Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid will hope to stay in the title race of the 2025-26 La Liga campaign on matchday eight when they host Villarreal. This match at Santiago Bernabeu between the second-placed Los Blancos and the third-placed Yellow Submarine comes with our prediction of a home win and BTTS.
Madrid’s 18 points (W6, L1) put them one point behind leaders Barcelona ahead of this round. Villarreal have 16 points (W5, D1, L1) and start this round a point behind their hosts.
The hosts are coming off a 5-0 away win over Madrid in the midweek Champions League game, which was their eighth win over their last nine competitive matches.
The only loss in that sequence was a 5-2 defeat to Atletico Madrid, which came in the league last weekend. The hosts are well-placed to bounce back from that defeat, as they have won each of their three home league games this season.
Villarreal drew 2-2 at home against Juventus in their Champions League match this week, which ended a run of three consecutive wins. All those wins have come in the league, bookended by a 1-0 home win over Athletic last weekend.
They have concerns on the road, though, as indicated by two defeats out of their three recent trips in all competitions, although they won the latest.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Villarreal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.41 | 5.2 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match is: Real Madrid win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Real Madrid and Villarreal in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.67% for a win of Real Madrid against Villarreal with odds of 1.5 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Villarreal is 17.37% with odds of 5.32 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Real Madrid with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Form
Real Madrid and Villarreal's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
|
3
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
Real Madrid and Villarreal Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
13 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
12 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2023 - Copa del Rey
Real Madrid vs Villarreal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
F. Mendy
A. Rudiger
T. Alexander-Arnold
D. Carvajal
L. Costa
W. Kambwala
J. Foyth
ForwardG. Moreno
P. Cabanes
A. Perez
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Villarreal
K. Mbappe
(13 Goals)
T. Buchanan
(3 Goals)
Vinicius Junior
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Guler
(4 Assists)
S. Cardona
(2 Assists)
, 
N. Pepe
(2 Assists)
Real Madrid and Villarreal Stats in LaLiga
Real Madrid - Villarreal Key Points
- Madrid won eight of their last nine matches, losing just once.
- In the league, Madrid won six of their seven matches this season.
- Four of Madrid’s last five La Liga fixtures saw both teams score goals.
- In three of Villarreal’s last four matches in all competitions, both teams scored goals.
- Two of Villarreal’s last three away league games produced goals by both teams.
- In six of the last seven matches between Madrid and Villarreal in all competitions, both teams scored goals.
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Our Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction
Madrid’s perfect start to the league campaign was brutally halted last weekend when they lost in the Madrid derby to bitter city rivals Atletico. They bounced back with a smashing win in the Champions League, which should worry Villarreal. The visitors have been in impressive form lately, but questions remain over their recent away record. Despite that, they are likely to fancy action and get on the scoreboard, although they may not trouble the hosts.
That’s why our Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction is Real Madrid win and BTTS.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Madrid vs. Villarreal game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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