Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Bilbao’s European dream is alive again, and they’ll hope to build on it when they travel to struggling Rayo Vallecano. The two sides meet in the 26th round in La Liga, Athletic being eighth and Rayo 15th. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Rayo came from behind in their last outing to draw with Real Betis away from home. With that, they failed to build on their impressive 3-0 win over Atletico Madrid earlier.
Now they are left with just one win in six matches and four defeats, placing them just two points above the relegation zone. At home, Rayo have managed just three wins in 11 league games.
Athletic Bilbao have done well in their recent league matches and will be looking at this as a chance to extend the same. They are coming from a 2-1 win at home against Elche, marking their third straight win and fourth unbeaten in La Liga.
Across all competitions, they’ve only lost once in the last six matches and posted four wins in the process. Los Leones also carry a fine head-to-head run into this game.
They have posted five straight wins in this fixture and are unbeaten in eight meetings with Rayo. Three wins in 10 away matches is a signal they need to do better; these wins have come in the last four away games, though.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.1 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.06 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.06 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.05 | 3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Athletic Bilbao wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.21% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.62 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao is 17.84% with odds of 3.2 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 3.13 at 888Starz.
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 47.94% | 3.13 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.69% | 2.27 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 69.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 20.73% | 7 at LSbet |
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 |
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
15 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
6 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
5 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Cardenas
DefenderL. Felipe
P. Chavarria
I. Balliu
MidfielderO. Valentin
P. Díaz
F. Perez
U. Lopez
Alemao
R. Nteka
C. Martin
O. Trejo
A. Padilla
DefenderA. Boiro
A. Paredes
I. Lekue
A. Gorosabel
S. Sanchez Camilo
A. Rego Mora
M. Vesga
R. Navarro
N. Serrano
U. Izeta
A. Berenguer
Missing players
D. Mendez
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardN. Williams
M. Sannadi
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao
J. De Frutos
(10 Goals)
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Rayo lost four times in their last six outings.
- Athletic have only lost once in the last six games.
- In their last four away matches, Athletic won three.
- Rayo lost each of their last five meetings with Athletic.
- Athletic Bilbao are unbeaten in four league games, winning three.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Rayo Vallecano are winless in the last eight matches against Athletic Bilbao and lost each of the last five. The visitors have also been on a poor run ahead of this game and come here having lost four times in six games.
This run has dented their push for survival, yet they face a resurgent Athletic side, eyeing European football. Athletic Bilbao haven't had a great season either, but they will be buoyed by their current run of three straight wins in La Liga. Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao is that Athletic Bilbao wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Athletic Bilbao
| Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 2.69 | 2.62 | -2.6% |
| Draw | 3.13 | 3.2 | +2.2% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 3.09 | 3.13 | +1.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.4% and is now 31.9% (-0.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
