Roma vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Roma
05/09/2026 14:45
Atalanta

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

The Serie A encounter pitting Roma against Atalanta bears more than just a battle for three points. There is sentimental value in it as Roma coach Gian Piero Gasperini welcomes his former employers in a match pitting two sides on six points. As two defensively solid sides face off here, our prediction is simply for under three goals.

Roma’s flying start to the season has them top of the table with eight goals scored from two league outings. They haven’t conceded yet and will hope this run enables them to break Atalanta’s eight-game unbeaten streak in this fixture.

In their latest outing, Roma thumped Lecce 4-0, having treated Fiorentina to

Facing Atalanta, this will be a tougher match for Roma compared to the earlier two. Roma last won this fixture in 2022 before Atalanta went on a run of six wins in eight meetings.

Atalanta will be keen on stretching that record but also wary of Roma’s fine start to the season.  La Dea themselves have been on a solid run juggling between European and domestic matches.

They are unbeaten in their four matches so far, winning the last three and keeping three clean sheets in four. In their latest outing, they blanked Bologna 1-0, coming right after securing their place in the Conference League main draw.

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Roma v Atalanta Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.71 3.75 5
1xbet
1.79 3.89 5.01
Melbet
1.73 3.74 4.82
Betwinner
1.73 3.74 4.82
22bet
1.73 3.74 4.82
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Atalanta?

Our prediction for the Roma vs Atalanta match is: Under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2026 between Roma and Atalanta in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.81% for a win of Roma against Atalanta with odds of 1.79 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Atalanta is 20.43% with odds of 3.89 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Roma with odds of 5.01 at 1xbet.

Roma vs Atalanta Form

Roma and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Roma
6 2 2 0 0 +8
5 Atalanta
6 2 2 0 0 +2

Roma and Atalanta Last Matches

Roma
Roma Last matches
L W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Roma

24 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Roma

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newport County
1 :  4
Roma

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cardiff
4 :  1
Roma
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Lazio

4 May 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Pisa SC

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Lecce
D L W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Roma

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Roma

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newport County
1 :  4
Roma

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cardiff
4 :  1
Roma

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AS Cannes
3 :  3
Roma
Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
0 :  1
Atalanta

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC

14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC

14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
3 :  2
SS Arezzo

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
2 :  1
Atalanta BC U23
L W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
0 :  1
Atalanta

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
2 :  1
Atalanta

22 May 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  3
Atalanta

27 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  2
Atalanta

Roma vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Roma

0 %

Draw

33 %

Atalanta

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Roma

12 May 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Roma

2 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  2
Atalanta

12 May 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Roma

7 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta
Roma vs Atalanta Prediction

Roma vs Atalanta last Lineups

Roma

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

99
M. Svilar
23
G. Mancini
87
D. Ghilardi
22
M. Hermoso
77
E. Lulli
4
B. Cristante
17
M. Kone
43
Wesley
18
M. Soule
21
P. Dybala
14
D. Malen
18
G. Raspadori
9
G. Scamacca
17
C. De Ketelaere
13
E. Silva
70
G. Gaetano
8
M. Pasalic
23
S. Kolasinac
42
G. Scalvini
3
O. Kossounou
77
D. Zappacosta
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Atalanta

Substitutes

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

G. De Marzi

P. Gollini

Defender

N. Molina

L. Balerdi

K. Koulierakis

Midfielder

M. De Roon

N. Pisilli

R. Mora

Forward

S. Castro

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

P. Vismara

M. Sportiello

Defender

L. Bernasconi

R. Obric

R. Bellanova

Midfielder

E. Elmas

N. Zalewski

L. Samardzic

F. Cassa

Sulemana

Forward

N. Krstovic

Missing players

Roma
Roma
Defender

E. Ndicka

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

I. Hien

Forward

K. Sulemana

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Roma
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Montenegro N. Krstovic (1 Goals) Italy G. Raspadori (1 Goals) Serbia L. Samardzic (1 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina P. Dybala (3 Assists)
Best assists
Italy G. Gaetano (1 Assists)
Poland N. Zalewski (1 Assists)

Roma and Atalanta Stats in Serie A

Roma
Roma
Atalanta
Atalanta
100%
Wins
100%
0%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
4
Average goals per match
2
4
Goals scored per match
1.5
0
Goals conceded per match
0.5
0%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
100%
No goals conceded
50%
0%
BTTS
50%

Roma - Atalanta Key Points

  1. Roma haven’t conceded a goal so far this season.
  2. Atalanta have kept clean sheets in three of their four games so far.
  3. Three of these teams’ last four meetings had under 2.5 goals.
  4. At least one side failed to score in five of Roma’s last six home games.
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Our Roma vs Atalanta Prediction

Atalanta have done well in this fixture in recent meetings, and they will hope to keep that going. This time the test will be stiffer, as Roma have started their season superbly. Going into this encounter, both sides have shown great defensive qualities, though Roma have merged that well with attack.

They have scored eight times in the two matches played, and it remains to be seen if they can impose the same here. Atalanta have a good run as well but not so much in attack and may be preoccupied by handling Roma’s attack. Our prediction for AS Roma v Atalanta is for Under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.