Red Star Belgrade vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions
After a tight first leg that was won 1-0 by Red Star Belgrade, Lille will hope to turn things around on Thursday when the sides meet in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League knockout phase playoffs. This second-leg match between the Red-Whites and the Mastiffs comes with our prediction of a home win.
Red Star won 1-0 in the first leg last week with a first-half strike from Franklin Uchenna differentiating the sides. Lille lost 1-0 to Red Star when they visited this venue earlier this season on matchday four of the league phase.
Red Star finished 15th in the league phase with 14 points (W4, D2, L2) and two points inside the top 16. Their progress has been confirmed with a run of four wins and a draw in their last five league phase games, after starting with one draw and two losses.
A 3-0 home win in the domestic league last weekend made it six consecutive victories in all competitions for the Belgrade side.
Lille finished the league phase in 18th place with 12 points (W4, L4). A run of four defeats in their last six league phase games compounded their misery.
Lille won 1-0 away at Angers in Ligue 1 last weekend but have lost their last three away matches in the Europa League.
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Red Star Belgrade v Lille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.4 | 2.44 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.4 | 2.44 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.45 | 2.46 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Red Star Belgrade and Lille?
Our prediction for the Red Star Belgrade vs Lille match is: Red Star Belgrade wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/02/2026 between Red Star Belgrade and Lille in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.38% for a win of Red Star Belgrade against Lille with odds of 2.97 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Red Star Belgrade vs Lille is 17.13% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Red Star Belgrade with odds of 2.52 at 888Starz.
Red Star Belgrade - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Red Star Belgrade Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 58.38% | 2.97 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 56.51% | 1.97 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Red Star Belgrade/Red Star Belgrade | 30.45% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Red Star Belgrade vs Lille Form
Red Star Belgrade and Lille Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
11 Feb 2026 - Serbia Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
1 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
7 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
15 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
11 Feb 2026 - Serbia Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
15 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
Red Star Belgrade vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
Red Star Belgrade against Lille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
O. Glazer
V. Draskic
DefenderA. Avdic
S. Gudelj
M. Veljkovic
T. Elsnik
M. Bajo
L. Zaric
ForwardM. Arnautovic
A. Katai
D. Owusu
A. Bodart
Z. Lanssade
DefenderN. Ngoy
M. Goffi
C. Verdonk
S. Boussadia
N. Mukau
N. Bentaleb
ForwardN. Edjouma
F. Correia
S. Diaoune
Missing players
M. Caillard
DefenderT. Meunier
Alexsandro
O. Toure
R. Fernandes
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
M. Broholm
E. Mbappe
ForwardH. Igamane
Most goals and assists
Red Star Belgrade
Lille
M. Arnautovic
(2 Goals)
, 
V. Kostov
(2 Goals)
, 
B. Duarte
(2 Goals)
O. Giroud
(4 Goals)
, 
H. Igamane
(4 Goals)
T. Elsnik
(2 Assists)
F. Correia
(2 Assists)
, 
T. Meunier
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Haraldsson
(2 Assists)
Red Star Belgrade - Lille Key Points
- Lille lost five of their last seven Europa League matches.
- Lille were beaten in their last three away Europa League games.
- Lille lost seven of their last 11 competitive matches.
- Red Star have won five of their last six Europa League games.
- At home, Red Star posted two wins from their last three Europa League fixtures.
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Our Red Star Belgrade vs Lille Prediction
The first leg was won by Red Star 1-0, which was also the score when these sides met in the league phase of this year’s competition. In fact, the Belgrade side have won five of their last six Europa League games, each with a 1-0 scoreline. Lille will hope to turn things around but face an uphill battle, having lost three of their last four Europa League games.
Red Star’s impressive home form could continue, and that’s why our Red Star Belgrade vs Lille prediction is Red Star Belgrade wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Red Star Belgrade Lille
| Red Star Belgrade vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 3.15 | 2.97 | -5.7% |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.6 | +0.6% |
| Lille wins | 2.39 | 2.52 | +5.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Red Star Belgrade is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.7% and is now 33.7% (1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
