Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk Prediction & Betting Tips - Airtricity League

Rep. of Ireland - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
17/10/2026 14:45
Dundalk

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions

The already-relegated Sligo Rovers will hope to end their home campaign on a high when they host Dundalk on matchday 34 of the Ireland Men’s Premier Division on Saturday. This match at the Showgrounds between the 10th-placed ‘Rovers’ and the 6th-placed ‘Lilywhites’ could end up being a cagey encounter with under 3.5 goals, our match prediction.

The Rovers have 23 points (W5, D8, L20) and are stuck to the bottom of the points tally – 11 points below ninth. Dundalk are seven points above the relegation zone (W10, D11, L12) and are confirmed for their spot in the next season.

A 5-1 thrashing away at Shelbourne continued Sligo’s poor run, marking their fifth loss in a row. They haven’t won in the league since May, drawing four and losing 11 games hence.

The home form is only marginally better, as the Rovers have three draws from their last six league fixtures played here (L3).

Dundalk could only score a late consolation goal in a 2-1 defeat at home to Bohemian FC in their last league game. That made it four losses out of their last five competitive games (D1).

Although their status for the next campaign is confirmed, Dundalk would be keen to do better. They are marginally better on the road where they have four wins from their last nine competitive trips (D2, L3).

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Sligo Rovers v Dundalk Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.85 3.80 1.73
1xbet
4.12 4.10 1.72
Melbet
4.12 4.10 1.72
Betwinner
4.12 4.10 1.72
22bet
4.12 4.10 1.72
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sligo Rovers and Dundalk?

Our prediction for the Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk match is: under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Sligo Rovers and Dundalk in Airtricity League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.39% for a win of Sligo Rovers against Dundalk with odds of 4.2 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk is 26.71% with odds of 4.1 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers with odds of 1.75 at Shangrila.

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk Form

Sligo Rovers and Dundalk's standings in the Airtricity League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Dundalk
41 33 10 11 12 -5
10 Sligo Rovers
23 33 5 8 20 -34

Sligo Rovers and Dundalk Last Matches

Sligo Rovers
Sligo Rovers Last matches
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
5 :  1
Sligo Rovers

19 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
0 :  1
St Patricks

14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
1 :  3
Galway United FC

11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Drogheda United
2 :  0
Sligo Rovers

4 Sept 2026 - FAI Cup

Waterford United
3 :  0
Sligo Rovers

28 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Bohemians Dublin
3 :  0
Sligo Rovers
L D W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
0 :  1
St Patricks

14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
1 :  3
Galway United FC

21 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
0 :  0
Waterford United

15 Aug 2026 - FAI Cup

Sligo Rovers
4 :  0
Kerry FC

25 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
2 :  2
Drogheda United

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sligo Rovers
1 :  2
Coleraine FC
D L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
5 :  1
Sligo Rovers

11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Drogheda United
2 :  0
Sligo Rovers

4 Sept 2026 - FAI Cup

Waterford United
3 :  0
Sligo Rovers

28 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Bohemians Dublin
3 :  0
Sligo Rovers

7 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Derry City
2 :  0
Sligo Rovers

31 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
1 :  1
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Dundalk Last matches
W L D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
1 :  2
Bohemians Dublin

18 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
2 :  3
Shelbourne Dublin

14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
0 :  4
St Patricks

11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Waterford United
1 :  1
Dundalk

6 Sept 2026 - FAI Cup

Derry City
4 :  2
Dundalk

28 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Drogheda United
2 :  3
Dundalk
D W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
1 :  2
Bohemians Dublin

18 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
2 :  3
Shelbourne Dublin

14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
0 :  4
St Patricks

21 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
1 :  2
Galway United FC

15 Aug 2026 - FAI Cup

Dundalk
8 :  0
Castlebar Celtic

31 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
1 :  1
Sligo Rovers
L D L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League

Waterford United
1 :  1
Dundalk

6 Sept 2026 - FAI Cup

Derry City
4 :  2
Dundalk

28 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Drogheda United
2 :  3
Dundalk

7 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
3 :  2
Dundalk

24 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
1 :  1
Dundalk

3 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

Shelbourne Dublin
2 :  1
Dundalk

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sligo Rovers

50 %

Draw

17 %

Dundalk

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

31 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
1 :  1
Sligo Rovers

25 Apr 2026 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
2 :  0
Dundalk

16 Mar 2026 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
1 :  0
Sligo Rovers

18 Jul 2025 - FAI Cup

Dundalk
0 :  2
Sligo Rovers

21 Sept 2024 - Airtricity League

Sligo Rovers
2 :  1
Dundalk

13 Jun 2024 - Airtricity League

Dundalk
1 :  0
Sligo Rovers
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk Prediction

Sligo Rovers - Dundalk Key Points

  1. Sligo Rovers are the league’s worst scorers with only 25 goals in 33 matches.
  2. Sligo Rovers average fewer than one goal per game in home matches this season.
  3. Six of Dundalk’s last ten away league games have featured under 3.5 goals.
  4. Six of Sligo’s last eight league games have also seen at most three goals scored.
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Our Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk Prediction

The Rovers were already relegated, and they are struggling to go out with a bang. Their fans have last celebrated a league victory back in May, and five consecutive defeats also underline a side that can’t wait for the season to end. Dundalk are only marginally above the bottom three, but their recent form is not comforting either, leaving this to be an open game.

The last seven competitive matches between these sides produced fewer than four goals each time, which is likely to continue. Our Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk prediction is under 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.