PSG vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Ligue 1 champions PSG will welcome bottom-placed Metz for their next league meeting scheduled for Saturday. The hosts arrive for this game placed second in the league standings, looking to rise from defeat in their last Ligue 1 game. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
PSG have been uncharacteristically porous at the back lately. They are coming off a 3-2 win against Monaco in the Champions League. That result meant they’ve conceded seven times in the last five matches and managed just one clean sheet.
This marks Les Parisiens’ first league match since falling 3-1 to Rennes. Back at home, they will have time to recover.
Metz will be looking to ensure PSG don’t catch a break. While the champions are coming from midweek action, Metz have had a whole week to prepare.
They will want to make that count, even though this isn’t a fixture that has favored them a lot. Les Grenats have lost each of the last 15 matches against PSG.
They can only bank on their scoring form in this fixture, but trying to win can be a tall order. Metz’s relegation woes were compounded in their last outing, a 3-1 loss to Auxerre, another side seeking survival.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
PSG v Metz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.16 | 8.8 | 16 |
|
|
1.12 | 9.9 | 17 |
|
|
1.12 | 10 | 17 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.4 | 14 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Metz?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Metz match is: PSG to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between PSG and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.74% for a win of PSG against Metz with odds of 1.16 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Metz is 18.62% with odds of 10.4 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs PSG with odds of 21 at Shangrila.
PSG - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 68.74% | 1.16 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.99% | |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 39.46% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
PSG vs Metz Form
PSG and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
PSG and Metz Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
PSG vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
21 May 2022 - Ligue 1
22 Sept 2021 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2021 - Ligue 1
PSG against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
L. Chevalier
R. Marin
DefenderW. Pacho
N. Mendes
Marquinhos
MidfielderJ. Neves
Vitinha
I. Mbaye
K. Kvaratskhelia
O. Ba
DefenderM. Colin
B. Sarr
G. Abuashvili
U. Mboula
B. Munongo
J. Deminguet
N. Mbala
G. Kvilitaia
Missing players
F. Ruiz
ForwardO. Dembele
Q. Ndjantou
P. Sy
DefenderB. Stambouli
MidfielderI. Guerti
ForwardJ. Mangondo
Most goals and assists
PSG
Metz
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
Vitinha
(8 Assists)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
PSG - Metz Key Points
- Metz have lost five of their last six matches.
- Metz scored in seven of their last eight away matches.
- Both teams scored in three of Metz’s last five matches.
- In four of these teams’ last six meetings, both sides scored.
- PSG managed just one clean sheet in their last five games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our PSG vs Metz Prediction
This is a key game for both sides, as Metz seek the points to aid in their survival push, while PSG are in the thick of the title race. Recent matches haven't all gone to PSG’s liking, and they’ve especially struggled defensively.
Coming here, they will hope to address that, facing an opponent they’ve dominated over the years. Metz have not only been poor in this fixture, but they are also coming off a bad run, losing five of their last six. They’ve done well in attack, though, and our prediction for PSG v Metz is for PSG to win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Metz
| PSG vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.1 | 1.16 | +5.5% |
| Draw | 11 | 10.4 | -5.5% |
| Metz wins | 24 | 21 | -12.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 90.9% and is now 86.2% (-4.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
