Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
07/12/2025 15:00
Celta Vigo

Prediction :

 

Real Madrid to win & over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions

Real Madrid will close matchday 15 of La Liga with a home match against Celta Vigo as they play catch-up to Barcelona. Going into this game, Real are second, a point behind Barca, while Celta are 12th. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Recent weeks have been shaky for Real Madrid, but their second win in six matches has eased much of the pressure. They are coming off a 3-0 away win at Athletic Bilbao.

That was their first win in four La Liga matches, a run that saw them overtaken by Barcelona in the standings. Los Blancos return home after six straight away matches and will be looking to build on their eight straight home wins.

Celta Vigo are taking on one of the best-performing home sides, but they will have their reasons to stay positive. The visitors have garnered 16 points so far, and 11 of those have come in away matches.

In their last three away games, Celta Vigo posted straight wins, a run they will hope to extend into this weekend’s match. To this match, however, they aren’t bringing a great run, winning only one of their last five matches in regular time.

Their latest outing headed to penalties, where they saw off Sant Andreu in the Copa del Rey.

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Real Madrid v Celta Vigo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.31 6.4 9.2
Melbet
1.24 6.65 10
Betwinner
1.24 6.65 10
Bet365
1.25 6.5 9.5
Roobet
1.27 6 9.6
Check all Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo?

Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo match is: Real Madrid to win & over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/12/2025 between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.39% for a win of Real Madrid against Celta Vigo with odds of 1.31 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo is 10.69% with odds of 6.65 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid with odds of 11.6 at 888Starz.

Real Madrid - Celta Vigo Prediction and Best Odds:

Real Madrid Celta Vigo Prediction Probability Odds
Real Madrid wins 65.39% 1.31 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 65.51% 1.4 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 53.33%
Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid 29.1% 1.8 at Bet365

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Form

Real Madrid and Celta Vigo's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Real Madrid
86 38 27 5 6 +42
6 Celta Vigo
54 38 14 12 12 +5

Real Madrid and Celta Vigo Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
L D D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
3 :  4
Real Madrid

23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  2
Real Madrid

9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Real Madrid

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia

26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Barcelona

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal

20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Espanyol

16 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille
L D D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
3 :  4
Real Madrid

23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  2
Real Madrid

9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Real Madrid

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo Last matches
W L W L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

Sant Andreu
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  1
Espanyol

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Ludogorets
3 :  2
Celta Vigo

22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  4
Barcelona

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0 :  3
Celta Vigo
W D D W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  1
Espanyol

9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  4
Barcelona

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
2 :  1
Nice

19 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
3 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki
W W W W L D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

Sant Andreu
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Ludogorets
3 :  2
Celta Vigo

22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0 :  3
Celta Vigo

2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  2
Celta Vigo

30 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey

Puerto De Vega CF
0 :  2
Celta Vigo

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

100 %

Draw

0 %

Celta Vigo

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.83
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

4 May 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Celta Vigo

16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
5 :  2
Celta Vigo

19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Real Madrid

10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Celta Vigo

25 Aug 2023 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  1
Real Madrid

22 Apr 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Celta Vigo

Real Madrid against Celta Vigo Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2

1
T. Courtois
17
R. Asencio
3
E. Militao
18
A. Carreras
20
F. Garcia
14
A. Tchouameni
8
F. Valverde
15
A. Guler
10
K. Mbappe
5
J. Bellingham
7
Vinicius Junior
7
B. Iglesias
17
B. Zaragoza
18
P. Duran
3
O. Mingueza
6
I. Moriba
16
M. Roman Gonzalez
5
S. Carreira
20
M. Alonso
2
C. Starfelt
32
J. Rodriguez
13
I. Radu

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Celta Vigo

Substitutes

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Mestre

A. Lunin

Defender

J. Martinez

A. Rudiger

E. Militao 24'

Midfielder

E. Camavinga

D. Ceballos

Forward

Rodrygo

R. Asencio 55'

G. Garcia

A. Guler 74'

Endrick

F. Mastantuono

B. Diaz

Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Goalkeeper

I. Villar

Defender

Y. Lago

J. Rueda

B. Zaragoza 71'

C. Dominguez

M. Fernandez

Midfielder

W. Swedberg

P. Duran 46'

H. Alvarez

J. El-Abdellaoui

D. Rodriguez

F. Beltran

M. Roman Gonzalez 84'

Forward

F. Jutgla

O. Mingueza 71'

I. Aspas

B. Iglesias 88'

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Alaba

D. Carvajal

T. Alexander-Arnold

F. Mendy

D. Huijsen

Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Defender

M. Ristic

J. Aidoo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Celta Vigo
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (25 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain B. Iglesias (14 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (9 Assists)
Best assists
Spain J. Rueda (6 Assists)

Real Madrid - Celta Vigo Key Points

  1. Real Madrid’s last five games produced a total of 16 goals.
  2. Three of Celta Vigo’s last five league games had over 2.5 goals.
  3. Three of Real Madrid’s last five home games had over 2.5 goals.
  4. Celta Vigo lost three of their last five matches, conceding eight goals.
  5. In their last five home games against Celta, Real Madrid scored 16 times.
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Our Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Real Madrid will welcome a much-needed return at home after a torrid run in the past month. They last played at home at the start of November before going on a run of six straight away games. Los Blancos won just two of those six matches and paid the price after being toppled by Barcelona.

They can reclaim a bit of the lost glory here, having done superbly at home. Part of that good run has also come with a fine streak in attack. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Celta Vigo is for Real Madrid to win & over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Real Madrid to win & over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Celta Vigo

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Real Madrid wins 1.28 1.31 +2.3%
Draw 6.6 6.65 +0.8%
Celta Vigo wins 9.8 11.6 +18.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Real Madrid is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 78.1% and is now 76.3% (-1.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction