Portugal vs Uzbekistan Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
Tuesday evening’s 2026 World Cup action kicks off at the NRG Stadium in Houston, with Portugal taking on Uzbekistan in their second match in Group K. A Seleção are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions, and our prediction is that they will be too strong for the White Wolves in this one.
After only taking a point from their opening match of the competition against the Leopards, Roberto Martínez will be determined to steer his side to their first win of the tournament here. Three points for Portugal will take them top of the table in Group K, with Colombia and DR Congo scheduled to face off on Wednesday morning in Mexico.
There have been plenty of surprises in this year’s World Cup already, but Fabio Cannavaro’s team were unable to spring one of their own, losing their first match of the tournament to Los Cafeteros last week. This is the first time these two sides will meet in a competitive encounter, and Uzbekistan are unsurprisingly massive underdogs heading into the clash - let’s get into the key stats!
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Portugal v Uzbekistan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 6.4 | 13 |
|
|
1.21 | 7.34 | 18 |
|
|
1.17 | 7 | 17 |
|
|
1.17 | 7 | 17 |
|
|
1.21 | 7.34 | 18 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Portugal and Uzbekistan?
Our prediction for the Portugal vs Uzbekistan match is: Portugal wins & over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/06/2026 between Portugal and Uzbekistan in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.55% for a win of Portugal against Uzbekistan with odds of 1.28 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portugal vs Uzbekistan is 28.95% with odds of 7.34 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Uzbekistan vs Portugal with odds of 18.5 at 888Starz.
Portugal vs Uzbekistan Form
Portugal and Uzbekistan's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Portugal and Uzbekistan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
Portugal - Uzbekistan: Form Analysis
Portugal laboured to a disappointing 1-1 draw in their opening match of the 2026 World Cup, where they struggled to break down a defensively resolute DR Congo in Houston last Wednesday.
Despite dominating 75% of possession and getting a goal inside the first six minutes of that match, A Seleção only recorded three shots on target, created just a single big chance, and ended with a 0.67 xG.
Still, that result extended Portugal’s unbeaten run to six matches across all competitions (W4 D2). They have only lost one game in their last 14, dating back to March 20 last year (W10 D3).
Portugal have scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 14 matches in all competitions!
Meanwhile, Uzbekistan produced a resilient hour of football in their first match of this competition against Colombia, but two late goals saw them fall to a 3-1 defeat and bottom of the table.
However, there were a few positives to take from that encounter for the White Wolves. They finished the game with 1.16 xG and managed eight shots at goal despite playing much of the game on the counter.
Uzbekistan are now on a three-match losing streak, having lost their two warm-up games against Canada and the Netherlands. They also conceded two or more goals in each of the defeats during this period.
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Portugal vs Uzbekistan last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
Rui Silva
J. Sa
DefenderS. Costa
G. Inacio
R. Dias
D. Dalot
N. Semedo
MidfielderM. Nunes
R. Neves
ForwardF. Conceicao
G. Guedes
F. Trincao
Joao Felix
R. Leao
G. Ramos
B. Ergashev
A. Nematov
DefenderJ. Urozov
K. Alijonov
U. Eshmurodov
A. Ulmasaliyev
F. Sayfiev
MidfielderJ. Iskanderov
O. Xamrobekov
D. Khamdamov
A. Ganiev
R. Jiyanov
S. Esanov
ForwardI. Sergeev
A. Amonov
Missing players
R. Dias
Portugal & Uzbekistan Squad Analysis
Following their disappointing showing against DR Congo, Roberto Martinez came under questioning over whether Cristiano Ronaldo is still the best option to lead the line for the remainder of the tournament.
The Al Nassr striker only had 25 touches across the 90, failed to record a single shot on target, and ended with 0.46 xG, which has led to many calling for the superstar to be dropped for this match.
Veteran Bernardo Silva only played 45 minutes against the Leopards before being replaced by Francisco Conceicao at the break, and the latter is widely expected to get the nod from the off in this one.
Will Ronaldo be able to hit back at the criticism with a big performance tonight?
Istanbul Basaksehir forward Abbosbek Fayzullaev etched his name in the history books by scoring Uzbekistan’s first-ever World Cup goal against Colombia in their opening match of the tournament.
The White Wolves may have to make do without the services of Rustam Ashurmatov here after he sustained an injury in the last match. Jakhongir Urozov is the most likely to replace the Esteghlal FC defender in this one.
Manchester City’s Abdukodir Khusanov is walking a tightrope here, having been shown a yellow card last time out. Another caution this week will force him to sit out the team's final group-stage match against DR Congo.
Most goals and assists
Portugal
Uzbekistan
J. Neves
(1 Goals)
A. Fayzullaev
(1 Goals)
P. Neto
(1 Assists)
Portugal - Uzbekistan Key Points
- Portugal are 45 places above Uzbekistan in the world rankings.
- Portugal are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.
- Portugal has scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 14 matches.
- Uzbekistan are on a three-match losing streak.
- Uzbekistan has conceded two more goals in each of their last three matches.
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Our Portugal vs Uzbekistan Prediction
Uzbekistan has improved massively over the last few years, but they were unable to pose too much of a threat against Colombia in their opener, which does not bode well for their chances against fifth-ranked Portugal.
Portugal were extremely disappointing in their opening match of the tournament, where they struggled to break down the low block of DR Congo. However, they will be determined to bounce back here, and we fancy them to secure a comfortable victory. Our Portugal vs Uzbekistan prediction is Portugal wins & over 2.5.
Portugal vs Uzbekistan Alternative Predictions
Bruno Fernandes to score or assist
Bruno Fernandes is coming off a record-breaking season for Manchester United, in which he notched up 22 assists and nine goals across all competitions. He has seven direct goal contributions in his last six matches for Portugal, and we feel he will add to that tally in this one.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Portugal vs. Uzbekistan game!
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Portugal vs Uzbekistan - FAQs
The 2026 World Cup match between Portugal and Uzbekistan will take place on June 23 at 18:00 UTC.
The 2026 World Cup match between Portugal and Uzbekistan will be broadcast on RTP and SIC (Portugal) and Zo’r TV (Uzbekistan). UK viewers can tune in to the BBC and ITV.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
