games and have won all of their last three matches. That has included an impressive 4-2 win away to Egypt, a 3-0 home win over North Macedonia and most recently, and impressively, a 2-1 win away to Portugal in their last warm-up fixture ahead of the tournament. The two teams have met several times recently, most recently in the Nations League Final in Rotterdam where Spain won on penalties after a 0-0 draw. Before that, they also faced off in the last European Championship, where Spain ran out 5-3 winners after extra time following an exciting 3-3 draw in the Round of 16. Croatia still very much rely on a number of key, more experienced players including the superlative Luka Modric (38), Ivan Perisic (35) and Domagoj Vida (also 35).
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Spain against Croatia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
Pedri
ForwardA. Perez
N. Vlasic
Spain & Croatia Squad Analysis
Spain could field the youngest ever player at a European Championships in this game should they elect to start Barcelona starlet Lamine Yamal, who will be just 16 years and 338 days old on Saturday. A place on the right wing of a 4-3-3 formation seems likely for the youngster with Nico Williams on the other flank and Alvaro Morata leading the line. In form Manchester City Rodri will anchor the midfield with Unai Simon set to get the nod in goal ahead of Arsenal's on loan David Raya.
There was good news for Croatia when veteran utility man Ivan Perisic recovered from an ACL injury in the final few weeks of the season and declared himself fit for the tournament. He will likely start on the left wing of a 4-3-3 formation for Croatia. The trusted midfield trio of Brozovic, Kovacic and Modric will form the basis of the team with Manchester City man Josko Gvardiol likely to start in central defense alongside another veteran, Domagoj Vida.
Spain - Croatia Key Points
- Spain have lost just one of their last 12 games, scoring 37 goals in those matches.
- Croatia has won all six of its last six games, including a penalty victory over Tunisia, scoring 12 goals.
- Six of the 10 games between Croatia and Spain have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- The last four games between Croatia and Spain have witnessed 19 goals scored in total.
- Both teams have scored in four of Spain's last six matches and in two of Croatia's last three games.
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Our Spain vs Croatia Prediction
Spain vs Croatia - Other Interesting Predictions
Dani Olmo (Spain) to Score at Any Time
Spain vs Croatia match : Frequently asked questions
Spain and Croatia have played ten times in their history. Spain hold the upper hand with six victories (including wins on penalties), to three for Croatia with only one drawn game.
The last fixture between the two was the 2023 Nations League final in Rotterdam last June, which Spain won on penalties after a 0-0 draw.
Saturday's Euro 2024 Group B showdown between Spain and Croatia will take place at the Olympiastadion in Berlin.
Kick-off time is 5pm UK Time.
As a free-to-air tournament, the Euro 2024 finals games will be shown on terrestrial TV. The Spain vs. Croatia match on Saturday, June 15th, will be shown live on the ITV network in the UK.
If you are betting on the outcome of the game and want real-time data to help make your betting choices, there are real-time data updates and customizable text commentary available for everyone to access on Sportytrader's Euro 2024 Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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