Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
Only three matchdays remain in the Argentine Primera Division as fifth-place River Plate welcome San Lorenzo to El Monumental on Wednesday. We’ve got the breakdown as well as a prediction ready for this match between Los Millonarios and El Ciclon.
River Plate have responded well following their disappointing exit to Atletico MG in the Copa Libertadores semi-final at the end of October.
The defending champions have gone on to win four of their last five in Argentina’s top flight, with the most recent result being a 2-1 away win over Copa de la Liga Professional champions Estudiantes.
While River Plate won’t catch leaders Velez for the 2024 league title, they’re still involved in a tight battle for automatic qualification into the 2025 Copa Libertadores. The hosts currently occupy third in the aggregate table, giving them a goal differential lead over Talleres for the final group stage qualification spot.
As for San Lorenzo, there isn’t much left to play for at this point. They’re sitting down in 22nd place with seven wins, seven draws and 10 defeats on the season.
The visitors come into this clash following a 2-0 home defeat at the hands of Belgrano last Friday. It marked the second loss in a row for San Lorenzo and means they have now recorded just one victory in their last four.
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The Best Betting Odds for River Plate v San Lorenzo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4.33 | 8 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.4 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.2 | 8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4 | 7 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.4 | 9.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between River Plate and San Lorenzo?
Our prediction for the River Plate vs San Lorenzo match is: River Plate team total over 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/12/2024 between River Plate and San Lorenzo in Liga Profesional Argentina :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.5% for a win of River Plate against San Lorenzo with odds of 1.42 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between River Plate vs San Lorenzo is 25.58% with odds of 4.4 at William Hill.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.93% chance ⭐ for a win of San Lorenzo vs River Plate with odds of 9.5 at Unibet.
River Plate - San Lorenzo Prediction and Best Odds:
| River Plate San Lorenzo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| River Plate wins | 50.5% | 1.42 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.97 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 34.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: River Plate | 20.84% | 3.9 at Unibet |
River Plate vs San Lorenzo Form
River Plate and San Lorenzo's standings in the Liga Profesional Argentina
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
43 | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
|
24
|
29 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -6 |
River Plate and San Lorenzo Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
6 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
2 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
2 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores
18 Oct 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Sept 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
24 Sept 2024 - Copa Libertadores
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
6 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Oct 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
22 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores
6 Oct 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
17 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
9 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
5 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Oct 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
17 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
5 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Oct 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
28 Sept 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
14 Sept 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1 Nov 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Oct 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Sept 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1 Sept 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
River Plate vs San Lorenzo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Jul 2023 - Liga Profesional Argentina
18 Sept 2022 - Liga Profesional Argentina
5 Mar 2022 - Copa De La Superliga
17 Oct 2021 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1 Sept 2018 - Liga Profesional Argentina
14 May 2018 - Liga Profesional Argentina
River Plate against San Lorenzo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
River Plate
San Lorenzo
M. Borja
(17 Goals)
A. Cuello
(7 Goals)
C. Echeverri
(4 Assists)
,
F. Mastantuono
(4 Assists)
,
I. Fernandez
(4 Assists)
,
G. Martinez
(4 Assists)
E. Cerutti
(3 Assists)
River Plate - San Lorenzo Key Points
- River Plate have notched over 1.5 goals in four of their last five games.
- The hosts have scored 12 goals in their last five appearances (2.40 average).
- San Lorenzo have conceded two goals in their last two straight matches.
- River Plate are the highest-scoring home team this season with 24 goals from 12 fixtures.
- The hosts have scored over 1.5 goals in seven of their 12 home league matches.
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Our River Plate vs San Lorenzo Prediction
River Plate have been night-and-day on the attacking side of the ball this season when playing on their home patch. They’ve scored 24 goals in front of the home fans compared to just nine when they take to the road.
They’ll now welcome a San Lorenzo side that have conceded two goals in their last two straight. With River Plate on an excellent run of scoring form, they should be able to net another two here. Our River Plate vs San Lorenzo prediction: River Plate team total over 1.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis River Plate San Lorenzo
| River Plate vs San Lorenzo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate wins | 1.5 | 1.42 | -5.3% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.33 | +15.5% |
| San Lorenzo wins | 7 | 8 | +14.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- River Plate is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 70.4% (3.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
