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by Thobelani Moyo | in World Cup Predictions
Somalia and Mozambique are set to lock horns at Miloud Hadefi Stadium on matchday ten of the FIFA World Cup African qualifiers. Somalia are anchored at the bottom of the table in Group G, while Mozambique are in third place. Here's our match prediction.
Somalia have endured an underwhelming qualifying campaign, taking just one point from their last nine games. That point came against Guinea in a goalless draw on March 21.
After that result, things took a turn for the worse as they lost four consecutive matches in the qualifiers and were outscored 10-0.
In their recent match, the Ocean Stars were drawn against Algeria. A 3-0 defeat at the Miloud Hadefi Stadium did not come as a surprise, considering the disparity in class and quality.
Mozambique's qualification hopes were thwarted in a narrow 2-1 home defeat against Guinea last time out. This comes after beating Botswana 2-0 at home.
Os Mambas have not been in good form and come into this match with just one win in their last six matches across all competitions, while recording four losses and one draw in the process.
Chiquinho Conde's men are looking forward to their upcoming match against Somalia. This is the same side they beat 2-1 on matchday three of the FIFA World Cup African qualifiers.
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The Best Betting Odds for Somalia v Mozambique Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10 | 4.33 | 1.38 |
|
|
10 | 4.6 | 1.3 |
|
|
9.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 |
|
|
9 | 4.33 | 1.38 |
|
|
8.5 | 4.35 | 1.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Somalia and Mozambique?
Our prediction for the Somalia vs Mozambique match is: Mozambique to win and under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2025 between Somalia and Mozambique in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.77% for a win of Somalia against Mozambique with odds of 10 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Somalia vs Mozambique is 10.51% with odds of 4.6 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 74.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Mozambique vs Somalia with odds of 1.39 at LSbet.
Somalia - Mozambique Prediction and Best Odds:
| Somalia Mozambique Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mozambique wins | 74.72% | 1.39 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.33% | 2.01 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.92% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Mozambique/Mozambique | 49.81% | 2 at Bet365 |
Somalia vs Mozambique Form
Somalia and Mozambique's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
18 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | -3 |
|
6
|
1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -17 |
Somalia and Mozambique Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
0/5 (0%)
0/5 (0%)
5/5 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
20 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
4 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sept 2024 - AFCON
Somalia vs Mozambique Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Somalia - Mozambique Key Points
- Somalia have seen three of their last five matches in the FIFA World Cup African qualifiers end with under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Mozambique's last seven matches across all competitions have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Somalia have failed to score in each of their last five matches in the FIFA World Cup African qualifiers.
- Mozambique won 2-1 in their last match against Somalia in the FIFA World Cup African qualifiers.
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Our Somalia vs Mozambique Prediction
Somalia are struggling to score goals and have gone five qualifying matches without doing so. This has contributed to their poor form in the qualifying campaign, including a four-match losing streak. Little can be expected from them in this one.
Mozambique can't secure a top-two finish in Group G of the qualifiers. However, the visitors will want to conclude the tournament on a high note and end their two-match losing streak on the road. That said, support the visiting team to secure a win in a low-scoring affair. Our Somalia vs Mozambique prediction: Mozambique to win and under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Somalia Mozambique
| Somalia vs Mozambique | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Somalia wins | 13 | 10 | -23.1% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 4.33 | -17.5% |
| Mozambique wins | 1.27 | 1.38 | +8.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mozambique is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.7% and is now 72.5% (-6.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Somalia vs. Mozambique game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
