Serbia vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
There are very few stakes on offer for Serbia and Latvia as they end their 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification UEFA Group K campaign. This match on Sunday in Leskovac between the third-placed Eagles and the fourth-placed ’11 Wolves’ comes with our prediction of a home win to nil.
Serbia’s ten points (W3, D1, L3) put them four points behind second-placed Albania before the penultimate round. They have no chance of finishing in the top two but can still qualify for playoffs via Nations League ranking. Regardless of the outcome here, Latvia, five points further behind (W1, D2, L4), will undoubtedly secure that spot.
England defeated Serbia 2-0 away from home on Thursday, marking a third defeat for the Eagles in the last four matches. The only aberration is a 3-1 away win at Andorra, the lowest-placed side in the section.
Their home form has been up and down with three wins from their last seven games (W3, D2, L2), although they have kept five clean sheets in the process.
Latvia were held to a 0-0 away draw in an international friendly against North Macedonia on Thursday, extending their winless run to eight matches (D4, L4).
They have struggled in this qualification campaign with only four goals scored and lost three of their four recent qualifiers without scoring.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Serbia v Latvia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 8 | 15 |
|
|
1.13 | 8 | 23 |
|
|
1.12 | 7 | 21 |
|
|
1.13 | 8 | 19 |
|
|
1.13 | 7 | 15 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Serbia and Latvia?
Our prediction for the Serbia vs Latvia match is: Serbia to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2025 between Serbia and Latvia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.13% for a win of Serbia against Latvia with odds of 1.22 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Serbia vs Latvia is 19.11% with odds of 9 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Latvia vs Serbia with odds of 23 at Betfred.
Serbia - Latvia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Serbia Latvia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Serbia wins | 63.13% | 1.22 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 66.23% | 2.95 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 10.42% | 2.63 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Serbia/Serbia | 32.64% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
Serbia vs Latvia Form
Serbia and Latvia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
|
4
|
5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -10 |
Serbia and Latvia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Serbia vs Latvia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Serbia against Latvia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
Serbia
Latvia
A. Mitrovic
(4 Goals)
V. Gutkovskis
(2 Goals)
Serbia - Latvia Key Points
- Latvia failed to score in four of their last five matches, losing three.
- Latvia failed to score in five of their seven World Cup qualification matches.
- Serbia won three of their last six matches, two coming with a clean sheet.
- Serbia kept five clean sheets in their last seven home games.
- Serbia won 1-0 against Latvia in the reverse fixture.
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Our Serbia vs Latvia Prediction
Serbia and Latvia will end their qualification campaign with this game, and the stakes couldn’t be any lower. Neither side can make it to the top two and are already out of the qualification race. Serbia still have a chance to qualify for the playoffs based on their Nations League ranking and would like to end their campaign on a high. This game could be their best chance to do so, as Latvia have been poor scorers all through the campaign.
This game could go the same way, and our Serbia vs Latvia prediction is Serbia to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Serbia Latvia
| Serbia vs Latvia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serbia wins | 1.2 | 1.14 | -5.0% |
| Draw | 6 | 8 | +33.3% |
| Latvia wins | 15 | 15 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Serbia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 87.7% (4.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Serbia vs. Latvia game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Serbia and Latvia? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
