PSG vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
PSG meets Marseille in the latest Le Classique to wrap up the 21st round of matches in Ligue 1. The Sunday match finds PSG top of the standings and Marseille third, nine points adrift. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
PSG returned to the league summit courtesy of Marseille’s win over Lens two weeks back. Now Les Parisiens want to give their own effort to possibly open up a four-point gap.
With a man down, they claimed a hard-fought 2-1 win against Strasbourg last time out. As things stand, PSG could be second by the time they take to the pitch, given that Lens play earlier.
That shouldn’t worry the champions; as long as they win their games, they will stay on top.
Marseille were the first to beat PSG this season and are hereby presented a chance to complete a league double. Daunting as it is, Roberto De Zerbi’s men will have the belief they can do it away from home.
Les Phoceens have, however, left some doubts over their capacity to last in the title race. In their latest outing, for example, they conceded twice in the final 10 minutes to draw 2-2 with Paris FC, a match they led 2-0.
They recovered in their French Cup game with a 3-0 win against Rennes and will be looking to tap on that.
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PSG v Marseille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.47 | 5.2 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.05 | 6.35 |
|
|
1.45 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.9 | 5.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Marseille?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Marseille match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/02/2026 between PSG and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.23% for a win of PSG against Marseille with odds of 1.5 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Marseille is 30.79% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs PSG with odds of 6.6 at Tonybet.
PSG - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 39.23% | 1.5 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.41% | |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 18.59% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
PSG vs Marseille Form
PSG and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 |
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
PSG and Marseille Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
PSG vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
PSG against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
L. Chevalier
DefenderI. Zabarnyi
Beraldo
L. Hernandez
L. Kang-in
D. Fernandez
G. Ramos
I. Mbaye
K. Kvaratskhelia
G. Rulli
DefenderC. Egan Riley
MidfielderH. Traore
H. Abdelli
B. Nadir
A. Vermeeren
G. Kondogbia
ForwardP. Aubameyang
I. Paixao
Missing players
A. Hakimi
MidfielderF. Ruiz
ForwardQ. Ndjantou
N. Aguerd
Most goals and assists
PSG
Marseille
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
Vitinha
(8 Assists)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
PSG - Marseille Key Points
- Both teams scored in three of PSG’s last four matches.
- Both teams scored in two of Marseille’s last four games.
- Marseille kept three clean sheets in their last 10 outings.
- PSG managed only three clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
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Our PSG vs Marseille Prediction
PSG and Marseille will meet for the third time this season, each side having prevailed once in the two earlier matches. While Marseille won their league meeting, PSG claimed the Super Cup honors through post-match penalties.
Needless to point out, PSG are the dominant side in this fixture, but the simmering rivalry means this could go either way. One thing that may be sure here is for goals to be scored. The two rarely keep clean sheets, though they are strong in attack. Our prediction for PSG v Marseille is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Marseille
| PSG vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.52 | 1.5 | -1.3% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 5.4 | +13.7% |
| Marseille wins | 5.4 | 6.6 | +22.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.8% and is now 66.7% (0.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
