Southampton vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

Predictions Live

England - FA Cup

Southampton
08/02/2025 10:00
Burnley

Prediction :

 

Draw or Burnley

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in FA Cup Predictions

Southampton spend a weekend away from their Premier League relegation fight. They host Burnley (second in the Championship) in the FA Cup fourth round.  Can the Clarets beat the Saints? Read our match prediction.

The home side are bottom of the Premier League but have a good recent FA Cup record and a win here will take them into round five (the last 16) for fifth season in a row. 

In the third round they beat Swansea City 3-0. and won 2-1 at Ipswich last weekend. Home form has seen them lose seven of their last eight matches, the only win being that third round cup success.

The Saints have ten goals in their last four matches. That's compared with the fact Burnley have only conceded nine goals in their 31 league games this season. On Tuesday they beat Oxford United 1-0 and that was their ninth consecutive league clean sheet.

The last time they had a goal put past them was in the FA Cup third round when they won 3-1 at League One Reading after extra time. Burnley are unbeaten in their last 19 games since a loss at Millwall in November. We go for a double chance bet on Burnley to win or draw this game.

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Southampton vs Burnley Form

Southampton and Burnley Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
1 :  2
Southampton

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Newcastle

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  2
Southampton

16 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  1
Southampton

12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Swansea

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  5
Brentford
L L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Newcastle

12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Swansea

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  5
Brentford

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  1
West Ham

18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
1 :  2
Liverpool

15 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  5
Tottenham
L D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
1 :  2
Southampton

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  2
Southampton

16 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  1
Southampton

29 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Southampton

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  0
Southampton

7 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Southampton
Burnley
Burnley Last matches
W D W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Feb 2025 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  0
Oxford United

4 Feb 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup

Burnley
4 :  1
Reading

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Burnley

28 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League

Barnsley FC
0 :  4
Burnley

27 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Leeds

22 Jan 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  5
Burnley
L D W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Feb 2025 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  0
Oxford United

4 Feb 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup

Burnley
4 :  1
Reading

27 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Leeds

21 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League

Burnley
5 :  0
Peterborough United

17 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Sunderland

7 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League

Burnley
0 :  1
Sheffield United
D W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Burnley

28 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League

Barnsley FC
0 :  4
Burnley

22 Jan 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  5
Burnley

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Reading
1 :  3
Burnley

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  1
Burnley

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Burnley

Southampton vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

33 %

Draw

17 %

Burnley

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

21 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Southampton

23 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  2
Burnley

4 Apr 2021 - Premier League

Southampton
3 :  2
Burnley

26 Sept 2020 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Southampton

15 Feb 2020 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Burnley

10 Aug 2019 - Premier League

Burnley
3 :  0
Southampton
Southampton vs Burnley Prediction

Players list

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

A. McCarthy

Defender

Welington

J. Bednarek

J. Bree

K. Walker-Peters

Midfielder

M. Fernandes

L. Ugochukwu

R. Manning

J. Aribo

Forward

K. Sulemana

T. Dibling

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

V. Hladky

Defender

C. Egan Riley

O. Sonne

B. Humphreys

L. Pires

J. Worrall

Midfielder

H. Mejbri

J. Shelvey

Forward

J. Sarmiento

A. Barnes

B. Manuel

Substitutes

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

A. Ramsdale

Defender

A. Bella-Kotchap

N. Wood

Y. Sugawara

Midfielder

A. Lallana

W. Smallbone

L. Ugochukwu 82'

A. Gronbaek

K. Sulemana 86'

Forward

C. Archer

M. Fernandes 86'

P. Onuachu

T. Dibling 67'

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

E. Green

Defender

M. Esteve

C. Egan Riley 58'

Midfielder

Z. Flemming

J. Cullen

J. Bauress

J. Shelvey 59'

Forward

E. Agyei

J. Banel

N. Redmond

J. Sarmiento 83'

M. Edwards

B. Manuel 59'

Southampton - Burnley Key Points

  1. Southampton have lost seven of their last eight home games.
  2. Burnley have gone 19 games without defeat.
  3. Only one goal has been scored against Burnley in their last ten matches.
  4. Burnley have kept 11 clean sheets in their last 15 away games.
  5. Southampton won last week but haven't had two successive wins since November.
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Our Southampton vs Burnley Prediction

It's likely that next season Burnley will be in the Premier League and Southampton back in the Championship. Both sides are likely to make changes for this FA Cup game but Burnley are in far the better form.

They are second in the Championship, on a long unbeaten run and are difficult to score against. Southampton keep on conceding goals and may well again struggle here. Our Southampton v Burnley prediction is a double chance bet on Burnley to win or draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Burnley

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.