France - Ligue 1
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Ligue 1 Predictions
Four-time defending Ligue 1 champions PSG will look to continue their perfect start to the 2025-26 campaign when they host Lens on matchday four. This match on Sunday at Parc des Princes between the leaders, Les Parisiens, and the fifth-placed, Les Sang et Or, comes with our prediction of under 3.5 goals.
With nine points, PSG are top of the points table with Lyon for company. Lens have six points (W2, L1) and are one of the four teams which start this round three points behind the leaders.
An emphatic 6-3 away win at Toulouse saw PSG go into the international break on a high. They won 1-0 at Nantes on matchday one and by the same score at home against Angers.
The recent record at this venue is equally impressive, but PSG were rocked by injuries in the international break to two of their key players – Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue.
Those injuries could be a boost to Lens' hopes, as they look to halt a six-game losing streak against PSG in Ligue 1. They went into the break with a 3-1 home win over Brest, coming from a goal down.
The visitors started the season with a 1-0 home defeat to Lyon, but a 2-1 away win at Le Havre and the victory over Brest got them back on track.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Lens Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.3 | 6 | 8.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Lens?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Lens match is: under 3.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2025 between PSG and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.76% for a win of PSG against Lens with odds of 1.37 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Lens is 15.11% with odds of 6.04 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs PSG with odds of 8.8 at Melbet.
PSG vs Lens Form
PSG and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
5
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
PSG and Lens Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2025 - Uefa Super Cup
13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
9 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2025 - Uefa Super Cup
9 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
29 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
PSG vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
15 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
PSG vs Lens last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
S. Mayulu
ForwardD. Doue
O. Dembele
J. Chavez
D. Machado
MidfielderH. Ojediran
Most goals and assists
PSG
Lens
J. Neves
(3 Goals)
W. Said
(1 Goals)
,
R. Fofana
(1 Goals)
,
F. Thauvin
(1 Goals)
,
A. Thomasson
(1 Goals)
,
N. Mendes
(1 Assists)
,
O. Dembele
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Ruiz
(1 Assists)
W. Said
(1 Assists)
, 
S. Abdulhamid
(1 Assists)
PSG - Lens Key Points
- Two of PSG’s three league matches this season saw them win 1-0.
- PSG won seven of their last eight home Ligue 1 fixtures.
- PSG saw three or fewer goals scored in three of their last five home league games.
- In four of Lens’ last six league matches, fewer than four goals have been scored.
- Five of the last six away league games featuring Lens saw fewer than four goals scored.
- The last three league matches between PSG and Lens saw PSG win and fewer than four goals scored.
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Our PSG vs Lens Prediction
PSG started the season as expected, stacking up three comfortable wins. The win at Toulouse was an exciting affair before the international break, as it featured nine goals. A repeat could be a difficult proposition, especially with the home team set to miss Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue. Lens come here with back-to-back wins in their corner, although they lost the six recent matches they played against PSG.
This game could see goals come at a premium with the home team missing a few regulars, and our PSG vs Lens prediction is under 3.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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