Serbia vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

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World - World Cup

Serbia
16/11/2025 12:00
Latvia

Prediction :

 

Serbia to Win to Nil

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions

There are very few stakes on offer for Serbia and Latvia as they end their 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification UEFA Group K campaign. This match on Sunday in Leskovac between the third-placed Eagles and the fourth-placed ’11 Wolves’ comes with our prediction of a home win to nil.

Serbia’s ten points (W3, D1, L3) put them four points behind second-placed Albania before the penultimate round. They have no chance of finishing in the top two but can still qualify for playoffs via Nations League ranking. Regardless of the outcome here, Latvia, five points further behind (W1, D2, L4), will undoubtedly secure that spot.

England defeated Serbia 2-0 away from home on Thursday, marking a third defeat for the Eagles in the last four matches. The only aberration is a 3-1 away win at Andorra, the lowest-placed side in the section.

Their home form has been up and down with three wins from their last seven games (W3, D2, L2), although they have kept five clean sheets in the process.

Latvia were held to a 0-0 away draw in an international friendly against North Macedonia on Thursday, extending their winless run to eight matches (D4, L4).

They have struggled in this qualification campaign with only four goals scored and lost three of their four recent qualifiers without scoring.

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Serbia v Latvia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.2 6.4 13
1xbet
1.04 8.3 17
Melbet
1.13 8.2 23
Betwinner
1.14 9 16
Bet365
1.14 8 15
Check all Serbia vs Latvia odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Serbia and Latvia?

Our prediction for the Serbia vs Latvia match is: Serbia to win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2025 between Serbia and Latvia in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.13% for a win of Serbia against Latvia with odds of 1.22 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Serbia vs Latvia is 19.11% with odds of 9 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 17.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Latvia vs Serbia with odds of 23 at Melbet.

Serbia - Latvia Prediction and Best Odds:

Serbia Latvia Prediction Probability Odds
Serbia wins 63.13% 1.22 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 66.23% 2.95 at Stake
Both Team To Score: No 89.58% 1.62 at LSbet
Half-time / Full-time : Serbia/Serbia 32.64% 1.68 at LSbet

Serbia vs Latvia Form

Serbia and Latvia's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Serbia
13 8 4 1 3 -1
4 Latvia
5 8 1 2 5 -10

Serbia and Latvia Last Matches

Serbia
Serbia Last matches
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

England
2 :  0
Serbia

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Andorra
1 :  3
Serbia

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
0 :  1
Albania

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
0 :  5
England

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Serbia

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
3 :  0
Andorra
W D W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
0 :  1
Albania

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
0 :  5
England

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
3 :  0
Andorra

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Serbia
2 :  0
Austria

18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Serbia
0 :  0
Denmark

12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Serbia
2 :  0
Switzerland
D D D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

England
2 :  0
Serbia

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Andorra
1 :  3
Serbia

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Serbia

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Albania
0 :  0
Serbia

20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Austria
1 :  1
Serbia

15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Switzerland
1 :  1
Serbia
Latvia
Latvia Last matches
D L L D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

North Macedonia
0 :  0
Latvia

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  5
England

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
2 :  2
Andorra

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Albania
1 :  0
Latvia

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Serbia

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
1 :  1
Albania
L D D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  5
England

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
2 :  2
Andorra

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Serbia

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
1 :  1
Albania

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Latvia
0 :  0
Azerbaijan

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
1 :  2
Armenia
D L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

North Macedonia
0 :  0
Latvia

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Albania
1 :  0
Latvia

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

England
3 :  0
Latvia

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Andorra
0 :  1
Latvia

14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

North Macedonia
1 :  0
Latvia

13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Faroe Islands
1 :  1
Latvia

Serbia vs Latvia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Serbia

100 %

Draw

0 %

Latvia

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Serbia

Serbia against Latvia Lineups: Starting 11

Serbia

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
P. Rajkovic
16
S. Erakovic
4
N. Milenkovic
3
S. Pavlovic
11
F. Kostic
10
S. Lukic
5
M. Grujic
14
A. Zivkovic
20
L. Samardzic
7
N. Radonjic
8
L. Jovic
9
V. Gutkovskis
7
E. Daskevics
15
D. Zelenkovs
17
L. Vapne
10
J. Ikaunieks
19
M. Tonisevs
13
R. Jurkovskis
21
D. Melniks
4
R. Veips
11
R. Savalnieks
23
R. Matrevics

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

Latvia

Substitutes

Serbia
Serbia
Goalkeeper

D. Petrovic

V. Ilic

Defender

O. Mimovic

S. Pavlovic 46'

A. Stankovic

S. Lukic 46'

J. Milosevic

L. Jovic 80'

A. Terzic

M. Veljkovic

Midfielder

L. Ilic

V. Milosavljevic

N. Gudelj

M. Grujic 85'

Forward

P. Ratkov

A. Katai

N. Radonjic 46'

Latvia
Latvia
Goalkeeper

K. Zviedris

F. Orols

Defender

D. Balodis

V. Jagodinskis

M. Tonisevs 78'

Midfielder

A. Saveljevs

J. Ikaunieks 65'

K. Penkevics

E. Daskevics 78'

B. Melnis

D. Patijcuks

K. Grabovskis

Forward

I. Pulis

L. Vapne 83'

M. Regza

V. Gutkovskis 65'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Serbia
CD Huachipato Latvia
Top Goalscorer
Serbia A. Mitrovic (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Latvia V. Gutkovskis (2 Goals)
Best assists
Serbia A. Zivkovic (3 Assists)
Best assists
Latvia R. Savalnieks (1 Assists) , 
Latvia A. Ciganiks (1 Assists) , 
Latvia L. Vapne (1 Assists)

Serbia - Latvia Key Points

  1. Latvia failed to score in four of their last five matches, losing three.
  2. Latvia failed to score in five of their seven World Cup qualification matches.
  3. Serbia won three of their last six matches, two coming with a clean sheet.
  4. Serbia kept five clean sheets in their last seven home games.
  5. Serbia won 1-0 against Latvia in the reverse fixture.
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Our Serbia vs Latvia Prediction

Serbia and Latvia will end their qualification campaign with this game, and the stakes couldn’t be any lower. Neither side can make it to the top two and are already out of the qualification race. Serbia still have a chance to qualify for the playoffs based on their Nations League ranking and would like to end their campaign on a high. This game could be their best chance to do so, as Latvia have been poor scorers all through the campaign.

This game could go the same way, and our Serbia vs Latvia prediction is Serbia to win to nil.

Prediction :

 

Serbia to Win to Nil

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Serbia Latvia

Serbia vs Latvia Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Serbia wins 1.2 1.22 +1.7%
Draw 6.75 9 +33.3%
Latvia wins 14 23 +64.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Serbia is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 82.0% (-1.4%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Serbia vs Latvia Prediction