Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
04/03/2026 13:00
Real Oviedo

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions

Real Oviedo seek to boost their slim chances at survival in the Spanish La Liga this week as they travel to Rayo Vallecano. They enter this game in hand for both teams, sitting at the foot of the table, 10 points behind their hosts, who are 15th. Below is our prediction for the match.

Rayo Vallecano sit in a precarious position and will see this as a must-win game. Los Franjirrojos sit just three points above the drop zone. They have accumulated 27 points after managing just six wins from 25 outings and drawing another nine fixtures.

Inigo Perez’s men have stabilized themselves a bit in recent outings, picking up five points from their last three fixtures. Before this unbeaten run, Rayo had lost four on the trot. The visitors drew 1-1 with Athletic Bilbao over the weekend at home.

Real Oviedo fell to another defeat over the weekend, going down 1-0 at home to Atletico Madrid. Guillermo Almada’s men, the better side on the night against the capital club, conceded a disheartening last-minute goal.

Los Azules have now lost 14 games, the second most in the division. If this continues, they will then return to the Segunda just one season after they were promoted.

Real have managed just three wins and, with eight draws, have amassed 17 points and sit nine points from safety.

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Rayo Vallecano v Real Oviedo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.73 3.7 5.2
Melbet
1.7 3.68 5.1
Betwinner
1.7 3.68 5.1
Bet365
1.7 3.6 5.25
Roobet
1.71 3.6 5
Check all Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo?

Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.52% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Real Oviedo with odds of 1.76 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo is 36.85% with odds of 3.84 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 13.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.

Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo Prediction and Best Odds:

Rayo Vallecano Real Oviedo Prediction Probability Odds
Rayo Vallecano wins 49.52% 1.76 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 55.14% 2.14 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rayo Vallecano 21.62% 4.5 at Bet365

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Form

Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Rayo Vallecano
50 38 12 14 12 -3
20 Real Oviedo
29 38 6 11 21 -34

Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo Last Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Last matches
L L L W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  3
Osasuna

18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano
W D W L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  3
Osasuna

11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  1
Mallorca

2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Getafe

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
FC Drita
L W L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

6 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey

Granada
1 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
4 :  0
Rayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo Last matches
L L W L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Real Oviedo

15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  0
Girona

25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Real Oviedo

17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  2
Real Oviedo
D D D W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  0
Girona

10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  1
Betis

20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  0
Celta Vigo

5 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  0
Mallorca
L L D L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Real Oviedo

25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Real Oviedo

17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  2
Real Oviedo

4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Real Oviedo

14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
4 :  0
Real Oviedo

29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Rayo Vallecano

0 %

Draw

100 %

Real Oviedo

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano against Real Oviedo Lineups: Starting 11

Rayo Vallecano

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

13
A. Batalla
2
A. Ratiu
24
F. Lejeune
5
L. Felipe
3
P. Chavarria
17
U. Lopez
6
P. Ciss
4
P. Díaz
12
I. Akhomach
19
J. De Frutos
18
A. Garcia
9
F. Vinas
5
A. Reina Campos
7
I. Chaira
11
S. Colombatto
6
K. Sibo
10
H. Hassan
25
J. Lopez
16
D. Carmo
12
D. Calvo
24
L. Ahijado
13
A. Escandell

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Oviedo

Substitutes

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Goalkeeper

D. Cardenas

Defender

N. Mendy

A. Espino

I. Balliu

P. Ciss 88'

Midfielder

O. Valentin

F. Perez

J. De Frutos 65'

I. Palazon

P. Díaz 64'

G. Gumbau

Forward

S. Camello

Alemao

A. Garcia 88'

C. Martin

O. Trejo

I. Akhomach 69'

Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo
Goalkeeper

H. Moldovan

Defender

N. Vidal

D. Espinosa

A. Alhassane Bonkano

Midfielder

Agudin

N. Fonseca

S. Colombatto 61'

S. Cazorla

K. Sibo 46'

L. Ilic

H. Hassan 61'

Forward

T. Borbas

F. Vinas 74'

T. Fernandez

I. Chaira 46'

A. Fores

Missing players

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Midfielder

D. Mendez

Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo
Defender

D. Costas

E. Bailly

Forward

O. Ejaria

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Rayo Vallecano
CD Huachipato Real Oviedo
Top Goalscorer
Spain J. De Frutos (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay F. Vinas (9 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Garcia (5 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina T. Fernandez (4 Assists)

Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo Key Points

  1. Rayo have kept just one clean sheet in their last 10 games.
  2. Real Oviedo have conceded in 12 consecutive away games.
  3. Only two of the last 10 visitors to Rayo have stopped them from scoring.
  4. In their last eight outings, Oviedo have found the net in all but two fixtures.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Prediction

Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Real Oviedo is: BTTS. Oviedo are looking to boost their survival chances and have this as a must-win game. Recent fixtures have seen the visitors much improved, especially on the attacking end. We expect them to get on the scoresheet as they face a Rayo side that has struggled defensively.

Rayo, who are scoring more frequently when at home, are conceding more than one goal a game on average in the league. It is also important to remember that Rayo are also looking to create further daylight between them and the relegation zone.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Real Oviedo

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Rayo Vallecano wins 1.75 1.76 +0.6%
Draw 3.91 3.84 -1.8%
Real Oviedo wins 5.33 5.4 +1.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 0.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 56.8% (-0.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Prediction