Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP National Bank Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP National Bank Open Predictions
Rafael Jodar attempts here to reach a second successive outdoor hard court final. The 20th seed faces 28th-seeded Brandon Nakashima in the last four of the National Bank Open Jodar is in top form and our prediction is he will reach the final.
Last month saw Jodar make it to the final of the outdoor hard court tournament played in Washington, losing to Taylor Fritz. His excellent form has continued in Montreal with four wins, the last three without dropping a set.
In the quarter-finals, the Spaniard defeated 18th seed Arthur Fils.
That was the third seed he's beaten, having previously defeated 11th seed Lorenzo Musetti and eighth-seeded Jiri Lehecka.
Jodar is up to a career-high 11th in the live rankings, 14 places above his opponent.
Brandon Nakashima is playing in his fourth ATP Tour outdoor hard court semi-final of the year. He lost in the last four in Acapulco and Washington with his one appearance in a final being in Brisbane seven months ago.
The American has dropped two sets on his way to this semi-final. Round two saw him have to come from a set down to defeat Titouan Droguet. He also lost the middle set against 23rd seed Arthur rinderknech, before beating 19th-seeded Luciano Darderi in straight sets.
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Rafael Jodar v Brandon Nakashima Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.44 | 2.8 |
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1.45 | 2.85 |
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1.43 | 2.82 |
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1.43 | 2.82 |
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1.43 | 2.82 |
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Who will win the Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima match is: Rafael Jodar wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima game on 12/08/2026 of the current ATP National Bank Open season:
- Rafael Jodar has a 57.97% chance to win against Brandon Nakashima according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.45.
- Brandon Nakashima has a 42.03% probability of winning facing Rafael Jodar ⭐ with odds of 2.92 at Shangrila.
Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Rafael Jodar has a 57.97 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | 57.97 % |
| Brandon Nakashima | 42.03 % |
Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Form
Rafael Jodar and Brandon Nakashima Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
8 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
6 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
3 Aug 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
1 Aug 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
8 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
6 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
1 Aug 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
31 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Rafael Jodar - Brandon Nakashima Key Points
- Jodar is 14 places above his opponent in the live rankings.
- Only six players have earned more ranking points this year than Jodar.
- A win here will take Jodar into his second successive ATP Tour outdoor hard court final.
- Nakashima has lost two sets on his way to this semi-final.
- Jodar has already beaten three seeded players in this tournament.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction
Rafael Jodar has won 12 of his last 14 outdoor hard court matches. The Spaniard was the losing finalist in Washington last month and is now one match away from another final. He is becoming a leading contender to qualify for this year's ATP Finals.
He's beaten three seeds so far this week and now takes on Brandon Nakashima. The American has also had a good year on this surface and could well force a deciding set, but our main Rafael Jodar v Brandon Nakashima prediction is Rafael Jodar wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.