Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC Fight Night
MMA - UFC Fight Night
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
Tom Nolan has won five straight in the UFC and lost just once in 12 professional fights. Big Train headlines a UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas against Renato Moicano, a 37-year-old with 21 career wins. The five-round lightweight main event takes place on Saturday night. Check out our Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan match prediction for this UFC Fight Night main event.
Big Train beat Farès Ziam by unanimous decision in June. Before that he choked out Charlie Campbell in round one in September 2025. Notably, Nolan lands 4.84 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.74. Not to mention that he is taller than Moicano and has a longer reach.
Renato “Money” Moicano, meanwhile, has submitted 11 opponents, and he tapped Chris Duncan with a face crank in round two last April. Islam Makhachev did choke him in round one in January 2025 and Beneil Dariush beat him on the cards that June, so Moicano has been in poorer form than underdog Nolan.
What’s more, five of Moicano's seven defeats came by stoppage, three by knockout and two by submission. Nolan has not lost since Nikolas Motta knocked him out in 63 seconds in January 2024. Since then he has won three on the cards and finished two in round one. At 26, with a five-round distance ahead, Big Train holds the edge.
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Renato Moicano - Tom Nolan Key Points
- Nolan has won five straight UFC fights since his only defeat, a round-one knockout against Nikolas Motta in January 2024.
- Nolan lands 4.84 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.74, with 46% accuracy.
- Nolan's last five wins include three unanimous decisions and two round-one finishes.
- Five of Moicano's seven defeats came by stoppage, three by knockout and two by submission.
- Moicano has fought three times since the start of 2025, losing to Islam Makhachev and Beneil Dariush before beating Chris Duncan.
- Moicano is 37 years old and Nolan is 26, 11 years younger.
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Our Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan Prediction
Nolan arrives on a five-fight winning streak and has not lost in more than two and a half years. Moicano, on the other hand, has fought only three times since the start of 2025, and five of his seven defeats came inside the distance.
Money still carries 11 submission wins. But Nolan has gone the full three rounds in three of his last five and finished the other two in round one. What’s more, besides owning the longer streak, Big Train is also 11 years younger. Hence, our Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan prediction is that Tom Nolan wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
