SP Tre Fiori vs Larne FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Nella Wagah | in Champions League Predictions
Northern Ireland side Larne will embark on their Champions League quest with a match against Tre Fiori this Tuesday. This will be a first qualifying round match with the winner to face Red Star Belgrade next. Tre Fiori are winless in the last two matches and have a poor record in Europe, and our prediction tips the visitors to win.
Tre Fiori’s last outing ended in a 3-1 loss to La Fiorita in the Coppa Titano final. They have had enough time to reflect on the same and will be hoping to do better.
Tre Fiori are looking to progress past this stage for the first time. In their last continental match, back in 2025/26, they were hammered 5-1 on aggregate by Pyunik.
Larne will be looking to emulate fellow Northern Ireland side Linfield who beat Tre Fiori 2-0 in a 2020/21 UCL qualifier. After winning their third league title, the visitors will be confident as they go into only their fifth Champions League game.
They hope to do better than the first four, where they failed to win a single game. Larne lost three of them and let in 10 goals.
However, Larne retains the better record in Europe, having gone all the way to the league phase in the 2024/25 Conference League campaign.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
SP Tre Fiori v Larne FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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6.25 | 4.15 | 1.45 |
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76 | 17 | 1.03 |
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7.65 | 4.6 | 1.39 |
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7.85 | 4.65 | 1.38 |
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76 | 17 | 1.03 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between SP Tre Fiori and Larne FC?
Our prediction for the SP Tre Fiori vs Larne FC match is: Larne wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/07/2026 between SP Tre Fiori and Larne FC in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.54% for a win of SP Tre Fiori against Larne FC with odds of 251 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SP Tre Fiori vs Larne FC is 30.12% with odds of 19 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Larne FC vs SP Tre Fiori with odds of 1.45 at Stake.
SP Tre Fiori - Larne FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| SP Tre Fiori Larne FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Larne FC wins | 39.34% | 1.45 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.5% | 41 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.9% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Larne FC | 21.33% | 4.25 at LSbet |
SP Tre Fiori vs Larne FC Form
SP Tre Fiori and Larne FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Coppa Titano
26 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
19 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
12 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
8 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
22 Mar 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Coppa Titano
26 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
12 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
22 Mar 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
18 Mar 2026 - Coppa Titano
14 Mar 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
8 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Titano
28 Feb 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
15 Feb 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
11 Feb 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jul 2026 - NIFL Charity Shield
29 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2026 - Premiership
17 Apr 2026 - Premiership
11 Apr 2026 - Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jul 2026 - NIFL Charity Shield
25 Apr 2026 - Premiership
7 Apr 2026 - Premiership
28 Mar 2026 - Premiership
13 Mar 2026 - Premiership
24 Feb 2026 - Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Apr 2026 - Premiership
11 Apr 2026 - Premiership
4 Apr 2026 - Irish Cup
20 Mar 2026 - Premiership
SP Tre Fiori - Larne FC Key Points
- Larne have won seven times in their continental matches.
- Tre Fiori lost 5-0 in their last game in Europe.
- Tre Fiori are winless in their last two matches.
- Larne won four of their last six away matches.
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Our SP Tre Fiori vs Larne FC Prediction
Tre Fiori are playing at home and will want to see that as an advantage. However, the challenge at hand goes way beyond just hoisting the match. It is largely about experience in Europe, which Tre Fiori are really short of.
Their last continental outing ended in a 5-0 defeat, and they also lost to the last Northern Irish side they faced – Linfield. Larne might have struggled in Champions League qualifiers, but they should see this through. Our prediction for Tre Fiori v Larne is that Larne wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis SP Tre Fiori Larne FC
| SP Tre Fiori vs Larne FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP Tre Fiori wins | 10 | 251 | +2,410.0% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 19 | +245.5% |
| Larne FC wins | 1.25 | 1.45 | +16.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Larne FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 69.0% (-11.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.