Rennes vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Rennes
24/01/2026 11:00
Lorient

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Rennes will welcome Lorient to the Roazhon Park for the Breton derby this weekend. Both sides are in top form, but Rennes, sitting sixth, is six places higher than their visitors. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

In the top six, the teams vying for Europe are beginning to pull away. Rennes happens to be at the tail end of that pool. A 1-1 draw with Le Havre last time, however, meant they couldn’t take advantage of Lille’s slip.

Les Rouge et Noirs trail fifth-placed Lille by a point. Across their last 10 matches, Rennes lost just once but won eight. Against Lorient, though, they are winless in five. 

Lorient are eyeing a sixth straight win against Rennes, and in their current form, they’ll be confident of achieving that. In the first meeting of the season between these teams, Lorient claimed a solid win, beating Rennes 4-0 away from home.

In the last two seasons Lorient have claimed Ligue 1 doubles on Rennes and will want to keep the run going. Their 3-1 win away to Monaco last time out is a statement that the hosts should take them seriously.

Like their hosts, Lorient have lost only once in their last 10 games. However, in that period they only posted five wins.

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Rennes v Lorient Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.8 3.85 4.5
Melbet
1.78 3.72 4.44
Betwinner
1.78 3.82 4.4
Bet365
1.8 3.7 4.33
Roobet
1.77 3.75 4.3
Check all Rennes vs Lorient odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Rennes and Lorient?

Our prediction for the Rennes vs Lorient match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Rennes and Lorient in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.09% for a win of Rennes against Lorient with odds of 1.84 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rennes vs Lorient is 21.66% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Rennes with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.

Rennes - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:

Rennes Lorient Prediction Probability Odds
Lorient wins 39.26% 4.6 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 69.9% 1.91 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 63.75%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lorient 15.16% 10.5 at LSbet

Rennes vs Lorient Form

Rennes and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Rennes
59 34 17 8 9 +9
9 Lorient
45 34 11 12 11 -3

Rennes and Lorient Last Matches

Rennes
Rennes Last matches
L W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  1
Le Havre

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

US Chantilly
1 :  3
Rennes

3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
0 :  2
Rennes

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Rennes
3 :  0
Les Sables Vendee Foot

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
3 :  1
Brest

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Rennes
L W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  1
Le Havre

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Rennes
3 :  0
Les Sables Vendee Foot

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
3 :  1
Brest

22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
4 :  1
Monaco

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
4 :  1
Strasbourg

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  2
Nice
D W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

US Chantilly
1 :  3
Rennes

3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
0 :  2
Rennes

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Rennes

28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Rennes

7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  1
Rennes

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Rennes
Lorient
Lorient Last matches
W D W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  3
Lorient

10 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Hauts Lyonnais
1 :  3
Lorient

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Metz

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

AS Le Gosier
0 :  7
Lorient

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  0
Lorient

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  0
Lyon
D D D W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Metz

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  0
Lyon

30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  1
Nice

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Toulouse

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
PSG

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  3
Brest
L D D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  3
Lorient

10 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Hauts Lyonnais
1 :  3
Lorient

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

AS Le Gosier
0 :  7
Lorient

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  0
Lorient

23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
Lorient

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  0
Lorient

Rennes vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Rennes

17 %

Draw

0 %

Lorient

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
4 :  0
Rennes

3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  2
Lorient

22 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Rennes

27 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Rennes

7 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1

Rennes
0 :  1
Lorient

24 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1

Rennes
5 :  0
Lorient

Rennes against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11

Rennes

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

30
B. Samba
36
A. Seidu
97
J. Jacquet
3
L. Brassier
95
P. Frankowski
21
V. Rongier
6
D. Cisse
45
M. Camara
26
Q. Merlin
7
B. Embolo
9
E. Lepaul
12
B. Dieng
29
D. Karim
17
J. Makengo
43
A. Kouassi
6
L. Abergel
8
N. Cadiou
11
T. Le Bris
2
I. Silva
3
M. Talbi
5
B. Meite
38
Y. Mvogo

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Lorient

Substitutes

Rennes
Rennes
Goalkeeper

M. Silistrie

Defender

M. Nagida

A. Ait Boudlal

A. Rouault

Midfielder

S. Szymanski

M. Camara 77'

L. Blas

D. Cisse 59'

Forward

M. Tamari

P. Frankowski 59'

E. Legendre

B. Embolo 81'

M. Meite

E. Lepaul 59'

Lorient
Lorient
Goalkeeper

B. Kamara

Defender

N. Adjei

I. Silva 74'

L. Leaudais

Midfielder

J. Mvuka

A. Ebong

J. Makengo 63'

Forward

M. Kone

S. Soumano

B. Dieng 75'

P. Pagis

D. Karim 63'

T. Sanusi

Missing players

Rennes
Rennes
Lorient
Lorient
Defender

D. Yongwa

S. Toure

A. Faye

Midfielder

B. Fadiga

P. Katseris

Forward

T. Aiyegun

B. Mohamed

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Rennes
CD Huachipato Lorient
Top Goalscorer
France E. Lepaul (21 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France P. Pagis (10 Goals) Senegal B. Dieng (10 Goals)
Best assists
Jordanie M. Tamari (6 Assists)
Best assists
Burkina Faso A. Kouassi (6 Assists)

Rennes - Lorient Key Points

  1. Three times in their last five matches, Rennes scored three goals.
  2. A total of 19 goals were scored in Rennes’ last five home outings.
  3. On average 3.4 goals were scored in Lorient’s last five away games.
  4. Lorient have scored 3+ in three of their last four matches.
  5. These sides’ last five meetings produced 14 goals.
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Our Rennes vs Lorient Prediction

This match is expected to be a hard-fought affair, with the two sides enjoying a good run of form. Both teams will feel they can nick three points off this match. key to the teams’ recent resurgence has been good scoring returns.

Rennes scored three times in three of their last five matches, and Lorient have experienced the same in three of their last four games. Even their recent meetings have returned high scores on average. As such, our prediction for Rennes v Lorient is for the match to have more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rennes Lorient

Rennes vs Lorient Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Rennes wins 1.78 1.84 +3.4%
Draw 3.96 4 +1.0%
Lorient wins 4.96 4.6 -7.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lorient is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 20.2% and is now 21.7% (1.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Rennes vs Lorient Prediction