World - Club World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Club World Cup Predictions
The quarter-final of the FIFA Club World Cup brings us a cultural clash of football philosophies, with Real Madrid set to take on Borussia Dortmund on Saturday evening. The winner of this match between Los Blancos and BVB will move on to face either PSG or Bayern Munich in the semis. Check out our match prediction below!
These European heavyweights are no strangers to each other. Indeed, they fought out the Champions League final at the end of the 2023-24 season and crossed paths again in Europe’s elite club competition four months later, last October. On both occasions, it was the team from the Spanish capital that came out on top, which extended their unbeaten run against the German giants to six (W4 D2 L0).
Xabi Alonso has made a dream start to his tenure with his new club, but will a familiar Bundesliga foe be the team to hand him his first defeat as Real’s new boss? Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.33 | 5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.25 | 5.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Real Madrid wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/07/2025 between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund in Club World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.18% for a win of Real Madrid against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 1.67 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund is 21.4% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid with odds of 5.31 at 22bet.
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
26 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
14 May 2025 - LaLiga
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
25 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
21 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
25 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
1 Jun 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2017 - Champions League
26 Sep 2017 - Champions League
7 Dec 2016 - Champions League
27 Sep 2016 - Champions League
Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis
Carlo Ancelotti’s final season at Real Madrid will be remembered as one of near misses. They finished as runners-up in La Liga, the Spanish Super Cup and the Copa del Rey, while also relinquishing the Champions League title.
This then is their last opportunity to earn silverware before the new campaign, and so far, Los Merengues have been excellent, recording three wins and a draw in their four matches in the competition.
The most recent was a 1-0 victory over Juventus in the round of 16, while they put three each past Salzburg and Pachuca after drawing their opener 1-1 against Al-Hilal. Real are now unbeaten in their last seven matches across all competitions.
Real Madrid has won the last four matches against BVB and scored two goals in each game!
Meanwhile, after suffering four consecutive defeats in January, Borussia Dortmund opted to sack Nuri Sahin and appointed Niko Kovac as their new manager.
Kovac sparked a much-needed upturn in performance, helping the side end the Bundesliga season in fourth place with seven wins and one draw from their final eight league games of the season.
Die Schwarzgelben extended their unbeaten run to 11 across all competitions, with a draw against Fluminense and back-to-back wins against Mamelodi Sundowns and Ulsan in the group stage. Those results came before their 2-1 victory over Monterrey in the last 16.
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Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Real Madrid & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis
Alonso will have a tough call to make in attack this weekend, after La Liga’s Pichichi Trophy winner from last season, Kylian Mbappe, returned to action having overcome gastroenteritis.
Mbappe featured off the bench in the win against Juventus, but his deputy, Gonzalo Garcia, has been incredible in his absence, racking up four goal involvements, including scoring the winner against I Bianconeri.
Trent Alexander-Arnold recorded his first assist for Real in the last match and could postpone the long-awaited return of Dani Carvajal. Eduardo Camavinga, David Alaba, Endrick and Ferland Mendy are ruled out through injury.
Will this be the final time we see Luka Modric in the famous white jersey?
For Dortmund, there was plenty of anticipation around the possibility of Jude and Jobe Bellingham facing off this weekend. Unfortunately, the latter was shown his second yellow of the tournament against Monterrey and is suspended for this match.
One of Marcel Sabitzer or Julian Brandt will likely step in for the 19-year-old in Kovac’s midfield, while Serhou Guirassy will almost certainly lead the line after bagging a brace in the round of 16.
Emre Can, Salih Ozcan and Nico Schlotterbeck are sidelined for the German side this weekend.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
G. Garcia
(3 Goals)
V. Junior
(1 Assists)
,
Rodrygo
(1 Assists)
, 
B. Diaz
(1 Assists)
,
F. Garcia
(1 Assists)
,
G. Garcia
(1 Assists)
,
Vinicius Junior
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Bellingham
(1 Assists)
,
T. Alexander-Arnold
(1 Assists)
K. Adeyemi
(2 Assists)
Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Real Madrid is unbeaten in their last seven matches across all competitions.
- Real Madrid has scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 games.
- Real Madrid has kept clean sheets in four of their last six matches.
- Real Madrid has beaten Dortmund twice in the past 13 months, outscoring them 7-2.
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Our Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
While Borussia Dortmund is unbeaten in this year’s FIFA Club World Cup, there is a case to be made that they have had an easier run to the last eight, having faced Fluminense, Sundowns, Ulsan and Monterrey.
Real Madrid, meanwhile, had to overcome two Champions League teams in Salzburg and Juventus, as well as an Al-Hilal side that just eliminated defending champions Manchester City from the tournament. Los Blancos have dominated this fixture in recent times, and we feel they will come out on top in this one as well. Our Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is Real Madrid wins the match.
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 and BTTS
Real Madrid has scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 games, while Borussia Dortmund has done so in nine of their last 10. Additionally, five of the last six matches between these sides have ended with three or more goals and with both teams scoring.
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Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions
The Club World Cup match between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund will take place on June 26 at 21:00 GMT.
The FIFA Club World Cup match between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund will be played at the MetLife Stadium in New Jersey.
The FIFA Club World Cup match between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund can be streamed live on DAZN.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our FIFA Club World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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