Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Rennes takes on Toulouse this Saturday in one of the highlight matches in the 24th round of Ligue 1. Sixth-placed Rennes are looking to consolidate their spot, while Toulouse, 10th, are eyeing European football. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Rennes will be eyeing a third straight win here after recovering from a mini slump. They ended a five-match winless run with a win against PSG and backed it up with a 3-0 victory at Auxerre last time out.
In their last two matches now, Rennes have scored six times, but their problems reside in poor defending. Les Rouge et Noirs have conceded 35 times in 23 Ligue 1 matches. That’s the highest tally in the top seven.
Toulouse haven't lost to Rennes in their last six meetings, but the danger of seeing that go up in smoke is high here. The visitors aren’t at their best ahead of this game. In the last three matches, they are winless, having lost twice in the process.
There was some improvement in their last game though, with Les Violets drawing Paris FC 1-1. That, though, was only their second draw in a run of five matches where they won once.
Away from home, they carry into this game two straight defeats and have lost six of their last 10 away to Toulouse.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Rennes v Toulouse Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.01 | 3.65 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.54 | 3.84 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.56 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.55 | 3.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Rennes and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Rennes vs Toulouse match is: Rennes wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Rennes and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.87% for a win of Rennes against Toulouse with odds of 2.02 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rennes vs Toulouse is 22.93% with odds of 3.7 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Rennes with odds of 3.99 at 888Starz.
Rennes - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rennes Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes wins | 40.87% | 2.02 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.58% | 2 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rennes | 18.81% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Rennes vs Toulouse Form
Rennes and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 |
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
Rennes and Toulouse Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
Rennes vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
13 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
12 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
Rennes against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Silistrie
A. Akabou
DefenderA. Seidu
A. Ait Boudlal
MidfielderD. Cisse
L. Blas
Y. Zabiri
H. Do Marcolino
N. Mukiele
B. Embolo
N. Said Mchindra
K. Haug
DefenderS. Koumbassa
G. Bakhouche Piernas
T. Garondo
MidfielderM. Sauer
N. Lahmadi
ForwardJ. Russell Rowe
E. Da Silva
Missing players
P. Frankowski
J. Jacquet
MidfielderG. Kamara
A. Dominguez
DefenderR. Nicolaisen
MidfielderC. Casseres Jr
A. Francis
R. Messali
ForwardA. Donnum
F. Magri
Most goals and assists
Rennes
Toulouse
E. Lepaul
(21 Goals)
Y. Gboho
(8 Goals)
M. Tamari
(6 Assists)
S. Hidalgo
(5 Assists)
Rennes - Toulouse Key Points
- Toulouse are winless in four matches ahead of this one.
- Rennes are on two straight wins coming into this game.
- Toulouse won only 14 of their 31 points away from home.
- Rennes bagged 21 of their 37 points in home league matches.
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Our Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction
Toulouse have failed to win seven of their 11 Ligue 1 away matches, yet here they face another stern test. They haven't done badly in this fixture in recent matches, but they come in with six defeats in the last 10 meetings.
Toulouse have also struggled in their recent matches, a state that Rennes have been able to address in the latest two games. The hosts are coming off back-to-back wins and have won five of their last seven home matches. This run will build their confidence, and our prediction for Rennes v Toulouse is that Rennes wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rennes Toulouse
| Rennes vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes wins | 2.26 | 2.02 | -10.6% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.7 | +8.8% |
| Toulouse wins | 3 | 3.99 | +33.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rennes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.2% and is now 49.5% (5.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
