Punjab FC vs Mumbai City Prediction & Betting Tips - Indian Super League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Indian Super League Predictions
Punjab FC and Mumbai City will face off in their final match of the Indian Super League season on Thursday afternoon. The Shers (4th) and the Islanders (5th) are part of the final-day battle for the title, and our prediction is that this will be a nervy, low-scoring match.
After finishing in the bottom half of the league standings in each of the last two seasons, Punjab have been much better this term, losing only two of their 12 games this year (W6 D4).
The Shers secured a 3-2 victory over Odisha on Saturday afternoon, which extended their unbeaten run to five matches (W3 D2). That result came after four consecutive clean sheets.
Punjab have not lost a league game at the Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium this season (W3 D2). They have only conceded three goals at home - the fewest in the division.
Meanwhile, Mumbai City have the exact same record as their upcoming opponents this season (W6 D4 L2). They have scored 15 goals in 12 games and conceded nine - the second-fewest in the ISL.
The Islanders eased past Mohammedan 4-0 on the road in their last match, which brought an end to their four-match winless run (D2 L2). That marked their biggest win margin of the season.
The visitors have kept clean sheets in their last two away games and have never lost a league match on the road to this opponent.
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Punjab FC v Mumbai City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.09 | 3.2 | 3.25 |
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2.11 | 3.52 | 2.93 |
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|
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2.03 | 3.38 | 3.27 |
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2.1 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
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2.2 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Punjab FC and Mumbai City?
Our prediction for the Punjab FC vs Mumbai City match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/05/2026 between Punjab FC and Mumbai City in Indian Super League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.5% for a win of Punjab FC against Mumbai City with odds of 2.25 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Punjab FC vs Mumbai City is 33.84% with odds of 3.6 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Mumbai City vs Punjab FC with odds of 3.27 at Betwinner.
Punjab FC - Mumbai City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Punjab FC Mumbai City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Punjab FC wins | 40.5% | 2.25 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 53.36% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Punjab FC/Punjab FC | 14.82% | 3.5 at Bet365 |
Punjab FC vs Mumbai City Form
Punjab FC and Mumbai City's standings in the Indian Super League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
25 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +8 |
|
5
|
22 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +6 |
Punjab FC and Mumbai City Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Indian Super League
11 May 2026 - Indian Super League
6 May 2026 - Indian Super League
2 May 2026 - Indian Super League
20 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
12 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 May 2026 - Indian Super League
20 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
3 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
16 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
9 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
27 Oct 2025 - Indian Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Indian Super League
11 May 2026 - Indian Super League
2 May 2026 - Indian Super League
12 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
21 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
27 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 May 2026 - Indian Super League
5 May 2026 - Indian Super League
25 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
18 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
9 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
5 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2026 - Indian Super League
5 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
8 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
1 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
19 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League
6 Nov 2025 - Indian Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 May 2026 - Indian Super League
25 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
18 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
9 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
20 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
15 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
Punjab FC vs Mumbai City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Jan 2025 - Indian Super League
26 Nov 2024 - Indian Super League
2 Mar 2024 - Indian Super League
Punjab FC against Mumbai City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Shabir
DefenderN. Meitei
L. Meitei
P. Singh
Rishikanta Meitei
N. Meetei
S. Singh
ForwardR. Pandre
B. Osuji
P. Lachenpa
DefenderS. Stalin
B. Chhetri
N. Rodrigues
D. Alva
MidfielderS. Aadil
P. Noufal
V. Singh
A. Chhikara
Most goals and assists
Punjab FC - Mumbai City Key Points
- Three of Punjab’s last four matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Punjab have kept clean sheets in four of their last five league games.
- Punjab have conceded the fewest home goals this season.
- Five of Mumbai City’s last seven matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Mumbai City have conceded the second-fewest goals in the ISL this season.
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Our Punjab FC vs Mumbai City Prediction
The final day of the Indian Super League season is set to be a humdinger, with four of the top five teams in the standings kicking off at the same time and set for a straight shootout for the title.
Matches with this much on the line tend to be nervy, with neither team wanting to concede first, and given these teams’ defensive records this season, we are expecting both to prioritise the clean sheet in this one. Our Punjab FC vs Mumbai City prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Punjab FC Mumbai City
| Punjab FC vs Mumbai City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Punjab FC wins | 2.3 | 2.25 | -2.2% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.6 | +12.5% |
| Mumbai City wins | 3 | 3.27 | +9.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Punjab FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 44.4% (1.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.