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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
It’s a clash of the top two in Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup UEFA qualification on matchday four as Portugal host Hungary on Tuesday. This match in Lisbon between the leaders, Selecao das Quinas, and the second-placed Magyars comes with our prediction of a Portugal win with both teams scoring.
Portugal are already assured of a play-off berth based on the Nations League ranking but are looking to qualify directly. They lead the group with nine points after three matchdays, while Hungary are right behind with four points (W1, D1, L1), but just one point ahead of Armenia. The league winners qualify directly for the World Cup, while the second-placed side advance to the play-offs.
A late goal saved Portugal the blushes as they won 1-0 at home against Ireland on Saturday, making it a sixth victory in a row, one of those coming via penalties. The weekend win was their sixth consecutive win at home, while in regular time they have avoided defeat in ten such matches (W7, D3).
Hungary won 2-0 at home against Armenia on Saturday on matchday three for their fourth point of the campaign. Their only defeat came against Portugal, but with only two wins from their last nine matches (W2, D2, L5), the Magyars haven’t shown their might.
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The Best Betting Odds for Portugal v Hungary Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 6.25 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.21 | 6.4 | 12.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portugal and Hungary?
Our prediction for the Portugal vs Hungary match is: Portugal to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2025 between Portugal and Hungary in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 73.98% for a win of Portugal against Hungary with odds of 1.26 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portugal vs Hungary is 12.9% with odds of 6.63 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Hungary vs Portugal with odds of 13.6 at 22bet.
Portugal vs Hungary Form
Portugal and Hungary's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
|
2
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Portugal and Hungary Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
4 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Portugal vs Hungary Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
15 Jun 2021 - Euro
25 Mar 2017 - World Cup
Portugal vs Hungary last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Neves
Most goals and assists
Portugal
Hungary
Cristiano Ronaldo
(3 Goals)
B. Varga
(3 Goals)
Portugal - Hungary Key Points
- Portugal failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their last 14 matches.
- Nine of Portugal’s last 13 matches saw both teams score goals.
- Three of Hungary’s last four games produced goals from both teams.
- In five of Portugal’s last six home matches, both teams scored goals.
- Hungary’s last four away games saw both teams score goals.
- Portugal won the last four head-to-head matches against Hungary after a 3-2 win in September.
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Our Portugal vs Hungary Prediction
Portugal have dominated this fixture over the years, winning 11 and drawing four of the previous 15 matches they played against Hungary. They have also managed to win each of their three fixtures in this qualification campaign, including a late winner against Ireland last weekend. That was a rare clean sheet for the Portuguese, and the Hungarians could feast on that to at least get a goal here. Otherwise, the visitors could struggle to avoid defeat here.
Our Portugal vs Hungary prediction is Portugal to win and BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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