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South Africa vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - The Rugby Championship

International - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
16/08/2025 11:10
Australia

Prediction :

 

South Africa to win on -11.5 points handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in The Rugby Championship Predictions

The Rugby Championship gets underway this weekend. World champions South Africa also won this title in 2024 and begin their defence with a home match against Australia. Can the Wallabies spring a surprise? Read our match prediction  below.

The Springboks won last year's Rugby Championship by ten points. Five of their six games against New Zealand, Australia and Argentina were won. The other saw them lose in Argentina by just a single point.

They beat Australia home and away last year. That extended their winning run over the Wallabies to four, last losing to them three years ago. They last lost at home to Australia in 2010 and have won 37 of their 48 home games against the Australians.

South Africa have won each of their last eight matches, most recently beating Georgia 55-10 last month.

Australia had a miserable Rugby Championship last year. They finished bottom with just five points, 19 behind South Africa. Their only success was an away win in Argentina last August. Not since 2015 have they won this tournament.

They won their last match, beating the British and Irish Lions but that was their only win in the three-match series. We tip South Africa to make a winning start and win on a -11.5 points handicap.

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The Best Betting Odds for South Africa v Australia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.08 34 7.5
Betway
1.1 21 8
Ladbrokes
1.07 41 8
Unibet
1.11 41 7
Vbet
1.09 36 7.8
Check all South Africa vs Australia odds
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South Africa vs Australia Form

South Africa and Australia Last Matches

South Africa
South Africa Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
55 :  10
Georgia

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
45 :  0
Italy

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
42 :  24
Italy

28 Jun 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
54 :  7
The Barbarians

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Wales
12 :  45
South Africa

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

England
20 :  29
South Africa
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
55 :  10
Georgia

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
45 :  0
Italy

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
42 :  24
Italy

28 Jun 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
54 :  7
The Barbarians

28 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
48 :  7
Argentina

7 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
18 :  12
New Zealand
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Wales
12 :  45
South Africa

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

England
20 :  29
South Africa

10 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Scotland
15 :  32
South Africa

21 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
29 :  28
South Africa

17 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
12 :  30
South Africa

10 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
7 :  33
South Africa
Australia
Australia Last matches
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

2 Aug 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
22 :  12
B&I Lions

26 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
26 :  29
B&I Lions

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
19 :  27
B&I Lions

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
21 :  18
Fiji

30 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Ireland
22 :  19
Australia

24 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Scotland
27 :  13
Australia
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

2 Aug 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
22 :  12
B&I Lions

26 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
26 :  29
B&I Lions

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
19 :  27
B&I Lions

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
21 :  18
Fiji

21 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
28 :  31
New Zealand

17 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
12 :  30
South Africa
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

30 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Ireland
22 :  19
Australia

24 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Scotland
27 :  13
Australia

17 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Wales
20 :  52
Australia

9 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

England
37 :  42
Australia

28 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  13
Australia

7 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
67 :  27
Australia

South Africa vs Australia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

South Africa

100 %

Draw

0 %

Australia

0 %

17 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
12 :  30
South Africa

10 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
7 :  33
South Africa

South Africa - Australia Key Points

  1. South Africa have won their last eight internationals.
  2. South Africa have only lost two of their last 21 matches, both by a single point.
  3. Australia have lost their last four games against South Africa, all by more than 12 points.
  4. Australia have lost two of their last three games.
  5. Australia haven't won against the Springboks in South Africa since 2010.
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Our South Africa vs Australia Prediction

South Africa will look to get off to a winning start in their defence of  the Rugby Championship. The world champions continue to be in good form with each of their last eight matches ending in victory. They have won four in a row against Australia and it's 15 years since they lost to them on home soil.

It was a total nightmare for Australia in last year's Rugby Championship with one win and five defeats. They battled hard against the Lions but lack consistency. Our South Africa v Australia prediction is South Africa to win on a -11.5 points handicap.

Prediction :

 

South Africa to win on -11.5 points handicap

 
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Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the South Africa vs. Australia game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between South Africa and Australia? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's The Rugby Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

South Africa vs Australia Prediction
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