Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
Sofapaka and Tusker will face off in the Kenyan Premier League this Saturday in a battle of former champions. This matchday 32 encounter finds hosts Sofapaka sitting ninth while Tusker are second. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Sofapaka haven't had a smooth season; after 31 games, they’ve managed just nine wins. Their 2-0 loss to Muranga SEAL last time out left them on a run of five matches without a win, having drawn the earlier four.
The 2009 champions have managed just three wins in the last 15 matches. Facing Tusker, Sofapaka have suffered six straight losses.
Tusker will see this game as a chance to rise from defeat in the last outing. The Brewers haven't lost to Sofapaka in their last 13 meetings. They are coming from a 2-0 defeat away to FC Talanta.
That loss had a serious impact on their title ambitions, as they now trail leaders Kenya Police by three points. Meanwhile, reigning champions Gor Mahia are snapping at their heels, being just two points back and with two games in hand.
Tusker have two wins only in their last six matches. They can, however, bank on their defence, having managed three clean sheets in five outings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sofapaka FC v Tusker Football Club Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.03 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.97 | 2.94 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.97 | 2.94 | 1.97 |
|
|
4.03 | 2.94 | 1.96 |
|
|
4.03 | 2.94 | 1.96 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sofapaka FC and Tusker Football Club?
Our prediction for the Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Football Club match is: Both teams to score – NO.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/05/2025 between Sofapaka FC and Tusker Football Club in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.04% for a win of Sofapaka FC against Tusker Football Club with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Football Club is 44.35% with odds of 3.15 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Tusker Football Club vs Sofapaka FC with odds of 1.97 at 1xbet.
Sofapaka FC - Tusker Football Club Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sofapaka FC Tusker Football Club Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 44.35% | 3.15 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 88.64% | 1.7 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | 2.39 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 21.85% | 3.75 at Betfair |
Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Football Club Form
Sofapaka FC and Tusker Football Club's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
55 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 11 |
|
9
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 3 |
Sofapaka FC and Tusker Football Club Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
10 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
28 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
10 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Football Club Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Aug 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Feb 2022 - Kenyan Premier League
Sofapaka FC - Tusker Football Club Key Points
- Tusker failed to score twice in their last three matches.
- Both teams scored in just one of Tusker’s last five matches.
- Tusker kept three clean sheets in their last five matches.
- Sofapaka failed to score in three of their last four matches.
- In five of the last six meetings between these two, Tusker won to nil.
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Our Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Football Club Prediction
Tusker have dominated their recent matches against Sofapaka. This dominance is not just depicted in the results of their matches but also strength in defence. Sofapaka failed to score in six of the last seven meetings with Tusker. In the one game they scored, it was only a goal.
Ahead of this game, Sofapaka failed to score in three of their last four matches. Tusker have also shown signs of struggling in attack, but most importantly, they have three clean sheets in five matches. Our prediction for Sofapaka v Tusker is: Both teams to score – NO.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sofapaka FC Tusker Football Club
| Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Football Club | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofapaka FC wins | 3.56 | 4 | +12.4% |
| Draw | 2.86 | 3.03 | +5.9% |
| Tusker Football Club wins | 2.13 | 1.92 | -9.9% |
A few minutes before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.0% and is now 33.0% (-2.0%)
1xBET Risk Free Bet
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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