PSG vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula | in Champions League Predictions
PSG will be at home against Ligue 1 rivals Monaco for the second leg of their UEFA Champions League playoff tie for the round of 16. Les Parisiens lead this tie 3-2 after winning the reverse game last week. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
This will mark the third meeting of the season for the two teams, and each one of them has managed at least a win. PSG, the defending UCL champions, missed out on automatic qualification for the round of 16 after finishing 11th in the League Phase.
Monaco, on their part, finished in 21st place after a difficult first round that saw them win just twice in eight matches. Les Parisiens are heavily favoured by bookmakers to win on the night and sail through to the next round. From this round, the aggregate winner will face Chelsea or Barcelona in the round of 16.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
PSG v Monaco Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 6.8 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.6 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.6 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.4 | 9.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Monaco?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Monaco match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/02/2026 between PSG and Monaco in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.39% for a win of PSG against Monaco with odds of 1.32 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Monaco is 22.86% with odds of 6.85 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs PSG with odds of 10.9 at 888Starz.
PSG - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Monaco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 53.39% | 1.32 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.37% | |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 25.92% | 1.72 at LSbet |
PSG vs Monaco Form
PSG and Monaco Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2026 - French Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
PSG vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
18 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
PSG - Monaco: Form Analysis
PSG showed their pedigree in the first leg as they battled from a 2-0 hole to win 3-2. Luis Enrique’s men found themselves two goals down after just 18 minutes, but were not fazed and at halftime, had drawn level. They would add a third after Monaco were reduced to 10-men and now seek to see their first leg efforts through.
The capital club had bizarrely lost 3-1 away to Rennes in the league just before they travelled to Monaco, with that result ending a four-game unbeaten run. There were no such surprises this past weekend as a much-changed side won 3-0 against visiting Metz.
Monaco haven’t won consecutive games since October.
Monaco were also victorious in the league over the weekend. Le Rocher built up their confidence for the return leg in the capital with a 3-2 victory away to league-chasing Lens. The win saw PSG return to the summit of the French Ligue 1 standings.
Monaco went into the first leg with shaky form as they had won just twice from eight games. This is the form that has characterized Monaco’s season. The Red and Whites have struggled with inconsistency. Monaco have lost in back-to-back seasons in Europe in the playoffs for the round of 16.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
PSG against Monaco Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
L. Chevalier
R. Marin
DefenderI. Zabarnyi
Beraldo
L. Hernandez
L. Kang-in
D. Fernandez
G. Ramos
I. Mbaye
Y. Lienard
J. Stawiecki
DefenderC. Mawissa
J. Teze
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
I. Toure
S. Nibombe
S. Adingra
M. Biereth
A. Fati
Missing players
F. Ruiz
S. Mayulu
ForwardQ. Ndjantou
L. Hradecky
DefenderE. Dier
M. Salisu
K. Ouattara
MidfielderP. Pogba
T. Minamino
P. Cabral
ForwardP. Brunner
PSG & Monaco Squad Analysis
Ousmane Dembele suffered a calf injury in the first leg and was withdrawn after 27 minutes. He sat out the win over the weekend and is a huge doubt for this match. The reigning Ballon d’Or winner was replaced by Desire Doue in Monaco, and the young Frenchman would go on to score twice.
Doue was on target also against Metz over the weekend and will most likely keep his spot amongst the starters. PSG have a plethora of attacking options, as was evident in the first leg. Vitinha, who missed a penalty in that match, is PSG’s leading scorer in the UCL with five goals.
Paul Pogba is among the injured and absent Monaco players.
Monaco will be without Aleksandr Golovin. The midfielder, who has one assist in Europe this season, was sent off in the first leg. Florian Balogun scored both goals to hand Monaco an early lead in that game and will be the visitors' focal point once again.
The American has netted five times in the UCL. Ansu Fati and Mika Biereth are the other attacking options for Monaco. The two have scored a combined 12 goals.
Most goals and assists
PSG
Monaco
K. Kvaratskhelia
(10 Goals)
F. Balogun
(5 Goals)
K. Kvaratskhelia
(7 Assists)
M. Akliouche
(3 Assists)
PSG - Monaco Key Points
- Five goals were scored in the first leg meeting between these two.
- For three successive games, Monaco have found the net at least twice each time.
- PSG have scored three or more goals five times in their last 10 games at home.
- Monaco have conceded two or more goals three times in their last five matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our PSG vs Monaco Prediction
Our prediction for PSG v Monaco is for this match to produce more than 3.5 goals. Five goals were scored in the first leg match, and there is a strong possibility that these two sides will play out another high-scoring game.
PSG, who are seeking to see out their first-leg advantage, are a free-scoring side. Monaco too are a strong attacking team, and as they are chasing the tie, we can expect them to go all out against their hosts.
PSG vs Monaco Alternative Predictions
PSG wins
For our second prediction, we pick PSG to win. Les Parisiens offered a psychological blow to Monaco when they came back from 2-0 down in the first leg.
They have also fared much better than their visitors this season. Monaco have also not won away in Paris in five years, losing in four of their last five trips.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Monaco
| PSG vs Monaco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.3 | 1.32 | +1.5% |
| Draw | 6 | 6.85 | +14.2% |
| Monaco wins | 9 | 10.9 | +21.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 75.8% (-1.2%)
PSG vs Monaco - FAQs
This match will be played on Wednesday, 25 February.
This match will be played at PSG’s Parc des Princes in Paris, France.
Fans in France will have this game live on Canal+. Live updates of the same and other Champions League games will also be available on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
