France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Survival in Ligue 1 is no longer in Saint-Etienne’s control as we head into the final round of matches. The side sitting 17th will be at home to face 12th-placed Toulouse. Below is our prediction for the match.
Saint-Etienne can only win and cross fingers for things to pan their way to avoid dropping right back to Ligue 2. They kept this hope alive with a 2-0 win at Reims, recovering from two straight defeats against Monaco and Strasbourg.
With a massively negative goal difference, a win might lift them to the relegation playoff position, giving them a chance to fight. However, that would be if Le Havre drop points. It is a tricky place to be for Les Verts.
Toulouse haven't had a great campaign, but they’ve done enough to guarantee another season in the topflight. They are coming into this match off a run of three unbeaten outings.
The most recent ended in a 1-1 draw at home against Lens. Toulouse have played their last two matches at home and collected four points, taking their tally to 39.
To wrap up their season, the visitors will be looking to leap to 10th place, and that can only be possible with a win. Les Violets’ away form paints a grim picture, though.
They are winless in the last four games on the road, collecting just one point from a possible 12.
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The Best Betting Odds for Saint Etienne v Toulouse Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.3 | 3.8 | 2.75 |
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2.3 | 3.75 | 2.8 |
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2.2 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
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2.3 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
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2.2 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Saint Etienne and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Saint Etienne vs Toulouse match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2025 between Saint Etienne and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.79% for a win of Saint Etienne against Toulouse with odds of 2.37 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Saint Etienne vs Toulouse is 23.42% with odds of 4.22 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Saint Etienne with odds of 3.6 at Stake.
Saint Etienne - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
Saint Etienne Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Saint Etienne wins | 38.79% | 2.37 at 22bet |
Over 2.5 goals | 73.69% | 1.6 at Betway |
Both Team To Score | 72.08% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Saint Etienne | 15.31% | 6 at Bet365 |
Saint Etienne vs Toulouse Form
Saint Etienne and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10
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42 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 1 |
17
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30 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -38 |
Saint Etienne and Toulouse Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1

1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
Saint Etienne vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Sep 2019 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2019 - Ligue 1
25 Sep 2018 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2018 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2017 - Ligue 1
Players list

G. Larsonneur
DefenderD. Appiah
D. Batubinsika
M. Nade
L. Petrot
MidfielderB. Bouchouari
P. Ekwah
F. Tardieu
ForwardD. N'Guessan
B. Old
Z. Davitashvili

G. Restes
DefenderJ. Canvot
C. Cresswell
M. McKenzie
R. Messali
U. Akdag
MidfielderC. Casseres Jr
V. Sierro
Y. Gboho
ForwardS. Babicka
Z. Aboukhlal
Substitutes

B. Maubleu
DefenderP. Cornud
D. Batubinsika
Y. Abdelhamid
MidfielderB. Bouchouari
L. Mouton
I. Miladinovic
B. Old
D. N'Guessan

K. Haug
DefenderU. Akdag
E. Zuliani
M. Saka
M. Zajc
R. Messali
Z. Aboukhlal
N. Edjouma
S. Babicka
Missing players

A. Boakye
ForwardL. Stassin

R. Nicolaisen
MidfielderN. Schmidt
Most goals and assists






Saint Etienne - Toulouse Key Points
- In four of Toulouse’s last seven away matches, both teams scored.
- Across Toulouse’s last 10 Ligue 1 matches, both teams scored in seven.
- In the reverse meeting between these sides, both teams scored.
- Saint-Etienne’s last five matches had goals on both ends in four.
- At home in Saint-Etienne’s last six matches, both teams scored.
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Our Saint Etienne vs Toulouse Prediction
Saint-Etienne’s survival is out of their hands but remains heavily hinged on this game. If they have any chance of staying up, a win here is a must. We should, therefore, expect the hosts to throw everything at Toulouse in a bid to bag three points.
Such could expose them, as their recent matches have come to show. Saint-Etienne rarely keep clean sheets but have also scored with some consistency, especially at home. Like it was in the reverse match, our prediction for Saint-Etienne v Toulouse is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Saint Etienne Toulouse
Saint Etienne vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Saint Etienne wins | 3.6 | 2.3 | -36.1% |
Draw | 3.6 | 3.8 | +5.6% |
Toulouse wins | 1.83 | 2.75 | +50.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Saint Etienne is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 36.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 43.5% (15.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Saint Etienne vs. Toulouse game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Saint Etienne and Toulouse? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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