Spain vs Bulgaria Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
World - World Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Bulgaria’s search for a first point of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualification UEFA Group E campaign faces an uphill battle against Spain on Tuesday. This match in Valladolid between the league leaders, La Roja, and the fourth-placed Lions comes with our prediction of Bulgaria +4 European Handicap.
Spain started the campaign with a 100% record, winning all three matches and holding a three-point lead over Turkey. Bulgaria are at the bottom with no points and looking abysmal in their hopes of qualification.
A 2-0 home win over Georgia on Saturday continued Spain’s march in the qualifiers. They are yet to concede a goal in these qualifiers, having defeated Bulgaria (3-0) and Turkey (6-0) in the previous rounds.
The reigning European champions are so strong that they have lost only one of their last 74 World Cup qualifying matches across the last 32 years. La Roja won five of their last six home matches during regular time, drawing the other.
Bulgaria were beaten 6-1 away by Turkey at the weekend, extending their poor recent record. They lost all four recent games and conceded 16 goals during the process, while scoring just one goal!
Even on the road, the Lions have struggled to set the tempo, and their last four away defeats saw them concede 14 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Spain v Bulgaria Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.02 | 21 | 51 |
|
|
1.03 | 25 | 55 |
|
|
1.01 | 25 | 60 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 43 |
|
|
1 | 24 | 70 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Spain and Bulgaria?
Our prediction for the Spain vs Bulgaria match is: Bulgaria +4 European Handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2025 between Spain and Bulgaria in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 81.12% for a win of Spain against Bulgaria with odds of 1.03 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Spain vs Bulgaria is 13.74% with odds of 25 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 5.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Bulgaria vs Spain with odds of 90 at Tonybet.
Spain - Bulgaria Prediction and Best Odds:
| Spain Bulgaria Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 81.12% | 1.03 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.04% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 68.75% | 1.41 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Spain/Spain | 55.29% | 1.14 at Bet365 |
Spain vs Bulgaria Form
Spain and Bulgaria's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +19 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -16 |
Spain and Bulgaria Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Spain vs Bulgaria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Spain against Bulgaria Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Raya
A. Remiro
DefenderP. Cubarsi
D. Vivian
M. Cucurella
MidfielderP. Barrios
A. Garcia
M. Llorente
ForwardY. Pino
J. Rodriguez Caraballo
J. De Frutos
B. Iglesias
D. Sheytanov
D. Mitov
DefenderK. Dimitrov
V. Nikolov
V. Popov
H. Petrov
R. Bozhinov
C. Stoyanov
Z. Dimitrov
A. Kraev
I. Chochev
ForwardM. Petkov
Most goals and assists
Spain
Bulgaria
M. Merino
(6 Goals)
,
M. Oyarzabal
(6 Goals)
R. Kirilov
(1 Goals)
,
G. Rusev
(1 Goals)
,
F. Krastev
(1 Goals)
Spain - Bulgaria Key Points
- Bulgaria lost six of their last seven matches, drawing the other.
- Bulgari’s losing margin in four of their last six defeats was three or lower.
- Spain won their last three qualifiers, including a 3-0 win over Bulgaria on matchday one.
- Spain won five of their last home matches during regular time, each victory coming by a margin of three or fewer goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Our Spain vs Bulgaria Prediction
Bulgari are proving to be the punching bags of the group, losing all three qualifiers so far. They have already shipped 12 goals, but six of those were scored by Turkey in their previous match. They would be keen to limit the damage here against a Spanish side looking unbeatable. They are yet to concede a goal in this campaign and are doubly dangerous playing on home soil.
Bulgaria are likely to be stubborn to avoid a heavy defeat, and our Spain vs Bulgaria prediction is Bulgaria +4 European Handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Spain Bulgaria
| Spain vs Bulgaria | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 1 | 1.03 | +3.0% |
| Draw | 10 | 25 | +150.0% |
| Bulgaria wins | 17 | 90 | +429.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Spain is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 100.0% and is now 97.1% (-2.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Spain vs. Bulgaria game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Spain and Bulgaria? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
