PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
24/01/2026 14:00
NAC Breda

Prediction :

 

PSV Eindhoven to score over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Eredivisie Predictions

PSV Eindhoven will welcome NAC Breda to Philips Stadion on matchday 20 of the Eredivisie. PSV are at the top of the table with a healthy 16-point cushion, while NAC Breda are second to last in the league standings. Here's our match prediction. 

PSV Eindhoven are coming off a disappointing UEFA Champions League night away to Newcastle on Wednesday. They suffered a 3-0 thrashing, leaving them in 22nd place.

The Lightbulbs now shift their focus to Eredivisie action, where they've met expectations. A 2-1 victory over Sittard on the road marked their 13th consecutive league win.

Their performance at Philips Stadion this season has been exceptional. Only Telstar has managed to steal maximum points from them this season. Apart from that, they've won five consecutive matches at this venue. 

NAC Breda will aim to capitalise on their opponents' tired legs in this upcoming encounter. However, it seems they are in for a tough 90 minutes given their poor form.

NAC are winless in their last eight league games. Their start to 2026 has also left much to be desired, going winless in two games. A goalless draw against Groningen on the road was followed by a 4-3 home defeat against Nijmegen.

Parel van het Zuiden are on the road this time around. They are one of two teams, alongside Volendam, that have yet to secure wins in their last nine outings.

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PSV Eindhoven v NAC Breda Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.39 5.2 6.8
Melbet
1.38 5.2 7.3
Betwinner
1.35 5.55 7.5
Bet365
1.42 5 6.5
Roobet
1.32 5 7.8
Check all PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda odds

What is the prediction for the football match between PSV Eindhoven and NAC Breda?

Our prediction for the PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda match is: PSV Eindhoven to score over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between PSV Eindhoven and NAC Breda in Eredivisie :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 77.29% for a win of PSV Eindhoven against NAC Breda with odds of 1.42 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda is 14.58% with odds of 5.6 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 8.13% chance ⭐ for a win of NAC Breda vs PSV Eindhoven with odds of 7.9 at Shangrila.

PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda Prediction and Best Odds:

PSV Eindhoven NAC Breda Prediction Probability Odds
PSV Eindhoven wins 77.29% 1.42 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 74.29%
Both Team To Score 55.21%
Half-time / Full-time : PSV Eindhoven/PSV Eindhoven 49.37% 2 at Bet365

PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda Form

PSV Eindhoven and NAC Breda's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 PSV Eindhoven
84 34 27 3 4 +56
17 NAC Breda
29 34 6 11 17 -23

PSV Eindhoven and NAC Breda Last Matches

PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

14 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker

Den Bosch
1 :  4
PSV Eindhoven

10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
5 :  1
Excelsior

21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
1 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

16 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker

PSV Eindhoven
3 :  0
GVVV Veenendaal
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
5 :  1
Excelsior

16 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker

PSV Eindhoven
3 :  0
GVVV Veenendaal

13 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
4 :  3
Heracles

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
3 :  0
Volendam

31 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
5 :  2
Fortuna Sittard
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

14 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker

Den Bosch
1 :  4
PSV Eindhoven

21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
1 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

6 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
0 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  4
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
NAC Breda Last matches
L L D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
3 :  4
NEC Nijmegen

10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
0 :  0
NAC Breda

20 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
0 :  1
Telstar

14 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
1 :  1
Utrecht

7 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
1 :  0
NAC Breda

29 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
1 :  0
NAC Breda
L W L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
3 :  4
NEC Nijmegen

20 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
0 :  1
Telstar

14 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
1 :  1
Utrecht

22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
0 :  1
PSV Eindhoven

1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
1 :  0
Go Ahead Eagles

29 Oct 2025 - KNVB beker

NAC Breda
1 :  4
Heracles
L D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
0 :  0
NAC Breda

7 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
1 :  0
NAC Breda

29 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
1 :  0
NAC Breda

8 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

Volendam
2 :  1
NAC Breda

24 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
3 :  3
NAC Breda

27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  1
NAC Breda

PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

PSV Eindhoven

100 %

Draw

0 %

NAC Breda

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.25
Total goals
25%
BTTS
2.75
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
0 :  1
PSV Eindhoven

25 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
3 :  2
NAC Breda

9 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
0 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

8 Feb 2022 - KNVB beker

PSV Eindhoven
4 :  0
NAC Breda

PSV Eindhoven against NAC Breda Lineups: Starting 11

PSV Eindhoven

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

32
M. Kovar
8
S. Dest
22
J. Schouten
4
A. Obispo
17
Mauro Junior
31
N. Fernandez
23
J. Veerman
27
D. Man
10
P. Wanner
11
C. Driouech
34
I. Saibari
9
M. Soumano
7
C. Brym
14
K. Sowah
16
M. Balard
10
M. Nassoh
4
B. Kemper
22
R. Hillen
12
L. Greiml
3
D. Odoi
25
C. Valerius
99
D. Bielica

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

NAC Breda

Substitutes

PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Goalkeeper

N. Schiks

T. Smolenaars

Defender

K. Sildillia

S. Dest 46'

Y. Gasiorowski

R. Flamingo

C. Driouech 81'

Midfielder

N. Verkooijen

Forward

E. Bajraktarevic

D. Man 46'

I. Perisic

N. Fernandez 60'

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Goalkeeper

R. Kortsmit

K. Lamprou

Defender

J. Candelaria

B. Lucassen

E. Mahmutovic

Midfielder

C. Staring

M. Nassoh 77'

C. Leemans

A. Ayew

M. Soumano 71'

L. Holtby

C. Brym 78'

Forward

S. Van Hooijdonk

B. Ghalidi

J. Talvitie

Missing players

PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Goalkeeper

N. Olij

Forward

A. Plea

M. Boadu

R. Pepi

R. van Bommel

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Midfielder

F. Jensen

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSV Eindhoven
CD Huachipato NAC Breda
Top Goalscorer
USA R. Pepi (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands M. Nassoh (5 Goals) Netherlands B. Kemper (5 Goals) Netherlands S. Van Hooijdonk (5 Goals) France M. Soumano (5 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands J. Veerman (14 Assists)
Best assists
Germany L. Holtby (5 Assists)

PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda Key Points

  1. PSV Eindhoven have scored over 2.5 goals in eight of their last 14 home games across all competitions.
  2. NAC Breda have conceded over 2.5 goals in each of their last two away matches against PSV Eindhoven across all competitions.
  3. PSV Eindhoven have scored three or more goals in three of their last four home league games against NAC Breda.
  4. PSV Eindhoven have scored three or more goals in six of their last ten league games.
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Our PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda Prediction

PSV Eindhoven are up against the league's second-worst team, and it goes without a shadow of doubt that a one-sided affair is undoubtedly on the cards. They are the superior side in terms of quality and attacking output and should be able to secure a commanding win in this one.

NAC Breda have lost their last four matches against this opponent across all competitions. During this period, they conceded three or more goals in three of those outings, indicating a similar outcome here. Our PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda prediction: PSV Eindhoven to score over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

PSV Eindhoven to score over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSV Eindhoven NAC Breda

PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
PSV Eindhoven wins 1.11 1.42 +27.9%
Draw 8.5 5.6 -34.1%
NAC Breda wins 21 7.9 -62.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • PSV Eindhoven is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 27.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 90.1% and is now 70.4% (-19.7%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda Prediction