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12 April 2023 - 15:00 

- QF

Europe - Champions League

Real Madrid
VS
Chelsea

Prediction :

Real Madrid wins the match

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Real Madrid vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Joseph King | in Champions League Prediction

Another high-profile fixture in the quarter-finals of the UEFA Champions League sees defending champions Real Madrid taking on 2021 winners Chelsea at the Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid advanced to this stage of the competition after topping their group and storming past Liverpool in the round of 16 by an aggregate score of 6-2 . Chelsea were able to outlast Dortmund thanks to a win at Stamford Bridge, getting them over the line by way of a 2-1 aggregate score and into the final eight.

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The bookmakers unsurprisingly have Real Madrid as the favorites here playing on their home pitch. Those looking to back the defending champions can get them at a price of 1.70. The visiting Chelsea have odds of 5.00 to walk away from the Spanish capital with a win while the draw comes in at odds of 3.75.

Real Madrid vs Chelsea Form

Real Madrid and Chelsea Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.83
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

8 Apr 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  3
Villarreal

5 Apr 2023 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
0 :  4
Real Madrid

2 Apr 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
6 :  0
Valladolid

19 Mar 2023 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  1
Real Madrid

15 Mar 2023 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Liverpool

11 Mar 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Espanyol
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W W D L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

8 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  0
Chelsea

4 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  0
Liverpool

1 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Aston Villa

18 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Everton

11 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Leicester
1 :  3
Chelsea

7 Mar 2023 - Champions League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Real Madrid against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

25 %

Draw

25 %

Chelsea

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.25
BTTS
75%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

12 Apr 2022 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  3
Chelsea

6 Apr 2022 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Real Madrid

5 May 2021 - Champions League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Real Madrid

27 Apr 2021 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Chelsea
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Real Madrid - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Madrid have hit something of a speed bump in recent weeks. They’ve now lost two of their last four games and are coming off a wild 3-2 home loss to Villarreal on the weekend. Madrid twice conceded the lead against Villarreal and ultimately gave up the winner in the final 10 minutes. However, while the La Liga title is almost certainly out of reach, the Real Madrid faithful will feel they have an excellent chance at taking down a cup double after Los Blancos advanced to the final of the Copa del Rey thanks to a fantastic 4-0 away win over Barcelona just one week ago. The three goals conceded to Villarreal will be disappointing but the Madrid attack has been firing all on cylinders. The hosts have now scored 12 goals in the last three matches for an average of four goals scored per game. 

Chelsea are coming off yet another disappointing result after a 1-0 away defeat to Wolves on the weekend as the club appears to have entered into a complete tailspin. Former player and manager Frank Lampard has been brought in for the short-term following the sacking of Graham Potter as Chelsea search for the next long-term manager of the club. The Blues are now four matches without a win and their attacking threat has come to a complete stop, failing to find the net in any of the previous three outings. Despite being a disaster in the league this season, Chelsea have performed quite well in the Champions League. They topped their group and were able to get past a tricky Dortmund side in the first round. However, they enter this matchup at the worst possible time with the club in turmoil and coming up against one of Europe’s elite.

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Real Madrid against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
T. Courtois
2
D. Carvajal
3
E. Militao
4
D. Alaba
12
E. Camavinga
15
F. Valverde
10
L. Modric
8
T. Kroos
21
Rodrygo
9
K. Benzema
7
V. Junior
11
Joao Felix
17
R. Sterling
21
B. Chilwell
8
M. Kovacic
5
E. Fernandez
7
N. Kante
24
R. James
33
W. Fofana
6
T. Silva
26
K. Koulibaly
1
K. Arrizabalaga

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Chelsea

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Forward

K. Benzema

M. Diaz

M. Asensio

V. Junior

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

M. Bettinelli

Defender

B. Chilwell

M. Cucurella

R. James

B. Badiashile

Midfielder

N. Kante

M. Mount

Forward

A. Broja

Real Madrid & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti opted to rest a number of his first choice players in preparation for this matchup. The preferred midfield trio of Luka Modric, Eduardo Camavinga and Toni Kroos were all left out of the starting 11 for the match against Villarreal and are expected to be recalled here. They also opted to start with Militao and Fede Valverde on the bench in the previous match. Expect Vinicius Jr and one of either Valverde or Rodrygo to flank the ageless Karim Benzema in the attacking three.

For Chelsea, manager Frank Lampard has a number of absences to deal with. Mason Mount will not be fit for the trip to the Spanish capital while Thiago Silva and Cesar Azpilicueta also miss out. Solid defensive option Benoit Badiashile and recent signing Noni Madueke are unavailable as they are not registered as part of Chelsea’s Champions League squad. Expect a return to the fold for Ben Chilwell and N'golo Kante, who both missed out on a start against Wolves, although Chilwell came off the bench in that match.

Real Madrid - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Real Madrid have won their last five consecutive Champions League matches at home.
  2. Chelsea have managed only four wins in 18 matches across all competitions since the turn of the new year.
  3. Chelsea have managed only one win, three draws and six defeats in their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
  4. Chelsea have failed to find the net in six of their last 10 matches, scoring just eight goals during that stretch.
  5. Real Madrid have scored 14 goals in their last four home matches for an average of 3.5 per match.
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Our Real Madrid vs Chelsea Prediction

Given the form and the state of both clubs coming into this fixture, it’s difficult to see beyond anything other than a home victory. The loss at the weekend against Villarreal may be alarming but there were a number of first-choice regulars missing from the action in that one. With the players returning, Los Blancos should come into this match confident of getting the win against a vulnerable Chelsea side to take back to London for the return leg. Our Real Madrid vs Chelsea prediction: Real Madrid to win

Prediction :

Real Madrid wins the match

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Real Madrid vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions

Real Madrid -1 European handicap

This is an excellent price to back a multi-goal home win. Chelsea are in complete disarray at the moment and have a number of factors working against them here. Madrid proved against Liverpool that they are capable of putting together some huge scores and are more than capable of winning this match by a scoreline of 2-0 or 3-1.

Over 2.5 goals

Madrid are certainly capable of covering this goal total single-handedly with the way they have been playing lately. With 12 goals scored in the last three matches along with a Chelsea squad that has plenty of attacking talent, expect this one to go over the 2.5 mark a good percentage of the time.
Real Madrid vs Chelsea Prediction

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Real Madrid vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions

The match between Real Madrid vs Chelsea in the Champions League quarter-finals kicks off at 8pm UK time.
Viewers can watch the Real Madrid vs Chelsea match live on BT Sport 1. You can also follow along with the action using SportyTrader's Livescore tool.
The Champions League quarter-final between Real Madrid and Chelsea is being played at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium in the Spanish capital of Madrid.
The referee for the Real Madrid vs Chelsea match is the 33-year-old Frenchman Francois Letexier.

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